000
URNT15 KNHC 291923
AF302 2109A HARVEY HDOB 20 20170829
191430 2848N 09324W 8328 01606 0009 +181 +143 190032 032 031 001 00
191500 2847N 09323W 8329 01606 0011 +180 +141 192032 032 031 001 00
191530 2847N 09321W 8331 01605 0013 +180 +138 192034 034 031 000 00
191600 2847N 09319W 8327 01609 0013 +180 +140 191034 034 030 001 00
191630 2846N 09317W 8331 01606 0013 +180 +138 190036 036 029 001 00
191700 2846N 09315W 8332 01605 0014 +180 +138 190038 040 030 000 00
191730 2846N 09313W 8327 01611 0015 +181 +138 191041 042 031 001 00
191800 2845N 09312W 8328 01611 0014 +184 +139 190041 042 031 000 00
191830 2845N 09310W 8336 01603 0016 +181 +146 189039 042 030 001 00
191900 2845N 09308W 8336 01604 0018 +178 +148 190039 040 029 001 00
191930 2844N 09306W 8336 01605 0020 +176 +153 190037 039 028 001 00
192000 2844N 09304W 8342 01600 0021 +170 +156 193038 040 030 001 01
192030 2844N 09303W 8335 01609 0020 +180 +145 191040 041 029 001 00
192100 2844N 09301W 8336 01608 0021 +180 +149 194039 040 029 000 00
192130 2844N 09259W 8336 01609 0024 +176 +154 194038 039 029 000 00
192200 2845N 09257W 8335 01611 0024 +180 +153 188040 041 030 000 00
192230 2845N 09255W 8336 01610 0027 +175 +152 189040 041 030 000 00
192300 2845N 09253W 8335 01614 0028 +177 +148 191039 039 029 000 00
192330 2846N 09251W 8338 01611 0029 +177 +144 188038 039 028 000 00
192400 2846N 09249W 8336 01614 0031 +177 +145 188038 038 028 001 00
$$
;
ATL: TEN - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 33393
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Recon
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 33393
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Recon
000
URNT12 KNHC 291922
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092017
A. 29/18:56:10Z
B. 29 deg 03 min N
094 deg 25 min W
C. 850 mb 1384 m
D. 46 kt
E. 196 deg 21 nm
F. 284 deg 30 kt
G. 187 deg 54 nm
H. 995 mb
I. 18 C / 1618 m
J. 22 C / 1623 m
K. 16 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 134 / 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF302 2109A HARVEY OB 06
MAX FL WIND 44 KT 276 / 31 NM 18:04:00Z
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 42 KT 104 / 66 NM 19:18:10Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 360 / 14 KT
SFC CNTR 170 / 12 NM FROM FL CNTR
;
Dropsonde supports 994mb for pressure.
URNT12 KNHC 291922
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092017
A. 29/18:56:10Z
B. 29 deg 03 min N
094 deg 25 min W
C. 850 mb 1384 m
D. 46 kt
E. 196 deg 21 nm
F. 284 deg 30 kt
G. 187 deg 54 nm
H. 995 mb
I. 18 C / 1618 m
J. 22 C / 1623 m
K. 16 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 134 / 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF302 2109A HARVEY OB 06
MAX FL WIND 44 KT 276 / 31 NM 18:04:00Z
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 42 KT 104 / 66 NM 19:18:10Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 360 / 14 KT
SFC CNTR 170 / 12 NM FROM FL CNTR
;
Dropsonde supports 994mb for pressure.
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 33393
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Recon
000
URNT15 KNHC 291933
AF302 2109A HARVEY HDOB 21 20170829
192430 2846N 09247W 8336 01614 0030 +178 +147 186039 039 028 001 00
192500 2847N 09245W 8336 01615 0030 +179 +155 184038 039 030 000 00
192530 2847N 09243W 8338 01615 0031 +177 +161 188035 037 030 000 00
192600 2847N 09241W 8337 01616 0034 +168 +157 192036 037 029 003 01
192630 2847N 09241W 8337 01616 0031 +182 +147 190037 038 032 000 03
192700 2848N 09237W 8336 01619 0033 +182 +143 188038 039 031 000 00
192730 2848N 09237W 8336 01619 0032 +185 +146 189038 039 031 000 00
192800 2848N 09233W 8339 01615 0031 +181 +150 186036 037 030 000 00
192830 2849N 09231W 8336 01616 0029 +183 +152 187037 038 033 000 00
192900 2849N 09229W 8330 01621 0033 +177 +157 187032 035 032 000 00
192930 2849N 09227W 8336 01617 0031 +183 +139 185035 036 033 000 00
193000 2850N 09225W 8336 01619 0033 +183 +139 185036 036 032 001 00
193030 2850N 09224W 8335 01621 0034 +185 +135 188036 036 030 001 00
193100 2850N 09222W 8335 01622 0033 +185 +140 190035 035 031 000 00
193130 2851N 09220W 8333 01625 0036 +180 +147 192037 038 030 000 00
193200 2851N 09218W 8327 01631 0038 +181 +120 192037 038 030 000 00
193230 2851N 09215W 8326 01630 0037 +181 +117 190037 038 029 000 00
193300 2852N 09213W 8334 01622 0037 +178 +125 189037 038 030 000 00
193330 2852N 09210W 8343 01613 0039 +176 +130 188037 038 029 000 00
193400 2852N 09208W 8334 01625 0038 +180 +127 187036 037 028 000 00
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 291933
AF302 2109A HARVEY HDOB 21 20170829
192430 2846N 09247W 8336 01614 0030 +178 +147 186039 039 028 001 00
192500 2847N 09245W 8336 01615 0030 +179 +155 184038 039 030 000 00
192530 2847N 09243W 8338 01615 0031 +177 +161 188035 037 030 000 00
192600 2847N 09241W 8337 01616 0034 +168 +157 192036 037 029 003 01
192630 2847N 09241W 8337 01616 0031 +182 +147 190037 038 032 000 03
192700 2848N 09237W 8336 01619 0033 +182 +143 188038 039 031 000 00
192730 2848N 09237W 8336 01619 0032 +185 +146 189038 039 031 000 00
192800 2848N 09233W 8339 01615 0031 +181 +150 186036 037 030 000 00
192830 2849N 09231W 8336 01616 0029 +183 +152 187037 038 033 000 00
192900 2849N 09229W 8330 01621 0033 +177 +157 187032 035 032 000 00
192930 2849N 09227W 8336 01617 0031 +183 +139 185035 036 033 000 00
193000 2850N 09225W 8336 01619 0033 +183 +139 185036 036 032 001 00
193030 2850N 09224W 8335 01621 0034 +185 +135 188036 036 030 001 00
193100 2850N 09222W 8335 01622 0033 +185 +140 190035 035 031 000 00
193130 2851N 09220W 8333 01625 0036 +180 +147 192037 038 030 000 00
193200 2851N 09218W 8327 01631 0038 +181 +120 192037 038 030 000 00
193230 2851N 09215W 8326 01630 0037 +181 +117 190037 038 029 000 00
193300 2852N 09213W 8334 01622 0037 +178 +125 189037 038 030 000 00
193330 2852N 09210W 8343 01613 0039 +176 +130 188037 038 029 000 00
193400 2852N 09208W 8334 01625 0038 +180 +127 187036 037 028 000 00
$$
;
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 33393
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Recon
000
URNT15 KNHC 291944
AF302 2109A HARVEY HDOB 22 20170829
193430 2853N 09205W 8337 01621 0039 +179 +129 188035 036 030 000 00
193500 2853N 09202W 8336 01625 0041 +177 +128 189037 037 031 000 00
193530 2854N 09200W 8339 01621 0041 +180 +124 191035 037 031 000 00
193600 2854N 09157W 8336 01625 0044 +179 +129 188034 035 031 000 00
193630 2854N 09155W 8335 01626 0045 +180 +126 190034 035 030 000 00
193700 2855N 09152W 8333 01630 0045 +179 +127 190035 036 029 000 00
193730 2855N 09150W 8339 01624 0044 +181 +128 190035 036 029 000 00
193800 2856N 09147W 8338 01626 0044 +180 +130 191038 038 029 000 00
193830 2856N 09144W 8334 01630 0045 +179 +137 192037 038 029 000 00
193900 2856N 09142W 8339 01626 0047 +176 +151 191036 037 029 000 00
193930 2857N 09139W 8335 01630 0049 +174 +155 191037 039 029 000 00
194000 2857N 09137W 8336 01631 0049 +178 +134 190038 039 028 001 00
194030 2858N 09134W 8337 01631 0051 +178 +133 189034 036 028 000 00
194100 2858N 09131W 8333 01636 0054 +175 +136 189033 034 028 000 00
194130 2858N 09129W 8339 01630 0055 +174 +139 187034 035 028 000 00
194200 2859N 09126W 8335 01636 0057 +172 +139 189036 036 027 000 00
194230 2859N 09124W 8334 01637 0056 +176 +140 189035 036 029 000 00
194300 2859N 09124W 8334 01637 0056 +178 +138 187034 035 029 000 00
194330 2900N 09119W 8333 01641 0057 +176 +140 186036 036 029 000 00
194400 2900N 09116W 8334 01641 0058 +180 +134 189036 037 028 000 00
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 291944
AF302 2109A HARVEY HDOB 22 20170829
193430 2853N 09205W 8337 01621 0039 +179 +129 188035 036 030 000 00
193500 2853N 09202W 8336 01625 0041 +177 +128 189037 037 031 000 00
193530 2854N 09200W 8339 01621 0041 +180 +124 191035 037 031 000 00
193600 2854N 09157W 8336 01625 0044 +179 +129 188034 035 031 000 00
193630 2854N 09155W 8335 01626 0045 +180 +126 190034 035 030 000 00
193700 2855N 09152W 8333 01630 0045 +179 +127 190035 036 029 000 00
193730 2855N 09150W 8339 01624 0044 +181 +128 190035 036 029 000 00
193800 2856N 09147W 8338 01626 0044 +180 +130 191038 038 029 000 00
193830 2856N 09144W 8334 01630 0045 +179 +137 192037 038 029 000 00
193900 2856N 09142W 8339 01626 0047 +176 +151 191036 037 029 000 00
193930 2857N 09139W 8335 01630 0049 +174 +155 191037 039 029 000 00
194000 2857N 09137W 8336 01631 0049 +178 +134 190038 039 028 001 00
194030 2858N 09134W 8337 01631 0051 +178 +133 189034 036 028 000 00
194100 2858N 09131W 8333 01636 0054 +175 +136 189033 034 028 000 00
194130 2858N 09129W 8339 01630 0055 +174 +139 187034 035 028 000 00
194200 2859N 09126W 8335 01636 0057 +172 +139 189036 036 027 000 00
194230 2859N 09124W 8334 01637 0056 +176 +140 189035 036 029 000 00
194300 2859N 09124W 8334 01637 0056 +178 +138 187034 035 029 000 00
194330 2900N 09119W 8333 01641 0057 +176 +140 186036 036 029 000 00
194400 2900N 09116W 8334 01641 0058 +180 +134 189036 037 028 000 00
$$
;
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139027
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: TEN - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion
BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102017
500 PM EDT Tue Aug 29 2017
...DISTURBANCE MOVING AWAY FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.0N 74.3W
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM NE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Discussion Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102017
500 PM EDT Tue Aug 29 2017
Visible satellite images indicate that a more well-defined
circulation has begun to form east of the Outer Banks, and surface
observations indicate that pressures are falling. The low is
becoming extratropical, and there is no longer a possibility of it
becoming a tropical cyclone. In addition, the associated
tropical-storm-force winds that have been occurring to the southeast
of the center are limited to marine areas, so this will be the last
NHC advisory on this system. Maximum winds are estimated to be 40
kt to the southeast of the center.
Baroclinic influences are expected to cause the low to deepen as an
extratropical cyclone during the next day or two, and it is forecast
to produce sustained hurricane-force winds over the northwestern
Atlantic by late Wednesday. Gradual weakening is forecast after 36
hours, and the cyclone is likely to be absorbed by another
extratropical system over the north Atlantic by day 5.
The low continues to accelerate toward the northeast with an initial
motion of 050/21 kt, and it should move even faster toward the
northeast or east-northeast across the north Atlantic through day 4,
embedded in the mid-latitude westerlies. The track, intensity, and
wind radii forecasts incorporate guidance provided by NOAA's Ocean
Prediction Center.
Strong winds on the northern and western side of a frontal boundary
associated with the low are expected to affect portions of the
mid-Atlantic coast. As a result, high wind warnings are in effect
for coastal sections of northeastern North Carolina, southeastern
Virginia, and the eastern shore of Virginia and Maryland through
this evening.
This is the last advisory issued by NHC, and additional information
on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header
FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at
http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 29/2100Z 36.0N 74.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 30/0600Z 37.6N 70.7W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 30/1800Z 39.3N 65.6W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 31/0600Z 40.9N 60.0W 70 KT 80 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 31/1800Z 42.8N 54.5W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 01/1800Z 47.4N 41.3W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 02/1800Z 52.0N 25.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 03/1800Z...ABSORBED
$$
Forecaster Berg
Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102017
500 PM EDT Tue Aug 29 2017
...DISTURBANCE MOVING AWAY FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.0N 74.3W
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM NE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Discussion Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102017
500 PM EDT Tue Aug 29 2017
Visible satellite images indicate that a more well-defined
circulation has begun to form east of the Outer Banks, and surface
observations indicate that pressures are falling. The low is
becoming extratropical, and there is no longer a possibility of it
becoming a tropical cyclone. In addition, the associated
tropical-storm-force winds that have been occurring to the southeast
of the center are limited to marine areas, so this will be the last
NHC advisory on this system. Maximum winds are estimated to be 40
kt to the southeast of the center.
Baroclinic influences are expected to cause the low to deepen as an
extratropical cyclone during the next day or two, and it is forecast
to produce sustained hurricane-force winds over the northwestern
Atlantic by late Wednesday. Gradual weakening is forecast after 36
hours, and the cyclone is likely to be absorbed by another
extratropical system over the north Atlantic by day 5.
The low continues to accelerate toward the northeast with an initial
motion of 050/21 kt, and it should move even faster toward the
northeast or east-northeast across the north Atlantic through day 4,
embedded in the mid-latitude westerlies. The track, intensity, and
wind radii forecasts incorporate guidance provided by NOAA's Ocean
Prediction Center.
Strong winds on the northern and western side of a frontal boundary
associated with the low are expected to affect portions of the
mid-Atlantic coast. As a result, high wind warnings are in effect
for coastal sections of northeastern North Carolina, southeastern
Virginia, and the eastern shore of Virginia and Maryland through
this evening.
This is the last advisory issued by NHC, and additional information
on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header
FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at
http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 29/2100Z 36.0N 74.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 30/0600Z 37.6N 70.7W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 30/1800Z 39.3N 65.6W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 31/0600Z 40.9N 60.0W 70 KT 80 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 31/1800Z 42.8N 54.5W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 01/1800Z 47.4N 41.3W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 02/1800Z 52.0N 25.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 03/1800Z...ABSORBED
$$
Forecaster Berg
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Kazmit
- Category 5
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- Age: 21
- Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2016 8:49 am
- Location: Williamsburg VA for college, Bermuda otherwise
Re: ATL: TEN - Post-Tropical - Discussion
A pretty heavy rainband is starting to move on top of us here in Bermuda. Winds are gusting to tropical storm force.
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Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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