ATL: FRANKLIN - Remnants - Discussion

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 100050
AF308 0607A FRANKLIN HDOB 24 20170810
004030 1935N 09452W 6968 03142 0054 +097 +097 245011 014 049 007 00
004100 1936N 09453W 6964 03148 0060 +096 +096 232018 021 047 007 03
004130 1938N 09455W 6974 03131 0072 +095 +095 217019 022 045 013 00
004200 1939N 09456W 6975 03130 0068 +095 +095 221021 024 048 017 00
004230 1940N 09457W 6964 03134 0054 +098 +098 238022 023 048 014 03
004300 1941N 09459W 6970 03130 0042 +100 +100 252024 026 049 010 00
004330 1943N 09500W 6964 03132 0021 +104 +104 256028 029 050 007 00
004400 1944N 09501W 6969 03119 0010 +106 +106 256030 030 050 006 00
004430 1945N 09502W 6967 03124 0005 +106 +106 263032 032 049 006 00
004500 1946N 09503W 6970 03114 9999 +107 +107 260033 034 051 005 00
004530 1947N 09505W 6968 03115 9998 +098 //// 256036 039 051 006 01
004600 1948N 09506W 6970 03110 9996 +104 //// 252037 041 051 006 01
004630 1949N 09507W 6970 03107 9989 +102 //// 253035 036 054 006 01
004700 1951N 09508W 6963 03114 //// +095 //// 256038 041 053 006 01
004730 1952N 09509W 6966 03108 //// +090 //// 253045 045 056 004 01
004800 1953N 09511W 6968 03098 //// +095 //// 251045 046 056 005 01
004830 1954N 09512W 6970 03094 //// +095 //// 248045 045 057 007 01
004900 1955N 09513W 6967 03092 //// +094 //// 245043 045 057 008 01
004930 1956N 09514W 6967 03096 //// +099 //// 244042 044 055 006 01
005000 1957N 09515W 6972 03091 //// +095 //// 238045 048 055 008 01
$$

[wxman57]

I made a "little" visible loop of Franklin from August 7th-9th with GOES-16 1/2 km resolution imagery from College of DuPage. It's 200mb in size, so give it a bit to load. Here's the link:

http://wxman57.com/images/FranklinLoop.gif

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 100100
AF308 0607A FRANKLIN HDOB 25 20170810
005030 1959N 09517W 6963 03090 //// +090 //// 234048 052 058 011 05
005100 2000N 09518W 6969 03074 //// +087 //// 229056 057 059 014 01
005130 2001N 09519W 6970 03067 //// +087 //// 228058 060 062 017 05
005200 2002N 09520W 6961 03065 //// +086 //// 224062 065 064 023 05
005230 2003N 09522W 6960 03057 //// +084 //// 208070 073 062 028 01
005300 2005N 09523W 6970 03046 //// +086 //// 215061 071 057 046 01
005330 2006N 09525W 6969 03051 //// +088 //// 216054 060 061 033 05
005400 2007N 09526W 6974 03041 //// +086 //// 222053 055 064 033 05
005430 2009N 09527W 6954 03061 //// +092 //// 230056 058 065 038 05
005500 2010N 09529W 6974 03028 //// +094 //// 224042 053 068 037 05
005530 2011N 09530W 6991 02992 //// +096 //// 229027 038 076 034 05
005600 2012N 09531W 6957 03029 //// +094 //// 211025 029 074 052 01
005630 2014N 09533W 6984 02997 //// +100 //// 178027 028 059 040 05
005700 2015N 09534W 6965 03018 //// +114 //// 175029 030 033 003 01
005730 2016N 09536W 6967 03007 //// +119 //// 187022 029 027 003 01
005800 2017N 09538W 6970 02999 //// +108 //// 186018 020 026 005 01
005830 2017N 09539W 6949 03022 //// +122 //// 127008 016 026 001 01
005900 2018N 09541W 6984 02974 //// +130 //// 010011 015 025 002 01
005930 2018N 09543W 6970 02996 //// +146 //// 349019 020 017 002 05
010000 2019N 09545W 6956 03008 //// +149 //// 359021 023 022 002 01
$$
;

[NDG]

nhc saying this will make it across to pacific as a remnant.
what say you folks.
this has been an interesting lil event, our franklin.

These systems don't survive the central Mexico mountains. They usually dissipate even faster than expected.

I think zeehag meant to say that the remnant mid level vorticity may cross over to the pacific as mentioned by the NHC, it happened last year with Hurricane Earl, redeveloped in the EPAC becoming TS Javier.

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

system has that look its on the grasp of bombing.

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 100110
AF308 0607A FRANKLIN HDOB 26 20170810
010030 2020N 09546W 6968 02995 //// +156 //// 017018 024 028 002 05
010100 2021N 09547W 6967 03001 //// +159 //// 039016 023 031 001 01
010130 2023N 09549W 6969 03012 //// +153 //// 050020 023 034 002 01
010200 2024N 09550W 6971 03017 //// +153 //// 055033 040 035 002 01
010230 2025N 09551W 6958 03044 //// +152 //// 063045 047 037 001 01
010300 2027N 09553W 6975 03032 //// +153 //// 066053 055 036 003 01
010330 2028N 09554W 6957 03064 //// +162 //// 068055 055 046 002 01
010400 2029N 09555W 6964 03062 //// +162 //// 064053 054 050 001 01
010430 2031N 09557W 6975 03055 //// +151 //// 060055 057 056 002 01
010500 2032N 09558W 6961 03077 //// +158 //// 064061 066 061 001 01
010530 2033N 09600W 6970 03077 //// +134 //// 060073 076 062 002 01
010600 2035N 09601W 6966 03079 //// +124 //// 060074 075 062 002 01
010630 2036N 09602W 6969 03083 //// +131 //// 060072 073 061 002 01
010700 2037N 09604W 6973 03085 //// +134 //// 059070 071 057 003 01
010730 2039N 09605W 6959 03107 //// +139 //// 057067 069 054 002 01
010800 2040N 09606W 6961 03109 //// +119 //// 056069 070 046 002 01
010830 2041N 09608W 6970 03102 //// +117 //// 058070 071 044 003 01
010900 2043N 09609W 6967 03110 //// +125 //// 058067 069 045 002 01
010930 2044N 09610W 6967 03113 //// +117 //// 057064 066 043 003 01
011000 2045N 09612W 6963 03124 //// +126 //// 057062 063 041 003 01
$$
;

[GCANE]

Massive tower blowing up now.

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/ ... mmb-slider

[Hurricaneman]

Based on smfr and flight level I would go 85mph next advisory

[GCANE]

Massive tower blowing up now.

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/ ... mmb-slider

Vis just at sundown

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/ ... mmb-slider

[Hammy]

Based on smfr and flight level I would go 85mph next advisory

Already there at 8pm--I'm hoping they can get at least one more NE quad pass before the 11pm to see if it's increased since, given that massive convective tower.

[GCANE]

Last report from Recon had an 8C core temp

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Through 9:10pm EDT:

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 100120
AF308 0607A FRANKLIN HDOB 27 20170810
011030 2047N 09613W 6964 03125 //// +133 //// 057061 062 041 003 01
011100 2048N 09615W 6969 03126 //// +129 //// 054061 061 040 001 01
011130 2049N 09616W 6966 03134 //// +130 //// 053062 062 039 002 01
011200 2050N 09617W 6967 03138 //// +126 //// 053059 062 039 002 01
011230 2052N 09619W 6964 03145 //// +121 //// 053057 057 038 001 01
011300 2053N 09620W 6964 03148 //// +119 //// 050055 057 038 001 01
011330 2054N 09621W 6969 03144 //// +115 //// 049053 054 036 002 01
011400 2056N 09622W 6965 03151 //// +111 //// 050052 053 036 002 01
011430 2057N 09624W 6967 03152 //// +107 //// 052051 052 036 002 01
011500 2058N 09625W 6965 03157 //// +114 //// 049052 052 036 000 01
011530 2059N 09626W 6968 03153 //// +109 //// 046051 052 032 001 01
011600 2101N 09628W 6969 03157 //// +104 //// 046049 050 032 002 01
011630 2102N 09629W 6966 03160 //// +096 //// 045047 048 031 002 01
011700 2103N 09630W 6965 03163 //// +092 //// 041047 048 032 002 01
011730 2104N 09632W 6967 03164 //// +088 //// 043047 047 032 001 01
011800 2106N 09633W 6968 03165 //// +085 //// 045047 048 032 000 01
011830 2107N 09634W 6967 03164 //// +090 //// 045046 048 030 001 01
011900 2108N 09635W 6963 03173 //// +086 //// 048045 045 029 002 01
011930 2109N 09637W 6967 03168 //// +091 //// 049044 045 029 001 01
012000 2111N 09638W 6967 03169 //// +090 //// 052043 044 024 001 01
$$
;

[GCANE]

Right on the CoC

[CrazyC83]

The pressure reading is down but based on experience I would estimate it at 979mb.

[Hammy]

The pressure reading is down but based on experience I would estimate it at 979mb.

Are we getting any dropsondes?

edit: Something interesting I'm noticing on satellite is a bit of northerly mid-level shear, as forecast, but it doesn't appear to be doing much other than (like Joaquin and Matthew) preventing a cleared-out eye from appearing.

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 100130
AF308 0607A FRANKLIN HDOB 28 20170810
012030 2112N 09639W 6966 03173 //// +090 //// 053042 042 022 002 01
012100 2113N 09641W 6967 03172 //// +089 //// 051041 042 023 001 01
012130 2114N 09642W 6967 03171 //// +088 //// 052042 043 023 002 01
012200 2116N 09643W 6968 03171 //// +086 //// 050040 041 024 002 01
012230 2117N 09645W 6966 03176 //// +092 //// 050040 041 023 002 01
012300 2117N 09645W 6966 03176 //// +095 //// 053040 041 024 002 01
012330 2120N 09647W 6970 03174 //// +091 //// 054038 039 025 002 01
012400 2121N 09649W 6969 03178 //// +094 //// 057040 040 028 002 01
012430 2122N 09650W 6968 03181 //// +092 //// 056041 043 026 003 01
012500 2123N 09652W 6967 03180 //// +092 //// 050041 043 028 004 01
012530 2123N 09652W 6967 03180 0089 +092 +091 051041 043 038 010 00
012600 2126N 09654W 6969 03179 0108 +086 +086 052039 041 045 016 00
012630 2127N 09655W 6968 03179 0132 +079 +079 046037 040 045 022 00
012700 2128N 09657W 6969 03182 0142 +076 +076 039036 038 045 018 00
012730 2128N 09657W 6969 03182 0127 +077 +077 044037 038 038 010 00
012800 2131N 09659W 6970 03184 0105 +079 +077 045038 039 032 005 00
012830 2132N 09701W 6965 03191 0098 +085 +072 047038 038 030 003 00
012900 2133N 09702W 6967 03190 0095 +090 +065 045039 039 027 002 00
012930 2135N 09703W 6967 03192 0100 +090 +065 043039 039 025 002 03
013000 2135N 09705W 6963 03208 0109 +088 +067 040039 040 /// /// 03
$$
;

[StormChaser75]

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=full_disk&x=9550&y=6565&z=4&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=90&motion=loop&map=1&lat=1&p%5B0%5D=16&p%5B1%5D=21&opacity%5B0%5D=0&opacity%5B1%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&hidden%5B1%5D=0&pause=20170807143037&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

[GCANE]

The pressure reading is down but based on experience I would estimate it at 979mb.

Are we getting any dropsondes?

Last drop was 1 hr 20 min ago

[GCANE]

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=full_disk&x=9550&y=6565&z=4&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=90&motion=loop&map=1&lat=1&p%5B0%5D=16&p%5B1%5D=21&opacity%5B0%5D=0&opacity%5B1%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&hidden%5B1%5D=0&pause=20170807143037&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

Reminds me of my last acid trip.