ATL: ALBERTO - Post-Tropical

[boca]

Wouldn’t it be ironic if the GFS was right and this cuts across Florida and out passed Jacksonville after all.

How's your Monday BBQ looking?

Not very good ha ha

[SeaBrz_FL]

Wouldn’t it be ironic if the GFS was right and this cuts across Florida and out passed Jacksonville after all.

Praying it's not true, but it's happened in the past with storms starting where Alberto has:

[AdamFirst]

GFS is east of the 18z run so far.

[WeatherEmperor]

0z GFS more east closer to Florida compared to 18z.




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[Evil Jeremy]

This is the farthest east the GFS has been, at every frame through 24 hours, in it's past 8 cycles.

[Twisted-core]

Shear plot suggests to me ALBERTO wont transition to full tropical. However subtropical/hybrid storms
do develop in regions of high wind shear. 50 /55 kt sts at landfall looks reasonable.

[tgenius]

That rain that’s about to get to Miami looks to be a doozy! Gonna be raining a good few hours with that one.

[jdjaguar]

Anyone have a good site for satellite imagery? The NHC is showing stuff from this afternoon still.

What happened to the NHC satellite feeds?

I've been viewing the various feeds for almost 2 decades.

Why was the decision made to limit the feeds?

Who made that terrible decision?

The NOAA branch NESDIS is responsible for the satellite images seen on the NHC website. It's my understanding the switch between the GOES-16 Satellite and the now retired GOES-13 satellite is the reason, as there needs to be some configuration/work done to remake the GOES-13 sectors for GOES-16. This is the works, but no ETA.

For now, there are plenty of options:
http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/tropical.asp

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=full_disk&x=10848&y=10848&z=0&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=16&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

https://realearth.ssec.wisc.edu/?products=G16-ABI-MESO1-BAND13-GRAD.64&center=18.091746056034697,-66.14764404296872&zoom=9&width=934&height=637&timeproduct=G16-ABI-MESO1-BAND13-GRAD&timespan=-6t&animationspeed=50

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/

http://www.weathernerds.org/satellite/floaters/

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/

https://atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/wxloop.cgi?wv_east_enhanced+24

Thanks!

[northjaxpro]

The 0Z GFS has Alberto into Apalachee Bay within 18-24 hours. That is a significant east shift.

[AdamFirst]

GFS landfalls around Destin at hour 42 (18z Monday) at 994~ MB

[AdamFirst]

It's hard to tell on infrared satellite sometimes - I'm guessing our center is in this area?

[Alyono]

canadian inland near Apalachicola in around 12Z Monday

[northjaxpro]

Alberto's coc still moving steadily N/NNE . GFS and UK MET really both handled Alberto very well to this juncture. We still have the end game in terns of landfall to come. However, no question these two models have consistently had the east solutions all week.

[FLpanhandle91]

It seems that Alberto is already moving almost due north on the latest GOES loops. I dont think GFS is picking up on that and is carrying it too far east. Will be curious to see the Euro.

[psyclone]

for my money the most impressive feature of this system is the massive feederband off to the east edging toward se florida and back southwest over cuba and on south. Recall the GFS spit out some giant QPF values for se florida a few days ago so depending on how this evolves...it may have been on to something..

[AdamFirst]

for my money the most impressive feature of this system is the massive feederband off to the east edging toward se florida and back southwest over cuba and on south. Recall the GFS spit out some giant QPF values for se florida a few days ago so depending on how this evolves...it may have been on to something..

The GFS has been on to something overall. Consistently the eastern outlier, and its track - for the near term - seems to be verifying.

[N2FSU]

Oz GFS

[MidnightRain]

Alberto racing into shear and the cooler side of the Gulf. Convection already warming, may never see a tropical transition.

[bamajammer4eva]

canadian inland near Apalachicola in around 12Z Monday

Initialization of Canadian also too far west so might would have been even farther East??

[Miami Storm Tracker]

Evening all,

Down here in Key Largo. Benn a combination of lite rain the a squall comes in and hear rain since late yesterday. Most of today light rain with a few heavy showers and a bit gusty but nothing to serious.