SPAC: GITA - Tropical Cyclone (09P)

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Re: SPAC: GITA - Tropical Cyclone (09P)

#61 Postby euro6208 » Tue Feb 13, 2018 4:17 am

09P GITA 180213 0600 21.0S 179.5W SHEM 115 937
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Re: SPAC: GITA - Tropical Cyclone (09P)

#62 Postby Highteeld » Tue Feb 13, 2018 9:28 am

Raw ADT up to 6.3 with cleared eye

Image
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https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: SPAC: GITA - Tropical Cyclone (09P)

#63 Postby Iune » Tue Feb 13, 2018 2:52 pm

Gita is now a Category 5 on the Australian scale

Code: Select all

WHPS01 NFFN 131800
HURRICANE WARNING 033 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Feb 131908 UTC.

TROPICAL CYCLONE GITA CENTRE 927HPA CATEGORY 5 WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9 SOUTH 178.5
EAST AT 131800 UTC.
POSITION GOOD.
REPEAT POSITION 20.9S 178.5E AT 131800 UTC.
CYCLONE MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS.
EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 110 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE.

EXPECT WINDS OVER 63 KNOTS WITHIN 55 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE
EXPECT WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 75 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 110 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 110 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT
EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 130 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 210 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 210  NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 120 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT

FORECAST POSITION NEAR 21.2S 176.8E AT 140600 UTC
              AND NEAR 21.4S 175.2E AT 141800 UTC.

ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE ARE REQUESTED TO SEND REPORTS
EVERY THREE HOURS TO RSMC NADI. VOS REPORTING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER
VESSELS FAX PLUS 679 6720190 OR EMAIL NADITCC AT MET DOT GOV DOT FJ

THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 032.

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Re: SPAC: GITA - Tropical Cyclone (09P)

#64 Postby Iune » Tue Feb 13, 2018 11:15 pm

According to various reports, 40% of Nukuʻalofa – including the Tongan Parliament building – was either damaged or destroyed during the passage of Gita.

https://in.reuters.com/article/us-pacif ... NKBN1FW2HX
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-43039931
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Re: SPAC: GITA - Tropical Cyclone (09P)

#65 Postby cycloneye » Wed Feb 14, 2018 10:58 am

Great loop.

@NOAASatellitePA
A close-up of Tropical Cyclone #Gita in the South Pacific, near sunset, courtesy of the Japan Meteorological Agency's #Himawari-9 satellite.

 https://twitter.com/NOAASatellitePA/status/963803665705455617


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Re: SPAC: GITA - Tropical Cyclone (09P)

#66 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Wed Feb 14, 2018 12:01 pm

Is this already annular??
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Re: SPAC: GITA - Tropical Cyclone (09P)

#67 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Feb 14, 2018 10:16 pm

Cool to see ASCAT resolving the large eye.

Image

Image

Image
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Re: SPAC: GITA - Tropical Cyclone (09P)

#68 Postby Digital-TC-Chaser » Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:22 am

Copernicus
US

@ CopernicusEU

The eye of # TCgita # Gita as seen by our # Sentinel3 while the tropical cyclone hovered past # Fiji after-Causing massive damage to # Tonga
ESA EarthObservation , ESA , EUMETSAT and 7 others

Image
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Re: SPAC: GITA - Tropical Cyclone (09P)

#69 Postby Digital-TC-Chaser » Thu Feb 15, 2018 7:00 am

Vanuatu Meteorology and Geo-Hazards Department
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PORT VILA
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP
Severe Tropical Cyclone GITA
Tropical Cyclone Forecast Track Map Number 4 issued at 5:50 pm VUT Thursday 15 February 2018ImageThe forecast path shown above is VMGD's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks.

Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning & watch zones reflects this.


Remarks:

Heavy rainfall is expected over southern and parts of central islands and continuing
tomorrow. Flooding is expected over low lying areas. A strong wind warning for the southern
waters and a severe weather warning has been issued for the southern islands of Vanuatu.

See, separate Marine strong wind warning and Severe weather warning for heavy rainfalls.

Name: Severe Tropical Cyclone GITADetails:
Time (VUT) Intensity Category Latitude
(decimal deg.) Longitude
(decimal deg.) Estimated Position
Accuracy (km)
0hr 5 pm February 15 4 21.8S 173.6E 95
+6hr 11 pm February 15 4 22.0S 172.7E 95
+12hr 5 am February 16 4 22.4S 171.7E 95
+18hr 11 am February 16 3 22.7S 170.8E 95
+24hr 5 pm February 16 3 23.2S 169.9E 95
+36hr 5 am February 17 3 24.3S 168.2E 110
+48hr 5 pm February 17 3 25.5S 166.7E 110
+60hr 5 am February 18 2 27.1S 165.6E 130
+72hr 5 pm February 18 2 28.9S 164.9E 130
The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 11:00 pm VUT Thursday



Image
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Re: SPAC: GITA - Tropical Cyclone (09P)

#70 Postby Highteeld » Thu Feb 15, 2018 7:40 am

Image
Has anybody calculated how much ACE Gita has accumulated?
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: SPAC: GITA - Tropical Cyclone (09P)

#71 Postby 1900hurricane » Thu Feb 15, 2018 7:53 am

23.7875 units as of 06Z.
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Re: SPAC: GITA - Tropical Cyclone (09P)

#72 Postby BYG Jacob » Thu Feb 15, 2018 3:23 pm

Digital-TC-Chaser wrote:
Vanuatu Meteorology and Geo-Hazards Department
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PORT VILA
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP
Severe Tropical Cyclone GITA
Tropical Cyclone Forecast Track Map Number 4 issued at 5:50 pm VUT Thursday 15 February 2018ImageThe forecast path shown above is VMGD's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks.

Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning & watch zones reflects this.


Remarks:

Heavy rainfall is expected over southern and parts of central islands and continuing
tomorrow. Flooding is expected over low lying areas. A strong wind warning for the southern
waters and a severe weather warning has been issued for the southern islands of Vanuatu.

See, separate Marine strong wind warning and Severe weather warning for heavy rainfalls.

Name: Severe Tropical Cyclone GITADetails:
Time (VUT) Intensity Category Latitude
(decimal deg.) Longitude
(decimal deg.) Estimated Position
Accuracy (km)
0hr 5 pm February 15 4 21.8S 173.6E 95
+6hr 11 pm February 15 4 22.0S 172.7E 95
+12hr 5 am February 16 4 22.4S 171.7E 95
+18hr 11 am February 16 3 22.7S 170.8E 95
+24hr 5 pm February 16 3 23.2S 169.9E 95
+36hr 5 am February 17 3 24.3S 168.2E 110
+48hr 5 pm February 17 3 25.5S 166.7E 110
+60hr 5 am February 18 2 27.1S 165.6E 130
+72hr 5 pm February 18 2 28.9S 164.9E 130
The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 11:00 pm VUT Thursday



Image

Wow, that's about as classic of a look you can get
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Re: SPAC: GITA - Tropical Cyclone (09P)

#73 Postby Iune » Sat Feb 17, 2018 4:16 pm

Based on the damage estimates throughout the South Pacific, I'm all but certain that Gita will be retired. There is a standby list of names used to replace retired names in the basin, so Gita will likely be replaced by Garth.

Meanwhile, the New Zealand MetService is currently warning on Gita as a Category 3 cyclone. To be honest, I like the look of these forecast maps better than the one from RSMC Nadi.

Image
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Re: SPAC: GITA - Tropical Cyclone (09P)

#74 Postby johngaltfla » Sat Feb 17, 2018 10:35 pm

Gang, I'm not 100% sure, but I do believe this is Cyclone Gita courtesy of Tesla's Starman cam(I took a quick screen shot)...and wow, what a view from the angle, that is one impressive storm:

Image
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Re: SPAC: GITA - Tropical Cyclone (09P)

#75 Postby WAcyclone » Sun Feb 18, 2018 2:56 pm

johngaltfla wrote:Gang, I'm not 100% sure, but I do believe this is Cyclone Gita courtesy of Tesla's Starman cam(I took a quick screen shot)...and wow, what a view from the angle, that is one impressive storm:

https://i2.wp.com/johngaltfla.com/wordp ... .jpg?w=800


That's not Cyclone Gita. At the time, it was still Invest 97P which can be seen in this image:

Image

There were some very nice shots of Cyclone Cebile though! :D
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