ATL: ALBERTO - Post-Tropical
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
nws in miami tell us we could area power outage and likely see few tornado. key west weather office issue wind adv their maybe ts wind their say miami could get windy too from storm band south of key west expect be strong going stormy night south fl have noaa radio by bed
Last edited by floridasun78 on Sat May 26, 2018 5:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
Aric.... How have you been?
Here in Key West we have falling pressure with gusty winds...hot or miss squalls. I expect it to deteriorate over night.
Here in Key West we have falling pressure with gusty winds...hot or miss squalls. I expect it to deteriorate over night.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Models
Channel 12 in Montgomery said models shifted east again now going from Opp to Montgomery AL near the middle of the state after landfall. NHC could follow?
https://twitter.com/JoshWeather/status/1000509496379236352
https://twitter.com/JoshWeather/status/1000509496379236352
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
JarrodB wrote:Aric.... How have you been?
Here in Key West we have falling pressure with gusty winds...hot or miss squalls. I expect it to deteriorate over night.
you could get wind of 55mph by what keywest office saying
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
AF Recon coming in from NW now into CoC. There down from flight level and under 10kft. Will know soon how Alberto is doing.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
Aric Dunn wrote:slamdaddy wrote:Latest NHC advisory had it at 85.1W.
It has been barely moving today.. just being pulled left and right by the convection still is partially exposed on 1k visible
I have it at 23.7N 84.8W
There is definitely movement when I loop the floater. Just 6 hours ago it was near the Western tip of Cuba. Also see maybe a slight east of north motion:
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12
Last edited by gatorcane on Sat May 26, 2018 6:03 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
JarrodB wrote:Aric.... How have you been?
Here in Key West we have falling pressure with gusty winds...hot or miss squalls. I expect it to deteriorate over night.
Good Jarod ! how about you ?
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Models
with more models showing hurricane could we get hurricane watches after all?
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Recon
AF308 0301A ALBERTO HDOB 10 20180526
224830 2527N 08608W 7678 02317 0074 +105 -000 019016 017 /// /// 03
224900 2525N 08609W 7891 02102 0091 +112 +008 024015 017 /// /// 03
224930 2523N 08609W 8106 01872 0087 +124 +016 024015 016 /// /// 03
225000 2521N 08610W 8327 01644 0082 +141 +022 028016 016 013 000 00
225030 2520N 08611W 8423 01541 0078 +146 +029 028015 015 013 000 00
225100 2518N 08611W 8431 01534 0079 +145 +036 028015 015 012 000 00
225130 2516N 08612W 8433 01530 0076 +146 +040 027016 016 012 000 00
225200 2514N 08613W 8430 01531 0077 +145 +043 032017 017 016 000 00
225230 2512N 08613W 8432 01533 0077 +145 +045 028016 017 016 000 00
225300 2510N 08614W 8433 01529 0075 +148 +047 035014 016 016 000 03
225330 2509N 08614W 8432 01529 0076 +144 +048 030013 014 017 000 00
225400 2507N 08615W 8430 01530 0075 +145 +049 020014 015 017 000 00
225430 2505N 08616W 8433 01530 0075 +146 +049 026012 014 017 000 00
225500 2503N 08616W 8432 01530 0073 +150 +049 021012 013 019 000 00
225530 2501N 08617W 8434 01528 0074 +148 +050 024011 012 021 000 00
225600 2459N 08617W 8429 01531 0074 +149 +050 029012 013 021 000 00
225630 2457N 08618W 8432 01528 0076 +144 +050 035014 014 020 000 00
225700 2456N 08618W 8436 01525 0074 +145 +050 027012 014 023 001 00
225730 2454N 08618W 8428 01535 0072 +148 +050 026012 013 021 000 03
225800 2452N 08619W 8429 01531 0072 +149 +050 030012 013 022 000 00
$$
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224830 2527N 08608W 7678 02317 0074 +105 -000 019016 017 /// /// 03
224900 2525N 08609W 7891 02102 0091 +112 +008 024015 017 /// /// 03
224930 2523N 08609W 8106 01872 0087 +124 +016 024015 016 /// /// 03
225000 2521N 08610W 8327 01644 0082 +141 +022 028016 016 013 000 00
225030 2520N 08611W 8423 01541 0078 +146 +029 028015 015 013 000 00
225100 2518N 08611W 8431 01534 0079 +145 +036 028015 015 012 000 00
225130 2516N 08612W 8433 01530 0076 +146 +040 027016 016 012 000 00
225200 2514N 08613W 8430 01531 0077 +145 +043 032017 017 016 000 00
225230 2512N 08613W 8432 01533 0077 +145 +045 028016 017 016 000 00
225300 2510N 08614W 8433 01529 0075 +148 +047 035014 016 016 000 03
225330 2509N 08614W 8432 01529 0076 +144 +048 030013 014 017 000 00
225400 2507N 08615W 8430 01530 0075 +145 +049 020014 015 017 000 00
225430 2505N 08616W 8433 01530 0075 +146 +049 026012 014 017 000 00
225500 2503N 08616W 8432 01530 0073 +150 +049 021012 013 019 000 00
225530 2501N 08617W 8434 01528 0074 +148 +050 024011 012 021 000 00
225600 2459N 08617W 8429 01531 0074 +149 +050 029012 013 021 000 00
225630 2457N 08618W 8432 01528 0076 +144 +050 035014 014 020 000 00
225700 2456N 08618W 8436 01525 0074 +145 +050 027012 014 023 001 00
225730 2454N 08618W 8428 01535 0072 +148 +050 026012 013 021 000 03
225800 2452N 08619W 8429 01531 0072 +149 +050 030012 013 022 000 00
$$
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
23.5N 84.9W is where i have it currently wobbled to the nne some from earlier. lets see what recon says.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
slamdaddy wrote:Hard to tell, but looks like center of circulation is about at 84W perhaps ?
Meant 86W...not 84W...got my bearings all messed up.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
floridasun78 wrote:you could get wind of 55mph by what keywest office saying
So far the highest gust recorded was 29.9kts. Unfortunately the Sand Key station is only reporting pressure....obviously higher winds 7 miles offshore.
Not as much rain as I was expecting today and some of the charter boats went out.
Im hoping it lifts out quickly tomorrow afternoon but I think we may stuck with the backside rain bands.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
I wrote that a little soon. Key West airport kudt reported 38mph gust...
Still nothing thst a random thunderstorm cant bring.
Still nothing thst a random thunderstorm cant bring.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
Just saw where the National Seashore is closing the highway between Pensacola beach and Navarre beach at 6pm tomorrow. I would expect officials to urge those camping on the beaches to find suitable shelter or get off the island. Most of them have no idea what is coming their way.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
Aric Dunn wrote:23.5N 84.9W is where i have it currently wobbled to the nne some from earlier. lets see what recon says.
Going with this area... for CoC.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Recon
AF308 0301A ALBERTO HDOB 11 20180526
225830 2450N 08619W 8435 01525 0071 +150 +050 028014 014 020 000 00
225900 2448N 08620W 8436 01523 0071 +149 +051 029015 015 019 000 00
225930 2446N 08621W 8430 01531 0075 +142 +051 026016 016 021 000 03
230000 2445N 08622W 8429 01529 0072 +146 +051 022015 016 019 000 00
230030 2443N 08623W 8435 01526 0074 +140 +050 030016 017 022 000 00
230100 2442N 08624W 8429 01530 0071 +148 +050 023017 018 022 000 00
230130 2440N 08626W 8432 01527 0069 +148 +051 023017 018 021 000 03
230200 2439N 08627W 8432 01527 0071 +145 +052 028017 018 022 000 03
230230 2437N 08629W 8430 01530 0072 +145 +053 031018 019 020 000 00
230300 2436N 08630W 8432 01530 0071 +150 +053 034017 019 020 000 00
230330 2434N 08632W 8434 01525 0070 +148 +054 039018 018 019 000 00
230400 2433N 08633W 8429 01530 0070 +148 +055 038017 018 016 000 03
230430 2431N 08633W 8434 01523 0068 +150 +057 029016 016 013 001 00
230500 2429N 08632W 8437 01521 0070 +146 +056 026014 016 014 000 03
230530 2428N 08631W 8457 01500 0068 +150 +058 021011 013 013 000 00
230600 2427N 08630W 8429 01529 0070 +145 +058 018011 011 013 000 00
230630 2426N 08628W 8433 01524 0068 +147 +055 018012 013 013 000 03
230700 2425N 08627W 8433 01524 0070 +146 +054 020013 014 013 000 00
230730 2424N 08626W 8433 01526 0068 +148 +030 030012 014 010 000 01
230800 2423N 08624W 8428 01530 0066 +151 +054 033012 012 013 000 00
$$
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225830 2450N 08619W 8435 01525 0071 +150 +050 028014 014 020 000 00
225900 2448N 08620W 8436 01523 0071 +149 +051 029015 015 019 000 00
225930 2446N 08621W 8430 01531 0075 +142 +051 026016 016 021 000 03
230000 2445N 08622W 8429 01529 0072 +146 +051 022015 016 019 000 00
230030 2443N 08623W 8435 01526 0074 +140 +050 030016 017 022 000 00
230100 2442N 08624W 8429 01530 0071 +148 +050 023017 018 022 000 00
230130 2440N 08626W 8432 01527 0069 +148 +051 023017 018 021 000 03
230200 2439N 08627W 8432 01527 0071 +145 +052 028017 018 022 000 03
230230 2437N 08629W 8430 01530 0072 +145 +053 031018 019 020 000 00
230300 2436N 08630W 8432 01530 0071 +150 +053 034017 019 020 000 00
230330 2434N 08632W 8434 01525 0070 +148 +054 039018 018 019 000 00
230400 2433N 08633W 8429 01530 0070 +148 +055 038017 018 016 000 03
230430 2431N 08633W 8434 01523 0068 +150 +057 029016 016 013 001 00
230500 2429N 08632W 8437 01521 0070 +146 +056 026014 016 014 000 03
230530 2428N 08631W 8457 01500 0068 +150 +058 021011 013 013 000 00
230600 2427N 08630W 8429 01529 0070 +145 +058 018011 011 013 000 00
230630 2426N 08628W 8433 01524 0068 +147 +055 018012 013 013 000 03
230700 2425N 08627W 8433 01524 0070 +146 +054 020013 014 013 000 00
230730 2424N 08626W 8433 01526 0068 +148 +030 030012 014 010 000 01
230800 2423N 08624W 8428 01530 0066 +151 +054 033012 012 013 000 00
$$
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
stormhunter7 wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:23.5N 84.9W is where i have it currently wobbled to the nne some from earlier. lets see what recon says.
Going with this area... for CoC.
just a little north of there under that fresh convection bubble
here
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Sat May 26, 2018 6:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Recon Discussion
5 MB weaker than earlier on recon pass. Or am I wrong?
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Models
Maybe. We don't do that. N h c does. Keep an eye on their forecast.
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