ATL: FRANKLIN - Remnants - Discussion

[Yellow Evan]

It's CDO thickness is not one I'm use to in the Atlantic. Likely T4.5 on the Dvorak scale.

[Alyono]

not dry air. Thats shear

[NDG]

[Nimbus]

From the satellite it almost looks like it is slowing down?
Recon reporting any change in forward speed?

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 092240
AF308 0607A FRANKLIN HDOB 11 20170809
223030 2425N 09235W 3926 07774 0460 -170 -391 064016 017 021 001 00
223100 2422N 09236W 3925 07780 0461 -170 -393 066017 018 020 000 00
223130 2420N 09237W 3926 07774 0461 -169 -394 066017 018 019 000 00
223200 2417N 09239W 3926 07777 0460 -168 -394 069018 018 020 000 00
223230 2415N 09240W 3927 07776 0461 -166 -392 068017 018 021 000 00
223300 2413N 09241W 3926 07775 0460 -165 -391 070017 017 020 001 00
223330 2410N 09242W 3926 07779 0460 -165 -386 070017 017 021 000 00
223400 2408N 09244W 3926 07772 0460 -166 -377 071017 017 020 001 00
223430 2406N 09245W 3926 07776 0460 -167 -361 077017 017 021 000 00
223500 2403N 09246W 3926 07771 0460 -165 -362 080017 017 023 000 00
223530 2401N 09247W 3926 07777 0461 -165 -364 079017 017 023 000 00
223600 2359N 09249W 3926 07773 0459 -165 -354 076017 017 023 000 00
223630 2356N 09250W 3926 07771 0459 -165 -340 074018 018 024 000 00
223700 2354N 09251W 3926 07773 0457 -168 -330 074019 019 023 000 00
223730 2351N 09252W 3930 07764 0457 -165 -330 069019 019 021 001 00
223800 2349N 09254W 3926 07773 0456 -165 -343 071019 020 023 000 00
223830 2347N 09255W 3926 07768 0456 -165 -343 074021 021 022 001 00
223900 2344N 09256W 3925 07773 0454 -165 -356 077021 022 023 000 00
223930 2342N 09257W 3927 07765 0452 -165 -369 079022 022 022 000 00
224000 2339N 09259W 3925 07773 0453 -165 -372 083022 023 024 000 00
$$[

[GCANE]

From the satellite it almost looks like it is slowing down?
Recon reporting any change in forward speed?

They are en route now

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 092250
AF308 0607A FRANKLIN HDOB 12 20170809
224030 2337N 09300W 3926 07768 0453 -165 -370 083022 022 023 000 00
224100 2335N 09301W 3926 07765 0452 -165 -372 081022 023 021 000 00
224130 2332N 09302W 3926 07766 0453 -165 -375 080023 023 020 001 00
224200 2330N 09304W 3925 07769 0453 -165 -376 077023 023 020 001 00
224230 2328N 09305W 3926 07770 0451 -165 -364 074023 023 021 001 00
224300 2325N 09306W 3925 07766 0452 -165 -351 074022 023 020 001 00
224330 2323N 09307W 3926 07761 0450 -165 -319 075022 022 019 001 00
224400 2320N 09309W 3926 07766 0451 -165 -303 076023 023 021 000 00
224430 2318N 09310W 3926 07766 0451 -165 -312 080023 023 020 001 00
224500 2315N 09311W 3926 07773 0452 -164 -308 082023 023 021 001 00
224530 2313N 09313W 3926 07763 0451 -165 -315 082025 025 022 000 00
224600 2311N 09314W 3926 07767 0451 -165 -330 085025 025 021 001 00
224630 2308N 09315W 3927 07766 0450 -165 -310 086025 025 021 001 00
224700 2306N 09316W 3926 07770 0452 -165 -304 092025 025 021 001 00
224730 2304N 09317W 3928 07765 0452 -161 -309 096025 026 020 001 00
224800 2301N 09319W 3926 07769 0453 -165 -292 096026 026 021 000 00
224830 2259N 09320W 3926 07768 0453 -164 -295 098026 026 021 000 00
224900 2257N 09321W 3926 07765 0452 -161 -269 092027 027 021 000 00
224930 2254N 09322W 3926 07772 0452 -160 -268 093024 026 022 001 00
225000 2252N 09324W 3925 07773 0452 -159 -220 093021 023 022 001 00
$$
;

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 092301
AF308 0607A FRANKLIN HDOB 13 20170809
225030 2250N 09325W 3925 07773 0452 -154 -230 104020 021 023 000 00
225100 2247N 09326W 3925 07767 0451 -154 -220 119022 023 024 000 00
225130 2245N 09327W 3927 07763 0450 -155 -211 121024 025 025 000 00
225200 2243N 09328W 3926 07767 0450 -153 -212 122025 026 026 000 00
225230 2241N 09329W 3926 07765 0449 -151 -211 125026 027 025 002 00
225300 2238N 09331W 3926 07761 0449 -157 -203 122028 029 028 001 00
225330 2236N 09332W 3926 07765 0449 -154 -206 121028 029 028 000 00
225400 2234N 09333W 3927 07763 0447 -152 -200 119028 029 028 001 00
225430 2232N 09334W 3927 07755 0447 -155 -172 107030 032 028 001 00
225500 2230N 09335W 3931 07753 0450 -147 -161 100033 034 027 000 01
225530 2228N 09336W 3926 07761 0449 -150 -167 102034 036 028 000 01
225600 2225N 09337W 3925 07764 0447 -154 -160 105030 034 027 000 01
225630 2223N 09338W 3930 07756 0448 -154 -186 104030 030 028 000 00
225700 2221N 09339W 3926 07766 0449 -155 -178 106029 030 028 000 00
225730 2219N 09340W 3926 07760 0449 -155 -191 104029 029 028 000 00
225800 2217N 09341W 3926 07763 0448 -155 -188 105030 030 029 000 00
225830 2215N 09342W 3926 07766 0448 -152 -189 104030 031 029 000 00
225900 2214N 09344W 3926 07763 0449 -150 -194 104030 030 028 000 00
225930 2212N 09345W 3926 07762 0448 -152 -190 100032 032 028 000 00
230000 2210N 09346W 3925 07760 0447 -153 -193 100032 032 028 000 00
$$
;

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 092310
AF308 0607A FRANKLIN HDOB 14 20170809
230030 2208N 09347W 3926 07761 0446 -155 -186 098032 033 029 000 00
230100 2206N 09348W 3927 07758 0446 -155 -191 096034 034 030 000 00
230130 2204N 09349W 3923 07765 0445 -154 -190 096034 034 029 000 00
230200 2202N 09350W 3926 07759 0446 -154 -194 098033 034 030 000 00
230230 2200N 09351W 3925 07762 0443 -155 -199 099033 034 030 000 00
230300 2158N 09352W 3926 07754 0442 -155 -198 097034 034 031 000 00
230330 2156N 09354W 3926 07760 0441 -155 -199 096034 034 032 000 00
230400 2154N 09355W 3926 07758 0439 -154 -202 096035 035 032 000 00
230430 2152N 09356W 3926 07756 0439 -150 -203 098036 036 031 000 00
230500 2150N 09357W 3926 07755 0438 -150 -206 098036 036 032 000 00
230530 2148N 09358W 3926 07749 0438 -150 -206 098036 037 033 000 00
230600 2146N 09359W 3925 07758 0439 -149 -207 096038 038 033 000 00
230630 2144N 09400W 3926 07753 0437 -148 -206 097039 039 034 000 00
230700 2142N 09402W 3923 07756 0436 -146 -212 097039 039 034 000 00
230730 2140N 09403W 3923 07753 0432 -149 -208 099039 040 034 000 00
230800 2137N 09404W 3926 07743 0431 -145 -212 097039 041 034 000 00
230830 2135N 09405W 3925 07748 0427 -148 -210 100042 042 033 001 00
230900 2133N 09406W 3927 07740 0428 -147 -211 099042 043 034 000 03
230930 2131N 09408W 3927 07745 0431 -140 -218 097040 040 036 000 00
231000 2129N 09409W 3926 07749 0431 -144 -218 103041 042 035 001 00
$$

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 092321
AF308 0607A FRANKLIN HDOB 15 20170809
231030 2127N 09410W 3929 07752 0439 -149 -208 106043 043 035 002 03
231100 2126N 09413W 3929 07749 0443 -149 -200 105044 045 /// /// 03
231130 2126N 09415W 3921 07771 0443 -150 -203 106044 045 037 000 03
231200 2124N 09417W 3926 07744 0429 -150 -198 105044 044 037 001 00
231230 2122N 09419W 3926 07747 0427 -149 -198 101045 045 037 001 00
231300 2121N 09421W 4085 07437 0404 -126 -196 104046 047 037 001 03
231330 2119N 09423W 4315 07017 0370 -104 -158 102049 051 039 000 00
231400 2117N 09425W 4519 06656 0342 -073 -135 103052 053 039 001 03
231430 2115N 09427W 4705 06329 0312 -055 -113 110054 056 040 000 03
231500 2113N 09428W 4924 05979 0288 -041 -095 106057 058 038 001 03
231530 2111N 09429W 5171 05576 0254 -015 -075 109057 058 /// /// 03
231600 2109N 09430W 5442 05158 0225 -003 -038 113056 058 /// /// 03
231630 2107N 09432W 5727 04753 0012 +011 -012 112055 056 /// /// 03
231700 2106N 09435W 6033 04344 0010 +043 +000 111056 057 /// /// 03
231730 2104N 09437W 6369 03889 0008 +071 +011 120059 060 043 001 00
231800 2103N 09438W 6422 03818 0014 +074 +027 124057 058 044 002 00
231830 2101N 09439W 6465 03772 0026 +072 +034 124056 057 045 002 03
231900 2100N 09440W 6665 03513 0034 +078 +040 126056 057 /// /// 03
231930 2059N 09442W 6921 03189 0038 +087 +056 126054 055 042 002 03
232000 2057N 09443W 7042 03037 0026 +098 +070 127057 060 046 001 00
$$
;

[NDG]

Franklin getting stronger, 86 knot flight level winds so far.

233000 2039N 09504W 8432 01429 9955 +145 +103 158082 086 067 003 00

[CrazyC83]

Franklin getting stronger, 86 knot flight level winds so far.

233000 2039N 09504W 8432 01429 9955 +145 +103 158082 086 067 003 00

Already supports 70 kt, and that is just one pass.

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 092330
AF308 0607A FRANKLIN HDOB 16 20170809
232030 2056N 09444W 7169 02882 0025 +100 +073 128065 066 045 001 03
232100 2055N 09445W 7408 02607 0028 +110 +079 123065 067 045 000 00
232130 2054N 09446W 7583 02404 0023 +123 +084 123061 064 046 001 00
232200 2053N 09447W 7763 02217 0029 +131 +087 127057 061 048 001 00
232230 2052N 09448W 7948 02010 0027 +148 +089 128054 055 051 002 00
232300 2051N 09449W 8124 01821 0015 +167 +090 132053 055 051 002 00
232330 2050N 09450W 8292 01636 0009 +172 +092 147052 055 049 002 00
232400 2049N 09451W 8410 01508 0007 +171 +096 153059 062 051 001 00
232430 2048N 09452W 8436 01478 0005 +164 +099 155065 066 052 002 00
232500 2047N 09453W 8429 01479 9994 +173 +103 158062 064 054 002 00
232530 2046N 09455W 8439 01465 9982 +186 +106 157061 063 056 001 00
232600 2046N 09456W 8434 01465 9975 +190 +110 157060 065 056 003 00
232630 2045N 09457W 8448 01451 9983 +172 +113 159071 074 056 002 00
232700 2044N 09458W 8420 01474 9984 +161 +116 160078 080 056 001 00
232730 2043N 09459W 8439 01447 9976 +161 +116 160079 081 058 002 00
232800 2042N 09500W 8423 01457 9961 +172 +114 161076 081 062 005 00
232830 2041N 09501W 8428 01443 9951 +175 +112 162076 076 066 003 00
232900 2040N 09502W 8439 01427 9949 +166 +109 164079 082 066 005 00
232930 2039N 09503W 8422 01440 9949 +159 +106 161081 082 066 005 00
233000 2039N 09504W 8432 01429 9955 +145 +103 158082 086 067 003 00
$$

[NDG]

Recon finds 89 knot flight level winds, at least 75 knot surface winds. Unflagged 78 knot surface winds.

233130 2036N 09507W 8420 01431 9946 +145 +091 151086 089 071 007 00
233200 2035N 09508W 8446 01406 9949 +140 +087 152085 088 068 009 03
233230 2034N 09509W 8425 01420 9940 +145 +084 151079 083 071 005 00
233300 2033N 09511W 8429 01410 9923 +163 +082 151071 076 074 003 00
233330 2032N 09512W 8430 01402 9909 +176 +082 143063 070 075 004 03
233400 2031N 09513W 8421 01406 9892 +194 +084 136057 060 077 002 00
233430 2030N 09514W 8430 01387 9874 +209 +088 137051 056 078 001 00

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 092341
AF308 0607A FRANKLIN HDOB 17 20170809
233030 2038N 09505W 8429 01428 9949 +151 +099 156083 084 069 005 00
233100 2037N 09506W 8431 01424 9948 +147 +094 154085 088 070 007 00
233130 2036N 09507W 8420 01431 9946 +145 +091 151086 089 071 007 00
233200 2035N 09508W 8446 01406 9949 +140 +087 152085 088 068 009 03
233230 2034N 09509W 8425 01420 9940 +145 +084 151079 083 071 005 00
233300 2033N 09511W 8429 01410 9923 +163 +082 151071 076 074 003 00
233330 2032N 09512W 8430 01402 9909 +176 +082 143063 070 075 004 03
233400 2031N 09513W 8421 01406 9892 +194 +084 136057 060 077 002 00
233430 2030N 09514W 8430 01387 9874 +209 +088 137051 056 078 001 00
233500 2029N 09516W 8430 01382 9861 +220 +095 138050 050 074 000 03
233530 2028N 09517W 8439 01361 9845 +228 +104 138054 056 066 002 00
233600 2027N 09518W 8426 01363 9833 +228 +113 132049 055 059 002 00
233630 2026N 09520W 8433 01349 9825 +227 +121 125037 044 047 001 00
233700 2025N 09521W 8426 01353 9818 +230 +129 116026 032 037 001 00
233730 2023N 09522W 8438 01341 9819 +223 +135 105020 025 030 001 00
233800 2022N 09523W 8426 01347 9823 +211 +140 076015 020 027 001 03
233830 2020N 09523W 8430 01345 9823 +209 +143 023010 012 020 002 00
233900 2018N 09523W 8432 01344 9826 +203 +145 336010 012 022 001 00
233930 2017N 09524W 8430 01347 9830 +203 +145 299015 019 026 001 03
234000 2015N 09525W 8428 01354 9838 +197 +145 300028 031 040 004 00
$$
;

[StormChaser75]

recon

[CrazyC83]

Certainly at least 75 kt now, although a case could be made for 80 kt.

[ROCK]

He is making a run at cat 2 it seems. Recon is in there at a good time!!

[Hammy]

Might reach Cat 2 at this rate

He is making a run at cat 2 it seems. Recon is in there at a good time!!

Will recon be there pretty much until landfall at this point?

[Alyono]

it's made a WNW wobble. Could be very good for Xalapa. However, potentially bad for Poza Rica and Tuxpan