ATL: ISAAC - Models

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#301 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Tue Sep 11, 2018 12:46 am

catskillfire51 wrote:Euro is at 1 right? curious if all 4 show something

Euro comes out between 2 and 3 am eastern time, so ya Starts At 2 central time. It will be interesting to see if it also shows a gulf storm out of isaac. That would then be 4 global graphical models showing this solution.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#302 Postby catskillfire51 » Tue Sep 11, 2018 12:50 am

Yeah the Euro has most of my interest too because it shows 95L developing into a small storm while all the other models have nothing. So if they all bring Isaac into the gulf as a storm or cat 1 I imagine the Euro will. Coincidentally it just started running too.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#303 Postby SoupBone » Tue Sep 11, 2018 8:39 am

So the 6Z GFS is back to killing Isaac in the Caribbean again, following an island landfall as a TS. Looks to be headed toward northern Belize, then poof.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#304 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Tue Sep 11, 2018 9:04 am

models cant ahold of isaac at the moment.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#305 Postby SoupBone » Tue Sep 11, 2018 9:11 am

SEASON_CANCELED wrote:models cant ahold of isaac at the moment.



Maybe not, but the Euro has at least been the most consistent with its solution. Right or wrong, it hasn't flopped around like the GFS. Time will tell.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#306 Postby BigB0882 » Tue Sep 11, 2018 10:38 am

Can anyone share what the latest Euro showed for this?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#307 Postby Blinhart » Tue Sep 11, 2018 11:00 am

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#308 Postby supercane4867 » Tue Sep 11, 2018 11:21 am

HWRF is really on something :lol:

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#309 Postby artist » Tue Sep 11, 2018 11:34 am

Image


Here is what some think of the cotc model-
COTC: A version of the US Navy's global model, which is kind of meh for hurricanes and is 12 hours old.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#310 Postby SoupBone » Tue Sep 11, 2018 11:40 am

12Z GFS buries Isaac in Central America, then pushes the remnants into Mexico.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#311 Postby floridasun78 » Tue Sep 11, 2018 11:40 am

nhc think HWRF over do it
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#312 Postby Blinhart » Tue Sep 11, 2018 11:44 am

artist wrote:Image


Here is what some think of the cotc model-
COTC: A version of the US Navy's global model, which is kind of meh for hurricanes and is 12 hours old.



Don't like the CMC at all.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#313 Postby stormlover2013 » Tue Sep 11, 2018 11:48 am

CMC sucks
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#314 Postby mcheer23 » Tue Sep 11, 2018 12:15 pm

CMC went back to the SETX/SWLA solution again.

Take it with a grain of salt.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#315 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Tue Sep 11, 2018 1:32 pm

SoupBone wrote:
SEASON_CANCELED wrote:models cant ahold of isaac at the moment.



Maybe not, but the Euro has at least been the most consistent with its solution. Right or wrong, it hasn't flopped around like the GFS. Time will tell.


Still cant pinpoint wether it goes in Belize, Dies over cuba, or destroys new orleans
I am concerned about this one (tampa florida)

Will wait and see we will know for sure within 300 miles next monday.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#316 Postby artist » Tue Sep 11, 2018 2:14 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#317 Postby redneck51 » Tue Sep 11, 2018 3:41 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#318 Postby bella_may » Tue Sep 11, 2018 3:57 pm

Really worried this will get in the gulf
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#319 Postby NDG » Tue Sep 11, 2018 4:20 pm

Some Euro ensembles show Isaac restrengthening over the western Caribbean/southern GOM, but a small chance right now, something to watch over the next few runs for any trends towards restrengthening.

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#320 Postby La Breeze » Tue Sep 11, 2018 4:31 pm

Blinhart wrote:
artist wrote:https://s33.postimg.cc/vpurkrljz/storm_09.gif


Here is what some think of the cotc model-
COTC: A version of the US Navy's global model, which is kind of meh for hurricanes and is 12 hours old.



Don't like the CMC at all.

I don't either, Blinhart. I'm south of you in Vermilion Parish - but this is only one model. My gut is telling me (hopefully) that this is not our ball game.
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