WPAC: SANBA - Post-Tropical

[cycloneye]

As of 00:00 UTC Feb 08, 2018:

Location: 8.1°N 150.0°E
Maximum Winds: 20 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1008 mb

[cycloneye]

JMA upgrades to Tropical Depression.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 09N 151E WNW SLOWLY.

[1900hurricane]

ASCAT missed (because of course it did), but the 00Z PTKK sounding got a good look at the southeast side of the circulation. Moisture could be better, but the vertical wind profile is way better than the mess it showed this morning.

[StruThiO]

1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7.4N 151.6E TO 10.1N 144.8E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 072100Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 7.5N 151.1E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 9.0N 149.2E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.5N 151.1E, APPROXIMATELY 520
NM SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
COVERED BY CONVECTION THAT IS BEGINNING TO PERSIST AND WRAP IN. A
072001Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS FORMATIVE LOW LEVEL
BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC WITH POCKETS OF DEEP CONVECTION IN
THE VICINITY OF THE LLCC. A 071043Z ASCAT IMAGE SHOWS A BROAD
CIRCULATION WITH PRIMARILY 10-15 KNOT WINDS AND HIGHER WINDS
LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE DISTURBANCE, BEGINNING TO WRAP IN. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT 93W IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF STRONG
POLEWARD OUTFLOW, MODERATE (15-20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS),
AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-31 CELSIUS) WHICH WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THE DISTURBANCE.
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL TRACK TO THE WEST.
GFS AND NAVGEM PREDICT 93W WILL DEVELOP QUICKLY; HOWEVER, UKMET AND
ECMWF FAVOR ONLY SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION AS THE CIRCULATION
PROPAGATES WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
082230Z.//
NNNN

[euro6208]

TPPN10 PGTW 080855

A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 93W (SE OF GUAM)

B. 08/0830Z

C. 9.39N

D. 149.65E

E. FIVE/HMWRI8

F. T1.5/1.5 STT: S0.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. CONVECTION IS
SHEARED >100NM, THEREFORE DT IS TOO WEAK. MET YIELDS A 1.5
WHILE PT YIELDS A 1.0. DBO MET.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE


LEMBKE

TXPQ21 KNES 080903
TCSWNP

A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (93W)

B. 08/0830Z

C. 9.4N

D. 149.7E

E. THREE/HIMAWARI-8

F. T1.0/1.0/D1.0/24HRS

G. IR/EIR/SWIR

H. REMARKS...GREATER THAN 0.2 BANDING YIELDS A DT OF 1.0. MET AND PT
ARE 1.0. FT IS BASED ON DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...KIM

[Highteeld]

[xtyphooncyclonex]

Needs a relocation. There is an apparent circulation much closer to the bulk of the convection

[cycloneye]

JMA is much more north than JTWC.


TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 12N 150E WNW SLOWLY.

[cycloneye]

JTWC upgrades to TD 02W.

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING
NR 01//
RMKS//
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 243 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
WITH FALRING CONVECTION ALONG ITS AXIS AND A BROAD AREA OF
CONVECTION TO THE NORTHEAST. THE ANIMATION DOES REVEAL SOME MID
LEVEL TURNING IN THE CONVECTIVE MASS TO THE NORTH OF THE INITIAL
POSITION; HOWEVER, THERE IS NOT AN LLC ASSOCIATED WITH THAT
CONVECTION AT THIS TIME. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH LOW
CONFIDENCE BASED ON ANIMATED EIR IMAGERY ALONG WITH A 081647Z SSMI
85 GHZ MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGE SHOWING LOW LEVEL CLOUD WRAPPING
INTO AN ELONGATED CENTRAL AREA. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS ASSESED AT
20 KNOTS BASED ON THE LACK OF CONSISTENT CONVECTION OVER THE LLC AND
SUPPORTED BY A 081005Z OSCAT IMAGE. THE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE
WITH 5 TO 10 KNOTS OF VWS AND GREATER THAN 28C SSTS. THE SYSTEM IS
CURRENTLY TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN BOUNDARY OF A
STR TO THE NORTHEAST.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. THIS IS THE INITIAL PROGNOSTIC REASONING AND SETS THE FORECAST
PHILOSOPHY.
B. TD 02W IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AFTER TAU 12
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTHWEST. IT WILL
THEN TRACK DUE WEST AFTER TAU 48 ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE
STEERING RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY UNTIL
TAU 72 AS IT ENCOUNTERS FAVORABLE SSTS AND FAVORABLE TO MARGINAL
WINDSHEAR.
C. AFTER TAU 72, LAND INTERACTION WITH THE PHILLIPINES IS EXPECTED
TO SPIN DOWN THE SYSTEM. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIRLY TIGHT
AGREEMENT; HOWEVER, DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE INITIAL POSITION, THERE
IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST AT THIS TIME.//

[euro6208]

000
WTPQ31 PGUM 082356
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP022018
956 AM ChST FRI FEB 9 2018

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W FORMS SOUTHEAST OF GUAM...

Changes with this advisory
--------------------------
This is the first advisory.

Watches and warnings
--------------------
A tropical storm watch is now in effect for Fais, Ulithi, Yap and
Ngulu in Yap State.

Summary of 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...Information
-----------------------------------------------
Location...10.8N 147.3E

About 235 miles north of Satawal
About 240 miles northeast of Faraulep
About 250 miles southeast of Guam
About 315 miles south-southeast of Saipan
About 330 miles northeast of Woleai
About 465 miles east of Fais
About 525 miles east of Ulithi
About 630 miles east of Yap
about 910 miles east-northeast of Koror Palau

Maximum sustained winds...25 mph
Present movement...north-northwest...330 degrees...at 14 mph.

Discussion and outlook
----------------------
At 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression 02W was
located near Latitude 10.8 degrees North and Longitude 147.3 degrees
East. Tropical Depression 02W is moving toward the north-northwest at
14 mph. Tropical Depression 02W is forecast to turn toward the west
and then the west-southwest with a slight increase in forward speed
through Saturday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are currently 25 mph. Tropical Depression 02W
is expected to slowly intensify over the next several days, possibly
becoming a tropical storm by Saturday afternoon.

Next advisory
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National Weather Service
at 200 PM this afternoon.

$$

Stanko/Nierenberg

[xtyphooncyclonex]

JTWC's forecast is a bit bearish, this could become a typhoon once it strikes CARAGA or Eastern Visayas... GFS insists on very quick intensification due to the Philippine Sea effect and very low shear west of Palau.

[euro6208]

[xtyphooncyclonex]

Improvements?? Not much. Looks messy and struggling. It could take quite some time until it crosses Palau and there I see intensification potential

[euro6208]

WDPN31 PGTW 090900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING
NR 03//
RMKS//
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 203 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH
CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE NORTHEAST. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON
A 090618Z 89 GHZ AMSU MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWING WEAK BANDING AND
CONVECTION TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE LLCC. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 30
KNOTS IS BASED ON A PGTW DVORAK ESTIMATE OF T2.0 (30 KNOTS) AND
HEDGED SLIGHTLY BELOW A 090616Z SATCON ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 TO 20 KNOTS)
AND A DEVELOPING POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES
ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT, RANGING FROM 28 TO 29 DEGREES CELSIUS.
TD 02W IS BEING STEERED SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) LOCATED TO THE NORTHWEST.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. THERE IS NO CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE
PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE.
B. TD 02W IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS AS THE STR LOCATED TO THE NORTHWEST BUILDS AND THE STR TO THE
NORTHEAST WEAKENS. AS TD 02W BEGINS TO ROUND THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE
STR IT WILL BEGIN TO TRACK MORE WESTWARD. TD 02W WILL EXPERIENCE
FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS AND TRACK OVER WARM WATER ALLOWING
IT TO GRADUALLY INCREASE IN INTENSITY TO 50 KNOTS BY TAU 48. SHORTLY
AFTER TAU 48, TD 02W WILL BEGIN TO TRACK TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AS IT
ROUNDS THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE STR LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST.
C. IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST, BEYOND 72 HOURS, TD 02W WILL SLIGHTLY
WEAKEN IN INTENSITY TO 45 KNOTS AS IT APPROACHES MINDANAO IN THE
SOUTHERN PHILIPPINES. BY TAU 96 TD 02W WEAKEN TO 40 KNOTS DUE TO LAND
INTERACTION IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL PHILIPPINES. AFTER TAU 96, TD 02W
WILL MOVE INTO THE SULU SEA WHERE IT WILL SLIGHTLY INCREASE IN
INTENSITY TO 45 KNOTS DUE TO INTERACTION WITH WARM OCEAN WATER.
DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THEREFORE THERE IS HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK.//
NNNN

[euro6208]

[euro6208]

WDPN31 PGTW 100300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING
NR 06//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 66 NM WEST
OF FARAULEP, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP
CONVECTION IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLES. THE INITIAL
POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON A 092336Z METOP-B
ASCAT IMAGE SHOWING AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY
OF 25 KNOTS IS BASED ON A PGTW DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY (CI)
ESTIMATE OF T1.5 (25 KNOTS) AND IS SUPPORTED BY THE ASCAT IMAGE WITH
25 KNOT WIND BARBS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM
IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 TO 20 KNOTS) AND
IS TRACKING THROUGH WARM (29-30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES.
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW BUT
NO ORGANIZED EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. TD 02W IS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWEST
PRIMARILY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) LOCATED
TO THE NORTHWEST AND PARTIALLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STR LOCATED
TO THE NORTHEAST.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. THERE IS NO CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE
PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE.
B. TD 02W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH TAU 12
AT WHICH POINT IT WILL ROUND THE AXIS OF THE STR AND BEGIN TO TRACK
WEST-NORTHWEST. 02W WILL TRACK WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH TAU 48 WHEN
THE FORECAST TRACK BECOMES DUE WESTWARD. MARGINALLY FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO GRADUALLY
INTENSIFY TO A PEAK OF 40 KNOTS BY TAU 48 AND MAINTAIN THAT
INTENSITY AS IT TRACKS TOWARDS SOUTHERN PHILIPPINES. AVAILABLE
DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TAU 72 LENDING
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THIS PORTION OF THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST.
C. IN THE EXTENDED RANGE, TD 02W IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL
OVER THE SOUTHERN PHILIPPINES SHORTLY AFTER TAU 72 AT AROUND 40
KNOTS INTENSITY. AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE PHILIPPINES IT WILL
SLIGHTLY WEAKEN BEFORE EXITING INTO THE SULU SEA. ONCE OVER THE SULU
SEA THE WEAKENING TREND WILL CEASE AN FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS WILL ALLOW THE STORM TO GRADUALLY BEGIN TO INTENSIFY. TD
02W WILL PASS SLIGHTLY NORTH OF PUERTO PRINCESA AND TRACK INTO THE
SOUTH CHINA SEA PRIOR TO TAU 120 WHERE THE STRENGTHENING TREND WILL
CONTINUE. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT LENDING
OVERALL HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST.//
NNNN

[xtyphooncyclonex]

Excellent poleward outflow and some signs of banding. I'm seeing even more improvements in the days to come especially with relaxing wind shear and warm SSTs.

[euro6208]

WDPN31 PGTW 100900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING
NR 07//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 242 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM REMAINS
DISORGANIZED AND WEAK WITH FRAGMENTED FORMATIVE BANDS LOOSELY
FEEDING INTO AN ILL-DEFINED LLC. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON A
BROAD CIRCULATION IN THE MSI AND EXTRAPOLATED FROM A RAGGED NOTCH
FEATURE IN THE 100407Z ATMS MICROWAVE PASS WITH LOW CONFIDENCE. THE
MSI ALSO INDICATES A POSSIBLE SECONDARY CIRCULATION JUST TO THE
SOUTHEAST. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 25 KNOTS IS BASED ON AN OVERALL
ASSESSMENT OF AGENCY DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM T0.5 TO T1.5.
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE
(15-20 KNOT) VWS OFFSET BY GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. ON THE PLUS SIDE,
ALONG-TRACK SSTS ARE CONDUCIVE AT 29-30 CELSIUS. THE CYCLONE IS
TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR TO THE NORTH.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. THERE IS NO CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE
PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE.
B. TD 02W IS FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALLY WESTWARD UNDER THE STR
TOWARD MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES. MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY TO 40 KNOTS
BY TAU 48. AFTERWARD, LANDFALL AND THE RUGGED TERRAIN OF MINDANAO
WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM DOWN TO 30 KNOTS BY TAU 72.
C. IN THE EXTENDED TAUS, TD 02W WILL CROSS THE SULU SEA AND THE
ISLAND OF PALAWAN, BEFORE TURNING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE SOUTH
CHINA SEA AS THE STR RECEDES. REDUCED VWS AND INCREASED OUTFLOW WILL
FAVOR SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION AT THIS PHASE, BRINGING THE SYSTEM TO
40 KNOTS BY TAU 120. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT,
HOWEVER, GIVEN THE FORMATIVE NATURE OF THE SYSTEM AND THE
UNCERTAINTY IN ITS INITIAL POSITION AND STORM MOTION, THERE IS LOW
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST.//
NNNN

[euro6208]

A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect for Fais, Ulithi, Yap and
Ngulu in Yap State, and for Kayangel in the Republic of Palau. A
Tropical Storm Watch is now in effect for Koror Palau.

Tropical Storm Watch now in effect for Koror Palau.

[xtyphooncyclonex]

Could be bullish, but hey!

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 10 FEB 2018 Time : 093000 UTC
Lat : 7:40:41 N Lon : 140:51:58 E


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
2.9 /1004.8mb/ 43.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
2.8 3.1 3.1

Center Temp : -66.3C Cloud Region Temp : -56.6C

Scene Type : CURVED BAND with 0.79 ARC in LT GRAY
Maximum CURVED BAND with 0.80 ARC in LT GRAY
at Lat: 7:28:11 N Lon: 140:27:36 E

Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION

Ocean Basin : WEST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : ON
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : N/A
- Environmental MSLP : 1010mb

Satellite Name : HIM-8
Satellite Viewing Angle : 9.0 degrees

****************************************************

CIMSS TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY CONSENSUS FOR TWO (02W) 2018
CURRENT ESTIMATE
Date (mmddhhmm): 02100605
SATCON: MSLP = 1000 hPa MSW = 48 knots
SATCON Member Consensus: 46.0 knots
Pressure -> Wind Using SATCON MSLP: 54 knots
Distance to Outer Closed Isobar Used is 160 nm
Eye Size Correction Used is 0 knots Source: NA

Member Estimates

ADT: 1004 hPa 43 knots Scene: CDO Date: FEB100640
CIMSS AMSU: 997 hPa 46 knots Bias Corr: 0 (MW) Date: 02100605
ATMS: 996.1 hPa 48.3 knots Date: 02100407
SSMIS: 1002.8 hPa 37.6 knots Date: 02100407
CIRA ATMS: 1008 hPa 25 knots Date: 02100407