ATL: ALBERTO - Post-Tropical

[Miami Storm Tracker]

My apologies for the typos I am have asleep.

[Alyono]

0Z HWRF is AWFUL

center at 3Z was a full degree north of where ASCAT and recon fixed it

[SouthFloridawx]

Fine it is... sleep you must...

My apologies for the typos I am have asleep.

[bamajammer4eva]

My guess based on radar of center. Alberto likes the Eastside of the cone/Cooler side of the Gulf.

[Twisted-core]

00z uknet

https://imgur.com/TFqg3Xu

[Jag95]

Looks like it's moving right along too. I'm starting to think this might end up in the Big Bend area.

[stormhunter7]

200 AM EDT Sun May 27 2018

...ALBERTO MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO...
...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
FLORIDA...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.2N 84.5W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM WSW OF THE DRY TORTUGAS
ABOUT 380 MI...615 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

Moving along...

[HeeBGBz]

Has the Euro come out yet?

[stormhunter7]

Do believe the transition phase to tropical is underway. Could be tropical at 5, but most likely the lunch time advisory. Dry is wrapping in, but CDO is expanding to west. Due believe the winds are coming up too.

[chaser1]

Yep, this storm wants to hug Florida it seems. Getting ready to see a few roadway kayak video scenes from a few different Florida locales during the next couple days! Looks like we can right this off as just one more EURO model achievement - nailed it! (Not)

[FLpanhandle91]

Has the Euro come out yet?

Running right now. Still on first frame.

[chaser1]

Do believe the transition phase to tropical is underway. Could be tropical at 5, but most likely the lunch time advisory. Dry is wrapping in, but CDO is expanding to west. Due believe the winds are coming up too.

Core has to be warming some; still though... I wouldnt consider Alberto tropical, not yet anyway

[AtlanticWind]

Euro way east

[FLpanhandle91]

Absolutely massive shift east in the euro this run.

[Hammy]

Latest radar.

[Evil Jeremy]

GFS, ECMWF, and CMC all made sizeable jumps closer to the Florida west coast and big bend area, showing a central panhandle landfall. I forsee another sizable east and north adjustment to the NHC cone at next advisory and TS warnings for the FL big bend. Looks like the scenario everyone found most plausible about a week ago is what's going to play out in the end. I wonder how often that happens.

[toad strangler]

GFS, ECMWF, and CMC all made sizeable jumps closer to the Florida west coast and big bend area, showing a central panhandle landfall. I forsee another sizable east and north adjustment to the NHC cone at next advisory and TS warnings for the FL big bend. Looks like the scenario everyone found most plausible about a week ago is what's going to play out in the end. I wonder how often that happens.

#Climo

[FLpanhandle91]

I'm not buying this run by the euro. No change in ridging upper level trough. Has Alberto magically not being influenced by the trough and then plowing into the ridge.

[CronkPSU]

how much closer to the west coast of florida this run...does it change much besides higher rain totals?

[bamajammer4eva]

Updated radar pic guess of the COC vs cone