WPAC: INVEST 90W

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3613
Age: 31
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:

WPAC: INVEST 90W

#1 Postby mrbagyo » Tue Oct 10, 2017 7:34 pm

90WINVEST.15kts-1003mb-162N-1254E.

Image
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#2 Postby euro6208 » Tue Oct 10, 2017 7:49 pm

AN AREA OF SHARP TURNING (INVEST 90W) AT THE NORTHWESTERN
EXTENT OF AN ACTIVE MONSOON TROUGH HAS PERSISTED NEAR
16.2N 125.4E, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA,
PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A
VERY BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION LOCATED
MOSTLY TO THE WEST OF ITS CENTER. THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY
LOCATED IN A MOSTLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL DUE TO GOOD UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENCE, LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KNOTS), AND
VERY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30-31 CELSIUS). GLOBAL MODEL
GUIDANCE IS CURRENTLY INDICATING THAT INVEST 90W MAY CONSOLIDATE OR
POTENTIALLY MERGE WITH INVEST 98W TO FORM A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS WHILE TRACKING WESTWARD NEAR THE TIP OF LUZON.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#3 Postby euro6208 » Tue Oct 10, 2017 7:50 pm

AN AREA OF SHARP TURNING (INVEST 90W) AT THE NORTHWESTERN
EXTENT OF AN ACTIVE MONSOON TROUGH HAS PERSISTED NEAR
16.2N 125.4E, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA,
PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A
VERY BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION LOCATED
MOSTLY TO THE WEST OF ITS CENTER. THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY
LOCATED IN A MOSTLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL DUE TO GOOD UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENCE, LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KNOTS), AND
VERY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30-31 CELSIUS). GLOBAL MODEL
GUIDANCE IS CURRENTLY INDICATING THAT INVEST 90W MAY CONSOLIDATE OR
POTENTIALLY MERGE WITH INVEST 98W TO FORM A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS WHILE TRACKING WESTWARD NEAR THE TIP OF LUZON.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#4 Postby euro6208 » Wed Oct 11, 2017 2:53 am

THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 16.2N 125.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 125.8E, APPROXIMATELY
280 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS FLARING CONVECTION ABOVE A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION (LLC). AN 110140 METOP-B ASCAT PASS SHOWS A BROAD,
ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH AN ARC OF 15 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING IN FROM
THE SOUTH. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS PUTS INVEST 90W IN AT THE EDGE OF
A REGION OF LOW (10-15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND VERY WARM (30-
31 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS
CURRENTLY INDICATING THAT INVEST 90W WILL TRACK TO THE NORTHWEST
TOWARDS LUZON WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING OR POTENTIALLY MERGING WITH
ANOTHER AREA OF TIGHT TURNING WITHIN THE TROUGH (INVEST 98W) OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/

User avatar
doomhaMwx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2398
Age: 25
Joined: Tue Apr 18, 2017 4:01 am
Location: Baguio/Benguet, Philippines
Contact:

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#5 Postby doomhaMwx » Wed Oct 11, 2017 3:43 am

Image

90W INVEST 171011 0600 15.4N 124.9E WPAC 15 1010

98W Thread
0 likes   
Like my content? Consider giving a tip.

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#6 Postby euro6208 » Wed Oct 11, 2017 7:05 pm

THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 16.2N 125.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 125.6E, APPROXIMATELY
167 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS FLARING CONVECTION ABOVE A PARTIALLY EXPOSED
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). AN 110140 METOP-B ASCAT PASS SHOWS A
BROAD, ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH AN ARC OF 15 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING
IN FROM THE SOUTH. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS PUTS INVEST 90W IN AT THE
EDGE OF A REGION OF LOW (10-15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND VERY
WARM (30-31 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE
IS CURRENTLY INDICATING THAT INVEST 90W WILL TRACK TO THE NORTHWEST
TOWARDS LUZON WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING OR POTENTIALLY MERGING WITH
ANOTHER AREA OF TIGHT TURNING WITHIN THE TROUGH (INVEST 98W) OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#7 Postby euro6208 » Wed Oct 11, 2017 7:07 pm

Image
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#8 Postby euro6208 » Thu Oct 12, 2017 4:40 am

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.2N
125.6E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/


Return to “2017”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 28 guests