ATL: LEE - Post-Tropical Low - Discussion

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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#221 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Sep 26, 2017 11:51 pm

supercane4867 wrote:The EWRC happened this evening seems to be done. Eye diameter has clearly increased in recent frame while CDO is back to symmetrical.

I believe Lee should become a major after all.

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Doesn't look complete yet, still seeing the inner eyewall produce convection. The outer eye is noticeably larger.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#222 Postby Sciencerocks » Wed Sep 27, 2017 2:55 am

Looks complete now...Go 100knts nhc.

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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#223 Postby Hammy » Wed Sep 27, 2017 3:42 am

Still 95kts, despite significant improvement from earlier--either Lee is a Cat 3 now, or it was a Cat 1 earlier. It's baffling to have the current and earlier intensity the same given the change in appearance hours ago vs now.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#224 Postby NDG » Wed Sep 27, 2017 6:10 am

Another perfect picture satellite presentation of a hurricane of this historic 2017 hurricane season.

Image
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#225 Postby tolakram » Wed Sep 27, 2017 6:41 am

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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#226 Postby CyclonicFury » Wed Sep 27, 2017 6:59 am

Raw ADT up to T5.6 (final ADT at T5.4). Will be interesting to see the 12z SAB/TAFB Dvorak classifications. Lee certainly does look like a major hurricane this morning, more so than ever before.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#227 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Wed Sep 27, 2017 7:47 am

NHC going with 100 knots at 11:00 AM

Hurricane LEE
As of 12:00 UTC Sep 27, 2017:

Location: 30.3°N 56.5°W
Maximum Winds: 100 kt Gusts: N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 964 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1016 mb
Radius of Circulation: 150 NM
Radius of Maximum Wind: 15 NM
Eye Diameter: N/A

64 kt Wind Radii by Quadrant:
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#228 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Sep 27, 2017 7:50 am

He went from Lee the ultimate FAIL storm, to come back to join his brethren as a major. One of the great comebacks in the Atlantic which was not even expected.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#229 Postby tolakram » Wed Sep 27, 2017 7:54 am

AL, 14, 2017092618, , BEST, 0, 299N, 542W, 95, 971, HU,
AL, 14, 2017092700, , BEST, 0, 299N, 551W, 95, 970, HU,
AL, 14, 2017092706, , BEST, 0, 300N, 559W, 95, 969, HU,
AL, 14, 2017092712, , BEST, 0, 303N, 565W, 100, 964, HU,
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#230 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Wed Sep 27, 2017 8:14 am

CrazyC83 wrote:He went from Lee the ultimate FAIL storm, to come back to join his brethren as a major. One of the great comebacks in the Atlantic which was not even expected.


Very reminiscent of Michael in 2012.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#231 Postby NotSparta » Wed Sep 27, 2017 8:42 am

Wow, 5 major hurricanes. That's close to the record.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#232 Postby CyclonicFury » Wed Sep 27, 2017 9:16 am

NotSparta wrote:Wow, 5 major hurricanes. That's close to the record.

The record is 7, which is shared between 1961 and 2005. I think we'll get one more major before the end of the season but if we can get two more we will tie the record.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#233 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Sep 27, 2017 9:29 am

CyclonicFury wrote:
NotSparta wrote:Wow, 5 major hurricanes. That's close to the record.

The record is 7, which is shared between 1961 and 2005. I think we'll get one more major before the end of the season but if we can get two more we will tie the record.


1961 will likely lose one or two in reanalysis though.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#234 Postby supercane4867 » Wed Sep 27, 2017 9:53 am

He finally made it.

...LEE BECOMES THE FIFTH MAJOR HURRICANE OF THE 2017 SEASON...

11:00 AM AST Wed Sep 27
Location: 30.6°N 56.8°W
Moving: NW at 7 mph
Min pressure: 963 mb
Max sustained: 115 mph

Image

Image

Image
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#235 Postby Kazmit » Wed Sep 27, 2017 11:53 am

Taken a while ago.

Image
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#236 Postby tolakram » Wed Sep 27, 2017 12:01 pm

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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#237 Postby storm_in_a_teacup » Wed Sep 27, 2017 12:36 pm

Meanwhile on Facebook there are tons of sad reacts to the news of Lee's intensification. Given it is going to stay out to sea, I'm not sure what everyone is sad about.

This is literally the best outcome for everyone (the people, the planet, the storm, okay I am overdoing it on the last one :wink: ) involved. The storm delivers its heat and moisture to the mid-latitudes without killing anyone, and we get some science done.

Gonna confess this is why I went into astrophysics instead of meteorology. I get to watch powerful forces duke it out thousands of light years away where they can't hurt anyone. Unless of course there is a civilization currently being roasted by the relativistic jet of M87.
Ehhehhee
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#238 Postby supercane4867 » Wed Sep 27, 2017 1:41 pm

TXNT28 KNES 271758
TCSNTL

A. 14L (LEE)

B. 27/1745Z

C. 31.1N

D. 57.0W

E. ONE/GOES-E

F. T5.5/5.5/D0.5/24HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS

H. REMARKS...WMG EYE IS EMBEDDED IN AND SURROUNDED BY LG RESULTING IN
A DT OF 5.5 AFTER 0.5 IS ADDED AS AN EYE ADJUSTMENT. MET AND PT ARE ALSO
5.5. FT IS BASED ON DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL

...TURK

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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#239 Postby abajan » Wed Sep 27, 2017 7:06 pm

supercane4867 wrote:He finally made it.

...LEE BECOMES THE FIFTH MAJOR HURRICANE OF THE 2017 SEASON...

11:00 AM AST Wed Sep 27
Location: 30.6°N 56.8°W
Moving: NW at 7 mph
Min pressure: 963 mb
Max sustained: 115 mph

https://i.imgur.com/KPpQi3w.jpg

https://i.imgur.com/OiCsc2P.gif

https://i.imgur.com/4W7pVUx.gif


Lee Majors!
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#240 Postby Hammy » Wed Sep 27, 2017 7:31 pm

Since Lee made it to major operationally, it wouldn't surprise me to see the post-analysis intensity bumped up to 105-110kt.
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