WPAC: INVEST 92W

[euro6208]

92W INVEST 170922 1200 6.0N 152.0E WPAC 15 NA

No floater up yet but it looks good.

[mrbagyo]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/92W/92W_floater.html


looks quite good, I just dont know if it already has a westerly component

[euro6208]

096
WWPQ80 PGUM 230359
SPSPQ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
156 PM ChST Sat Sep 23 2017

PMZ161-171-231600-
KOROR PALAU-YAP-
156 PM ChST Sat Sep 23 2017

...CIRCULATION DEVELOPING EAST OF PALAU AND YAP...

A DEVELOPING CIRCULATION EAST OF PALAU AND YAP NEAR 5N142E IS
STEADILY MOVING WESTWARD TOWARD THE ISLANDS. SATELLITE DERIVED
WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH CAN BE FOUND NEAR THE CENTER OF THE
CIRCULATION. A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS..SHOWERS..AND
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION WILL REACH YAP BY
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND BY SUNDAY FOR PALAU.

RAINFALL MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH MONDAY WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR MUD SLIDES IN PALAU.

SEA CONDITIONS COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS IN THESE AREAS WITH A
COMBINATION OF NORTH SWELL AND WIND WAVES OF 8 TO 10 FEET
DEVELOPING THE NEXT FEW DAYS ACROSS PALAU AND YAP STATE.

IF YOU ARE PLANNING OUTDOOR OR MARINE ACTIVITY OR INTER-ISLAND
TRAVEL...BE AWARE OF CURRENT MARINE CONDITIONS AND STAY INFORMED
ON THE LATEST FORECASTS AND ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICES.

PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ARE POSTED ON THE
WFO GUAM WEB PAGE AT WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/GUAM/.

$$

Miller/Ziobro

[mrbagyo]

looks even better this afternoon but it's moving quite fast - it might run out of time

[doomhaMwx]

What a mess!


92W INVEST 170924 0600 4.8N 130.8E WPAC 15 1010

[euro6208]

THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 4.7N 135.5E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.8N 130.8E, APPROXIMATELY 540
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ZAMBOANGA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 240053Z AMSU METOP-B 89GHZ IMAGE SHOW AN
ELONGATED AND DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH
SCATTERED CONVECTION THROUGHOUT THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF LOW (5-10
KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, WITH
WARM (30-32 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS
INDICATE THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN WEAK AND TRACK TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST
OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.