ATL: IRMA - Models
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
ViPIR model from WPTV shows a coast eyewall runner from Ft. Meyers to maybe Pasco Co.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
jhpigott wrote:Euro running yet?
It initialized, and has been taking it's time to spit out the 24 hour frame.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
jhpigott wrote:Euro running yet?
Yeah. Initial is out at 960 on low res 24 hour run. You'll need access to the pay versions for shorter plot times.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Euro actually west at Hour 30. Slightly off of St. Pete as opposed to Tampa.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
It's at least partially along the coast at 24 hours. Maybe a hair West of VIPIR - looks like a coast runner on that 24 hour jump.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
tallywx wrote:Euro actually west at Hour 30. Slightly off of St. Pete as opposed to Tampa.
Slightly off so no real landfalls but lots of coastal destruction with a large swath of populated coastline taking that 4 then 3 eyewall. I wonder if it comes in at all until like Carabelle or Alligator Point or maybe around Lake City. Interested to hear 36.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Looks like it must come in around Perry or Cross City based on the 48 hour line. I wouldn't have called that. Probably a Cat 2 up that way.
Ensembles had a lot of NE Gulf solutions at 12z. Euro vs GFS again. By the way that TV ViPIR model is insane. 4 up the coast until around Tampa then 3 up the coast until landfall. Kind of overdoing it but that would be something.
Ensembles had a lot of NE Gulf solutions at 12z. Euro vs GFS again. By the way that TV ViPIR model is insane. 4 up the coast until around Tampa then 3 up the coast until landfall. Kind of overdoing it but that would be something.
Last edited by Steve on Sun Sep 10, 2017 1:11 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
pcolaman wrote:Looks like more closer to Apalachicola
It's east of Apalachicola. Carabelle, Panacea, Alligator Point. Where Hermine hit.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
So 2 days out till northern gulf Coast . So possible shift towards the west later?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
pcolaman wrote:So 2 days out till northern gulf Coast . So possible shift towards the west later?
Depends on the short-term from Irma. I say if the eye comes in west of KW, something like this could verify. And it could very well be stronger than what the Euro shows. It's already nearly sub-930 and I fully expect to wake up to a monster.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
00z HWRF shifted E through 24 hours...
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
EC makes landfall near Sarasota after missing Charlotte harbor by less than 5 miles. It then moves back offshore for a final landfall in the Big Bend as a weakening hurricane. EC pressure manages to get down into the 930s
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
That's a pretty significant shift west.
Alyono wrote:EC makes landfall near Sarasota after missing Charlotte harbor by less than 5 miles. It then moves back offshore for a final landfall in the Big Bend as a weakening hurricane. EC pressure manages to get down into the 930s
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