ATL: KATIA - Hurricane - Discussion

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 081017
AF302 0413A KATIA HDOB 10 20170908
100800 2627N 09207W 3927 07741 0428 -138 -198 251008 010 021 001 00
100830 2625N 09207W 3926 07743 0427 -133 -189 252013 015 021 001 00
100900 2623N 09208W 3931 07733 0426 -133 -185 254011 014 024 001 00
100930 2621N 09208W 3929 07731 0426 -130 -182 272005 009 022 003 00
101000 2619N 09209W 3922 07746 0425 -134 -166 276015 019 023 001 00
101030 2616N 09209W 3934 07721 0424 -134 -173 299010 014 020 001 00
101100 2614N 09209W 3932 07731 0425 -133 -177 323011 013 020 000 00
101130 2612N 09210W 3925 07742 0425 -132 -196 313009 011 020 000 00
101200 2610N 09210W 3930 07735 0425 -125 -235 317007 008 021 000 00
101230 2608N 09211W 3932 07733 0426 -125 -235 335008 009 020 000 00
101300 2606N 09211W 3931 07736 0428 -127 -229 350011 012 018 000 00
101330 2604N 09212W 3928 07739 0427 -129 -225 346009 012 017 000 00
101400 2602N 09212W 3928 07739 0428 -127 -248 346009 011 016 000 00
101430 2600N 09213W 3930 07736 0427 -130 -223 359011 011 015 000 00
101500 2557N 09213W 3927 07738 0425 -130 -239 350010 011 013 000 00
101530 2555N 09214W 3927 07734 0422 -130 -236 344009 010 014 000 00
101600 2553N 09214W 3926 07734 0418 -130 -236 335007 009 012 001 00
101630 2551N 09215W 3927 07727 0415 -131 -230 339006 007 012 000 00
101700 2548N 09215W 3925 07732 0414 -156 -233 325008 008 013 000 00
101730 2546N 09216W 3926 07727 0412 -160 -233 322008 008 014 000 00
$$

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 081027
AF302 0413A KATIA HDOB 11 20170908
101800 2544N 09216W 3928 07720 0408 -137 -235 316008 008 014 000 00
101830 2541N 09217W 3933 07711 0407 -134 -234 288006 007 014 000 00
101900 2539N 09217W 3926 07728 0409 -157 -234 294005 006 014 000 00
101930 2536N 09218W 3930 07717 0409 -140 -216 283005 006 015 000 03
102000 2534N 09218W 3930 07722 0413 -140 -226 288005 005 015 000 00
102030 2531N 09219W 3929 07731 0419 -136 -224 284003 004 015 000 00
102100 2529N 09219W 3930 07729 0421 -135 -230 293002 003 014 000 00
102130 2526N 09220W 3929 07732 0421 -135 -227 315002 003 015 000 00
102200 2524N 09220W 3931 07727 0421 -131 -235 347001 002 016 000 00
102230 2521N 09221W 3929 07733 0422 -131 -237 009002 002 018 000 00
102300 2519N 09222W 3930 07730 0421 -127 -243 020001 002 015 000 00
102330 2516N 09222W 3927 07734 0421 -125 -250 163001 001 015 000 00
102400 2514N 09223W 3930 07729 0421 -125 -246 131002 002 015 000 00
102430 2512N 09223W 3929 07730 0421 -126 -250 125002 003 014 000 00
102500 2509N 09224W 3931 07728 0421 -123 -249 330000 002 014 000 00
102530 2507N 09224W 3927 07735 0423 -124 -251 303001 002 014 000 00
102600 2504N 09225W 3931 07730 0424 -125 -252 313001 002 014 000 00
102630 2502N 09225W 3930 07733 0424 -131 -235 257002 003 015 000 00
102700 2459N 09226W 3930 07732 0423 -134 -230 270002 003 015 000 00
102730 2457N 09226W 3929 07735 0425 -134 -231 264004 004 014 000 00
$$
;

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 081037
AF302 0413A KATIA HDOB 12 20170908
102800 2454N 09227W 3929 07736 0425 -133 -231 264004 004 015 000 00
102830 2452N 09227W 3931 07731 0425 -135 -227 253005 007 015 000 03
102900 2449N 09228W 3927 07739 0426 -135 -222 258007 008 015 000 00
102930 2447N 09228W 3933 07729 0425 -135 -217 259010 010 014 000 00
103000 2445N 09229W 3928 07736 0424 -134 -221 271008 009 015 000 00
103030 2442N 09229W 3929 07735 0424 -135 -219 281009 009 016 000 00
103100 2440N 09230W 3930 07730 0423 -134 -216 277008 009 016 000 00
103130 2437N 09230W 3931 07730 0424 -135 -210 270008 008 016 000 00
103200 2435N 09231W 3927 07737 0424 -133 -219 257007 008 015 000 00
103230 2432N 09232W 3929 07735 0425 -135 -215 265005 005 016 000 00
103300 2430N 09232W 3931 07732 0425 -135 -210 294005 006 015 001 03
103330 2428N 09234W 3929 07736 0425 -133 -211 293007 007 017 000 00
103400 2426N 09236W 3927 07737 0425 -134 -206 290006 007 017 000 00
103430 2424N 09237W 3934 07725 0425 -132 -192 257009 010 017 000 00
103500 2422N 09239W 3927 07738 0425 -131 -193 283006 009 017 000 00
103530 2420N 09241W 3930 07736 0424 -131 -172 340006 011 017 000 00
103600 2418N 09242W 3937 07724 0427 -126 -163 309010 013 015 001 00
103630 2417N 09244W 3922 07752 0430 -129 -176 296006 008 016 001 00
103700 2415N 09246W 3929 07743 0432 -127 -190 316007 008 020 002 00
103730 2413N 09247W 3929 07743 0433 -126 -196 339007 008 019 002 00
$$

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 081047
AF302 0413A KATIA HDOB 13 20170908
103800 2411N 09249W 3929 07743 0433 -125 -200 340007 008 015 000 00
103830 2409N 09250W 3930 07742 0433 -128 -195 324008 009 016 000 00
103900 2408N 09252W 3927 07742 0431 -146 -190 345004 008 016 000 00
103930 2406N 09253W 3929 07743 0433 -135 -195 087001 003 014 001 00
104000 2404N 09255W 3930 07742 0433 -135 -193 039002 003 015 000 00
104030 2402N 09256W 3929 07743 0433 -134 -199 008001 003 015 000 00
104100 2401N 09258W 3929 07743 0433 -133 -199 314001 002 015 000 00
104130 2359N 09300W 3929 07743 0432 -130 -205 057002 003 017 000 00
104200 2357N 09301W 3929 07743 0433 -133 -203 035001 002 017 000 00
104230 2355N 09303W 3929 07744 0433 -132 -203 123001 001 016 000 00
104300 2354N 09304W 3929 07743 0433 -130 -205 135002 002 015 000 00
104330 2352N 09306W 3930 07743 0434 -130 -206 132003 003 015 000 00
104400 2350N 09307W 3929 07745 0434 -130 -208 125003 003 016 000 00
104430 2348N 09309W 3928 07747 0436 -131 -208 157002 003 014 000 00
104500 2346N 09310W 3929 07745 0436 -130 -206 225001 002 015 000 00
104530 2345N 09312W 3929 07744 0435 -130 -209 217001 002 015 000 00
104600 2343N 09314W 3929 07744 0435 -130 -203 255001 001 016 000 00
104630 2341N 09315W 3927 07747 0435 -128 -212 095001 002 015 000 00
104700 2339N 09317W 3930 07743 0435 -129 -207 005002 002 014 000 00
104730 2338N 09318W 3929 07747 0434 -130 -209 119001 003 015 000 00
$$
;

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 081057
AF302 0413A KATIA HDOB 14 20170908
104800 2336N 09320W 3929 07744 0433 -130 -209 122002 003 016 000 00
104830 2334N 09321W 3930 07743 0434 -130 -203 234001 003 015 000 00
104900 2332N 09323W 3930 07744 0435 -129 -208 220004 004 016 000 00
104930 2331N 09324W 3929 07747 0436 -125 -209 193005 006 015 000 00
105000 2329N 09326W 3929 07748 0437 -125 -211 190006 007 016 000 00
105030 2327N 09327W 3929 07749 0437 -127 -207 206005 007 017 000 00
105100 2325N 09329W 3930 07745 0437 -129 -204 216005 006 017 000 00
105130 2324N 09330W 3929 07748 0437 -128 -211 210004 006 018 000 00
105200 2322N 09332W 3927 07750 0438 -130 -211 215002 003 023 000 00
105230 2320N 09333W 3927 07751 0433 -143 -204 200002 003 029 002 03
105300 2318N 09335W 3929 07749 0437 -132 -209 109001 002 028 003 00
105330 2317N 09337W 3930 07746 0437 -130 -206 078002 002 028 000 00
105400 2315N 09338W 3930 07744 0436 -131 -220 074004 005 021 001 00
105430 2313N 09340W 3927 07748 0435 -133 -216 074006 006 022 001 00
105500 2311N 09341W 3929 07746 0435 -130 -238 090006 006 019 001 00
105530 2309N 09343W 3927 07748 0435 -132 -233 079008 009 017 000 03
105600 2308N 09344W 3933 07738 0434 -135 -215 067009 009 017 000 00
105630 2306N 09346W 4050 07523 0426 -120 -195 086006 008 018 000 00
105700 2304N 09347W 4185 07274 0411 -100 -190 112006 007 017 000 00
105730 2302N 09349W 4328 07016 0393 -084 -163 115005 007 018 001 00
$$
;

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 081108
AF302 0413A KATIA HDOB 15 20170908
105800 2301N 09350W 4475 06757 0375 -070 -119 118013 018 019 001 00
105830 2259N 09352W 4604 06545 0360 -058 -128 120010 012 018 000 00
105900 2257N 09353W 4652 06447 0347 -055 -129 133011 011 019 000 00
105930 2256N 09355W 4659 06432 0343 -056 -129 138011 012 021 000 00
110000 2254N 09356W 4658 06433 0340 -058 -133 131012 013 019 000 00
110030 2252N 09358W 4659 06429 0338 -057 -131 126013 013 018 000 00
110100 2251N 09359W 4658 06429 0337 -055 -131 120013 013 020 000 00
110130 2249N 09400W 4659 06427 0336 -055 -131 117013 014 018 000 00
110200 2247N 09402W 4658 06428 0335 -055 -130 115014 015 018 000 00
110230 2246N 09403W 4689 06376 0332 -052 -134 121016 018 019 000 00
110300 2244N 09405W 4826 06154 0320 -038 -156 130019 020 019 000 00
110330 2242N 09406W 4979 05910 0306 -025 -113 129019 021 018 000 00
110400 2241N 09408W 5141 05668 0292 -011 -110 131022 022 019 000 00
110430 2239N 09409W 5289 05436 0279 +003 -099 135020 021 019 000 00
110500 2238N 09410W 5435 05218 0265 +017 -074 135020 021 020 000 00
110530 2236N 09412W 5578 05017 0016 +027 -056 131020 021 020 000 00
110600 2235N 09413W 5722 04814 0028 +035 -042 130021 022 018 000 00
110630 2233N 09414W 5870 04606 0031 +047 -030 129021 022 018 000 00
110700 2232N 09415W 6018 04403 0036 +057 -021 126022 023 019 000 00
110730 2230N 09417W 6166 04204 0036 +070 -007 123024 024 019 000 00
$$
;

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 081117
AF302 0413A KATIA HDOB 16 20170908
110800 2229N 09418W 6316 04007 0036 +085 -017 124024 025 018 001 00
110830 2227N 09419W 6463 03819 0048 +089 +006 123026 026 018 000 00
110900 2226N 09420W 6606 03636 0054 +096 +026 122026 026 020 000 00
110930 2224N 09422W 6748 03460 0058 +106 +034 123026 027 020 000 00
111000 2223N 09423W 6889 03287 0065 +110 +046 119028 028 021 001 00
111030 2221N 09424W 6959 03194 0059 +114 +050 120030 031 026 004 00
111100 2220N 09425W 6943 03209 0090 +099 +094 124031 033 024 015 03
111130 2219N 09426W 6967 03179 0058 +109 +081 129031 032 024 002 00
111200 2217N 09428W 6974 03170 0057 +115 +041 130032 032 023 001 00
111230 2216N 09429W 6970 03175 0052 +117 +039 128032 033 021 001 00
111300 2214N 09430W 6969 03177 0053 +117 +042 127033 033 022 001 00
111330 2213N 09431W 6970 03174 0049 +118 +048 130034 035 022 001 03
111400 2212N 09432W 6969 03174 0055 +111 +058 127034 035 021 000 00
111430 2210N 09434W 6965 03179 0060 +105 +076 126033 034 023 000 00
111500 2209N 09435W 6973 03168 0050 +115 +052 125032 033 023 001 03
111530 2208N 09436W 6971 03169 0043 +121 +046 128033 034 023 001 00
111600 2206N 09438W 6969 03172 0039 +125 +033 130035 035 023 000 00
111630 2205N 09439W 6969 03169 0038 +125 +033 127036 036 022 000 00
111700 2204N 09441W 6968 03169 0040 +121 +037 127037 037 022 001 00
111730 2203N 09442W 6970 03168 0038 +124 +034 125036 037 023 000 00
$$

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 081127
AF302 0413A KATIA HDOB 17 20170908
111800 2201N 09443W 6971 03164 0034 +124 +038 124036 037 024 000 00
111830 2200N 09445W 6970 03166 0033 +125 +049 127036 036 024 001 00
111900 2159N 09446W 6966 03169 0030 +124 +048 125037 038 024 000 00
111930 2157N 09448W 6970 03163 0031 +123 +050 126037 038 022 000 00
112000 2156N 09449W 6966 03167 0034 +119 +060 126037 039 022 000 00
112030 2155N 09450W 6969 03163 0045 +109 +064 124040 040 020 002 00
112100 2154N 09452W 6971 03159 0038 +113 +060 124040 040 021 002 00
112130 2152N 09453W 6970 03159 0026 +122 +059 125040 040 018 001 00
112200 2151N 09455W 6970 03156 0021 +125 +059 127040 041 018 001 00
112230 2150N 09456W 6969 03157 0021 +124 +064 126039 040 018 001 00
112300 2148N 09457W 6969 03156 0025 +120 +063 125042 042 018 000 00
112330 2147N 09459W 6970 03152 0019 +121 +052 130043 044 019 000 00
112400 2146N 09500W 6969 03153 0019 +120 +056 131045 046 020 000 00
112430 2145N 09501W 6969 03153 0023 +119 +058 130044 046 020 001 00
112500 2143N 09503W 6968 03153 0028 +113 +063 129044 046 020 001 00
112530 2142N 09504W 6970 03150 0026 +112 +057 129047 047 021 001 00
112600 2141N 09506W 6967 03150 0030 +109 +057 128049 049 024 001 00
112630 2140N 09507W 6967 03147 0036 +101 +055 128052 054 024 004 00
112700 2138N 09508W 6967 03144 0041 +095 +049 129054 055 025 005 00
112730 2137N 09510W 6967 03141 0047 +087 +052 128054 055 028 005 00
$$
;

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 081203
AF302 0413A KATIA HDOB 18 20170908
112800 2136N 09511W 6970 03135 0031 +097 +054 126055 056 031 005 00
112830 2135N 09512W 6969 03134 0035 +092 +057 123057 057 032 007 00
112900 2133N 09514W 6970 03129 0031 +092 +052 122057 058 034 007 00
112930 2132N 09515W 6967 03129 0025 +094 +055 123057 058 036 008 00
113000 2131N 09516W 6970 03123 0028 +089 +053 125064 065 037 008 00
113030 2129N 09518W 6970 03119 0025 +088 +055 124063 066 038 008 00
113100 2128N 09519W 6969 03116 0011 +093 +062 121062 064 040 008 00
113130 2127N 09521W 6970 03109 0016 +085 +064 117062 064 042 007 03
113200 2125N 09522W 6967 03108 0006 +088 +067 113067 069 044 008 03
113230 2124N 09523W 6965 03105 9998 +090 +062 111071 072 048 009 00
113300 2123N 09525W 6973 03086 0002 +082 +081 116074 078 058 024 03
113330 2121N 09526W 6967 03086 9970 +105 +105 124066 067 054 020 03
113400 2120N 09528W 6973 03066 9960 +095 +092 118068 069 060 010 03
113430 2119N 09529W 6974 03053 9950 +093 +093 118073 074 062 013 03
113500 2118N 09531W 6968 03040 9928 +098 +098 117080 083 065 019 00
113530 2116N 09532W 6969 03021 9894 +108 +108 114085 089 064 018 03
113600 2115N 09534W 6971 02989 9846 +122 +122 113070 086 068 037 03
113630 2114N 09536W 6987 02948 9818 +126 //// 105044 056 /// /// 05
113700 2112N 09537W 6982 02946 9777 +143 +120 099032 038 052 003 00
113730 2110N 09537W 6973 02950 9766 +146 +114 092027 029 030 001 00
$$

[Extratropical94]

URNT15 KNHC 081258
AF302 0413A KATIA HDOB 26 20170908
124800 2039N 09513W 6971 03131 0051 +084 +084 197043 045 047 014 03
124830 2040N 09515W 6967 03132 0040 +089 +089 200043 046 048 020 00
124900 2042N 09516W 6977 03118 0040 +089 +089 199041 043 050 022 00
124930 2043N 09517W 6970 03124 0031 +092 +092 209045 046 049 013 00
125000 2044N 09519W 6966 03121 0026 +087 +087 213047 047 050 007 00
125030 2046N 09520W 6969 03113 0019 +084 +078 211045 046 052 007 00
125100 2047N 09522W 6971 03106 0012 +088 +088 207046 048 053 011 00
125130 2048N 09523W 6956 03117 9998 +097 +097 209052 055 053 010 03
125200 2050N 09524W 6975 03087 9986 +097 +093 210048 055 057 007 00
125230 2051N 09526W 6966 03091 9965 +103 +079 207049 050 062 006 00
125300 2052N 09527W 6967 03079 9951 +105 +082 208053 054 064 007 00
125330 2054N 09528W 6964 03072 9944 +101 +081 207058 061 064 007 00
125400 2055N 09530W 6968 03051 9924 +103 +098 212065 067 068 013 00
125430 2056N 09531W 6964 03041 9912 +105 +105 213073 076 069 019 03
125500 2057N 09533W 6971 03004 9876 +117 +117 217079 083 063 064 00
125530 2059N 09534W 6955 02996 9840 +123 +123 221065 082 082 027 03
125600 2100N 09535W 6982 02944 9797 +131 +130 219044 058 083 018 03
125630 2101N 09536W 6970 02946 9755 +148 +124 214030 035 058 006 03
125700 2102N 09538W 6968 02940 9741 +151 +122 204020 027 038 001 03
125730 2103N 09540W 6967 02932 9730 +154 +122 186010 017 019 001 03

[Extratropical94]

URNT12 KNHC 081327
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL132017
A. 08/12:58:10Z
B. 21 deg 03 min N
095 deg 42 min W
C. 700 mb 2889 m
D. 74 kt
E. 197 deg 5 nm
F. 114 deg 89 kt
G. 034 deg 16 nm
H. EXTRAP 975 mb
I. 11 C / 3048 m
J. 17 C / 3038 m
K. NA / NA
L. CLOSED
M. C16
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 5 nm
P. AF302 0413A KATIA OB 06
PRELIMINARY, DO NOT RETRANSMIT
MAX FL WIND 89 KT 034 / 16 NM 11:35:30Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 700 MB

[Extratropical94]

URNT12 KNHC 081344
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL132017
A. 08/11:38:50Z
B. 21 deg 06 min N
095 deg 37 min W
C. 700 mb 2907 m
D. 65 kt
E. 027 deg 13 nm
F. 114 deg 89 kt
G. 023 deg 12 nm
H. 980 mb
I. 11 C / 3048 m
J. 15 C / 3026 m
K. 11 C / NA
L. CLOSED
M. C16
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF302 0413A KATIA OB 05
MAX FL WIND 89 KT 023 / 12 NM 11:35:30Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 145 / 10 KT
;

[404UserNotFound]

The weird part is that if the three-majors scenario plays out, it will play out with the same three letters as the eastern Pacific in 2015, and even in the same west-to-east order! (K, I, J)

[BZSTORM]

An earthquake of a magnitude 8.2 struck off the coast of Chiapas, Mexico, late on Thursday local time, the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC) said, citing USGS data.

Tsunami waves have been observed, it said.

Tsunami waves of more than 3 meters, or nearly 10 feet, above the tide level are possible along some coasts of Mexico, the PTWC said.

It added that tsunami waves of 0.3 to 1 meter above the tide level were possible for some coasts of American Samoa, Antarctica, the Cook Islands, Ecuador, El Salvador, French Polynesia, Guatemala, Kiribati, New Zealand, Samoa, Tokelau, Tuvalu, Vanuatu and Wallis and Futuna.

Tsunami waves of less than 0.3 meters above tide level were possible Colombia, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Hawaii, Honduras, Jarvis Island, Nicaragua, the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands, Palmyra Island, Panama and Peru.

USGS now re-calibrated to 8.1 was registering at 8.0 when it happened, because everywhere in Belize felt it incl the cayes (islands) off shore Belize, depending on location of home and material built from affected how strong it felt. I was surprised at the location to feel that one as strong as we did in Belize it normally has to be on the Honduras/Guatemala and Belize South border. No that was not a fun night for Mexico when you have Katia hurtling towards you. For their sake I really hope she doesn't intensify much more before landfall.

[Hurricanehink]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/13L/imagery/vis-animated.gif - eye is becoming more defined on satellite imagery. Looks like Katia wants to join her older siblings in the major hurricane club

[Hammy]

The weird part is that if the three-majors scenario plays out, it will play out with the same three letters as the eastern Pacific in 2015, and even in the same west-to-east order! (K, I, J)

Interesting note on that, it's also the same order the Atlantic last had three hurricanes at once.

[Ntxw]

The weird part is that if the three-majors scenario plays out, it will play out with the same three letters as the eastern Pacific in 2015, and even in the same west-to-east order! (K, I, J)

That is crazy!

Atlantic 2017
Katia-Irma-Jose

EPAC 2015
Kilo-Ignacio-Jimena

Meanwhile Katia is pretty close to pulling off the trifecta

[EquusStorm]

With its small window of time, last night I wasn't sure it could pull it off, but now it looks like it very well might. Absolutely incredible.

[northjaxpro]

With its small window of time, last night I wasn't sure it could pull it off, but now it looks like it very well might. Absolutely incredible.

Yeah I think Katia has just enough time to achieve Cat 3 major status and have the trifecta completed . This is just beyond amazing to see this going on in the Atlantic basin!!

[Sciencerocks]

112830 2135N 09512W 6969 03134 0035 +092 +057 123057 057 032 007 00
112900 2133N 09514W 6970 03129 0031 +092 +052 122057 058 034 007 00
112930 2132N 09515W 6967 03129 0025 +094 +055 123057 058 036 008 00
113000 2131N 09516W 6970 03123 0028 +089 +053 125064 065 037 008 00
113030 2129N 09518W 6970 03119 0025 +088 +055 124063 066 038 008 00
113100 2128N 09519W 6969 03116 0011 +093 +062 121062 064 040 008 00
113130 2127N 09521W 6970 03109 0016 +085 +064 117062 064 042 007 03
113200 2125N 09522W 6967 03108 0006 +088 +067 113067 069 044 008 03
113230 2124N 09523W 6965 03105 9998 +090 +062 111071 072 048 009 00
113300 2123N 09525W 6973 03086 0002 +082 +081 116074 078 058 024 03
113330 2121N 09526W 6967 03086 9970 +105 +105 124066 067 054 020 03
113400 2120N 09528W 6973 03066 9960 +095 +092 118068 069 060 010 03
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113630 2114N 09536W 6987 02948 9818 +126 //// 105044 056 /// /// 05
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