ATL: TEN - Models

[Blown Away]

For what it's worth, you can see the NHC finding more interest closer to the SE convection...

[AutoPenalti]

For what it's worth, you can see the NHC finding more interest closer to the SE convection...

Peep that random model plot on the far left (out of map range) by UKM.

[Hurricaneman]

For what it's worth, you can see the NHC finding more interest closer to the SE convection...

Peep that random model plot on the far left (out of map range) by UKM.

That's Harvey that is the blue line

[TheStormExpert]

Take it with a HUGE GRAIN OF SALT as the Euro has performed poorly in it's mid-long range.

[TheStormExpert]

Here is how the 12z Euro run goes for 92L with it riding the Gulf Stream through at least off NC @ 168hrs.

[OuterBanker]

Here is how the 12z Euro run goes for 92L with it riding the Gulf Stream through at least off NC @ 168hrs.

If that were to pan out Harvey would head up the Mississippi valley after flooding Texas while Ida soaked the Carolina's.

I could produce flooding throughout the southeast as never seen before.

Sure hope this doesn't happen.

[jason1912]

[hd44]

Gfs hammers se New England.

[Emmett_Brown]

Gfs hammers se New England.

Yeah, that was a huge change! Phases with the trough next Tues, and bombs out in some sort of hybrid system just off shore of NJ, moves up along the NE coast! Very interesting GFS run.

[hd44]

Gfs hammers se New England.

Yeah, that was a huge change! Phases with the trough next Tues, and bombs out in some sort of hybrid system just off shore of NJ, moves up along the NE coast! Very interesting GFS run.

Possible and I am leaning on that direction. I think a landfall near Cape cod is possible baring more west shifts.

[hd44]

This hybrid on the gfs... not sure fully tropical... but warm seclusion?

[SouthDadeFish]

18Z GFS rewards 92L for hanging around for 472 months by developing it into a TC/STC and brushing New England next week. Genesis doesn't occur for over 120–144 hours from now though. We'll see....

Edit: Actually looks subtropical and maybe even extratropical. It interacts heavily with a mid-latitude trough.

[Bizzles]

0z CMC punts a 970 mb storm into the Chesapeake Bay @ 144

[Slughitter3]

Does anyone anticipate the ridge shown on the CMC verifying? That would be a bad situation for the Bay.

[Bizzles]

Does anyone anticipate the ridge shown on the CMC verifying? That would be a bad situation for the Bay.

IMO there's a 0.1% chance, there is just too much going on w/ Harvey for ANY of the models to be accurate on 92L more than 48 hr out (if that).

[weathaguyry]

This would bring some pretty wicked waves

[Miami Storm Tracker]

Rain now starting to push of the North coast of Cuba, if it holds together may have more rain here in Miami.

[jlauderdal]

Rain now starting to push of the North coast of Cuba, if it holds together may have more rain here in Miami.

in a typical summertime setup we would have had our rain for today and that would be it...however, we can see development north of key west in an area that was worked over earlier so this setup is really conducive to big totals...10 inch storm totals not out of the question south of i-4 before 92l exits the scene early next week

[StormTracker]

Rain now starting to push of the North coast of Cuba, if it holds together may have more rain here in Miami.

in a typical summertime setup we would have had our rain for today and that would be it...however, we can see development north of key west in an area that was worked over earlier so this setup is really conducive to big totals...10 inch storm totals not out of the question south of i-4 before 92l exits the scene early next week

Yeah I was looking at that too, so far nothing has come of it...

[tgenius]

Miami about to get that rain from off of Cuba in a few minutes.