ATL: PHILIPPE - Remnants - Discussion

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wxman57
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Re: ATL: PHILIPPE - TROPICAL STORM - Discussion

#341 Postby wxman57 » Sun Oct 29, 2017 12:46 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:Would say it is a little farther north than models had it.. lol good old reformations.. :P


Take a look at yesterday's 12Z EC. It had the low center north of Freeport at 12z today. Pretty good forecast.


yes however the 12z euro yesterday came through the straights not east/ne across the state exiting out from west palm area.


That's precisely what yesterday's 12Z EC indicated, moving ENE across southern Florida. Surface obs last night supported that track. Of course, there were no TS winds anywhere near that center.

Image

Image
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floridasun78
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Re: ATL: PHILIPPE - TROPICAL STORM - Discussion

#342 Postby floridasun78 » Sun Oct 29, 2017 1:32 pm

i have wind of ts that knock power for 30min so wind did go ts gust some saying south fl didnt get ts wind miami dis get good ts gust time weak low was crossing south after 11pm when nhc say was forecast going cross south fl
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Re: ATL: PHILIPPE - TROPICAL STORM - Discussion

#343 Postby Jelff » Sun Oct 29, 2017 2:29 pm

Here is a special map that shows wind gust forecasts from NOAA’s nowCOAST team. When the map opens it shows the forecast for 12 hours out. It is hard to take a color on the map and find that color in the legend.

When the map opens it is centered at the darkest red. I used a nifty free windows app that can display the hex color code of anything on my screen. The color at the center of the screen when the map opens is hex FF5A00 which on the map legend is 67.5 to 72.5 knots.

Note that the darkest red will be somewhere else after the next 4 hour update to the data on the NOAA GIS server.

If you click the basemap button you can select from 6hr, 12hr, 18hr gust forecasts. After you select a forecast then you should turn on the state outline layer.

For metadata see:
https://nowcoast.noaa.gov/arcgis/rest/s ... /MapServer

Map legend:
https://nowcoast.noaa.gov/arcgis/rest/s ... ver/legend

Map link: https://goo.gl/EZ2RD9
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Re: ATL: PHILIPPE - TROPICAL STORM - Discussion

#344 Postby galaxy401 » Sun Oct 29, 2017 6:02 pm

Late news.

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Philippe Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182017
500 PM EDT Sun Oct 29 2017

...PHILIPPE DISSIPATES OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.0N 75.0W
ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 46 MPH...74 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the remnants of Philippe were located near
latitude 31.0 North, longitude 75.0 West. The remnants of Philippe
have merged with a frontal system and are moving toward the
north-northeast near 46 mph (74 km/h).

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km)
from the center. Nearby NOAA buoy 41002 recently reported a
sustained wind of 43 mph (69 km/h) and a gust to 54 mph (87 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches)
based on data from NOAA buoy 41002.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.

$$
Forecaster Stewart
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I don't get hurricanes here but I do get their remnants.

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Re: ATL: PHILIPPE - Remnants - Discussion

#345 Postby MahFL » Mon Oct 30, 2017 1:35 am

170,000 power outages in Connecticut alone, from Eversource.
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