ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 113633
Age: 62
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 28, 2017 6:43 am

AL, 93, 2017082718, , BEST, 0, 119N, 184W, 25, 0, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS023, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 023,
AL, 93, 2017082800, , BEST, 0, 120N, 190W, 25, 0, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS023, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 023,
AL, 93, 2017082806, , BEST, 0, 120N, 195W, 25, 1009, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 150, 40, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 023, SPAWNINVEST, al712017 to al932017,


Thread at Talking Tropics forum that was the topic for this area.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=119044
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 113633
Age: 62
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#2 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 28, 2017 6:54 am

8 AM TWO:

A tropical wave and associated low pressure area located just
offshore of the coast of western Africa is producing a large area of
showers and thunderstorms. This system has become better organized
since yesterday, and a tropical depression could form in a few days
over the eastern Atlantic. The low is forecast to move westward at
15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic during the next several
days. Regardless of development, heavy rain is possible in
portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.


Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
SFLcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3166
Age: 40
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Pompano Beach, Florida

Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#3 Postby SFLcane » Mon Aug 28, 2017 7:15 am

Very bullish all the way around here just about all models onboard. To early to know if a threat.
0 likes   

eastcoastFL
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 823
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#4 Postby eastcoastFL » Mon Aug 28, 2017 7:15 am

cycloneye wrote:8 AM TWO:

A tropical wave and associated low pressure area located just
offshore of the coast of western Africa is producing a large area of
showers and thunderstorms. This system has become better organized
since yesterday, and a tropical depression could form in a few days
over the eastern Atlantic. The low is forecast to move westward at
15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic during the next several
days. Regardless of development, heavy rain is possible in
portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.


http://i.imgur.com/9gFatSX.png



Have there been any model runs yet?
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 30894
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#5 Postby KWT » Mon Aug 28, 2017 7:20 am

Models are indeed very bullish on this one developing.

Very early days yet to forecast this one, most models do recurve it BUT its too early to discount any situation.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 20615
Age: 40
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#6 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 28, 2017 7:33 am

0 likes   

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16063
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#7 Postby RL3AO » Mon Aug 28, 2017 7:44 am

Has a good chance to be the 2nd major and produce enough ACE to shut down talk of a below average season.
11 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 113633
Age: 62
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#8 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 28, 2017 7:58 am

12Z Best Track:

AL, 93, 2017082812, , BEST, 0, 115N, 205W, 25, 1009, LO
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 113633
Age: 62
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#9 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 28, 2017 8:21 am

These CV longtrackers are the most I like (I am sure many of you too) to track especially if they dont threat any landmasses.Let's see if this one is only an open sea all the time or down the road a landmass is going to be threatened.For sure it will be fun to track as it will rack up ACE bigtime.
5 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

Michele B
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 505
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2016 8:08 am
Location: SWFL

Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#10 Postby Michele B » Mon Aug 28, 2017 8:26 am

Oh, boy.

Here we go!
0 likes   
Cleo - 1964, Betsy - 1965, David - 1979, Andrew - 1992, Charlie (Francis, Ivan, Jeanne) - 2004, Irma - 2017

User avatar
blp
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2295
Age: 39
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:51 pm
Location: Miami, FL
Contact:

Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#11 Postby blp » Mon Aug 28, 2017 8:34 am

Interesting to see the models have this lifting NNW and gaining latitude as it organizes and consolidates. Right now it looks to be heading west per last forecast update. I think this could have some implications downstream because if it stays at a lower latitude it might make it harder to lift out and also could be a problem for the island chain. Let' see how this evolves.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

otowntiger
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1426
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:06 pm
Location: Orlando

ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#12 Postby otowntiger » Mon Aug 28, 2017 9:42 am

its early, I know, but this looks like one to watch. It does look like it will start bending north towards the end, maybe fish or upper east coast threat? While I know its early it was about this distance out last year the models were calling for the ultimate strength and path of Matthew - as I recall we were watching closely about 10 days out and generally the early models had it correct.
0 likes   

CycloneCaptain
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 11
Joined: Mon Aug 14, 2017 7:14 am

Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#13 Postby CycloneCaptain » Mon Aug 28, 2017 10:04 am

Just hope its not a repeat of Gert
1 likes   
The predictions that you see above this signature may not be accurate and should not be taken as accurate weather advice. Please consult the NWS or the NHC for your weather needs.

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9661
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#14 Postby NDG » Mon Aug 28, 2017 10:18 am

ACE generator will kick in with this system, dust will be nonexistent this time around as it gets into the middle of the Atlantic.
1 likes   

User avatar
galaxy401
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1347
Age: 23
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:04 pm
Location: Casa Grande, Arizona

Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#15 Postby galaxy401 » Mon Aug 28, 2017 10:19 am

So we potentially have a long tracker here. We haven't had one in quite awhile. Let's see what this does and hopefully stays away from the Gulf.
1 likes   
I don't get hurricanes here but I do get their remnants.

ForeverFlorida90s

Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#16 Postby ForeverFlorida90s » Mon Aug 28, 2017 10:31 am

Is it weird that I like hurricanes so much that I hope and look forward to Them coming my way they are just so beautiful and interesting
3 likes   

User avatar
jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5323
Age: 52
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:

Re: RE: Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#17 Postby jlauderdal » Mon Aug 28, 2017 10:33 am

ForeverFlorida90s wrote:Is it weird that I like hurricanes so much that I hope and look forward to Them coming my way they are just so beautiful and interesting
Fair enough as long as your being honest
1 likes   

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16063
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#18 Postby RL3AO » Mon Aug 28, 2017 10:38 am

ForeverFlorida90s wrote:Is it weird that I like hurricanes so much that I hope and look forward to Them coming my way they are just so beautiful and interesting


I personally don't care if you want Florida to be hit by a strong hurricane. I know you have no control over that occurring. However, posts like that will lead to heated responses to you which will take the thread off topic. Therefore, we don't allow posts that wish for major hurricanes to hit land.
5 likes   

ForeverFlorida90s

Re: RE: Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#19 Postby ForeverFlorida90s » Mon Aug 28, 2017 10:39 am

jlauderdal wrote:
ForeverFlorida90s wrote:Is it weird that I like hurricanes so much that I hope and look forward to Them coming my way they are just so beautiful and interesting
Fair enough as long as your being honest


I remember the 04-05 seasons it's been a long time for us interesting to see what 93l does
0 likes   

ForeverFlorida90s

Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#20 Postby ForeverFlorida90s » Mon Aug 28, 2017 10:41 am

RL3AO wrote:
ForeverFlorida90s wrote:Is it weird that I like hurricanes so much that I hope and look forward to Them coming my way they are just so beautiful and interesting


I personally don't care if you want Florida to be hit by a strong hurricane. I know you have no control over that occurring. However, posts like that will lead to heated responses to you which will take the thread off topic. Therefore, we don't allow posts that wish for major hurricanes to hit land.

I understand so I'll just watch and wait patiently since that's all I can do
1 likes   


Return to “2017”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests