WPAC: EWINIAR - Post-Tropical

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euro6208
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Re: WPAC: EWINIAR - Tropical Storm

#81 Postby euro6208 » Thu Jun 07, 2018 2:08 am

JMA up to 40 knots.

TS 1804 (Ewiniar)
Issued at 06:50 UTC, 7 June 2018

<Analysis at 06 UTC, 7 June>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N21°00' (21.0°)
E111°25' (111.4°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE Slow
Central pressure 998 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 20 m/s (40 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30 m/s (60 kt)
≥ 30 kt wind area ALL 110 km (60 NM)
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Re: WPAC: EWINIAR - Tropical Storm

#82 Postby Twisted-core » Thu Jun 07, 2018 5:34 am

Image
Generous maybe. Like to see some actual recorded station data.
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Re: WPAC: EWINIAR - Tropical Storm

#83 Postby euro6208 » Thu Jun 07, 2018 5:54 pm

Image

WTPN31 PGTW 072100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071800Z --- NEAR 22.1N 112.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.1N 112.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 22.8N 112.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 23.1N 113.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 23.0N 113.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
072100Z POSITION NEAR 22.3N 112.3E.
TROPICAL STORM 05W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 106 NM WEST
OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A SMALL MASS OF DEEP
CONVECTION COVERING UP THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE
INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE EIR
LOOP. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON MULTI-AGENCY
DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T2.5 (35 KNOTS). ENVIRONMENTAL
ANALYSIS SHOWS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 15 KNOTS,
LIMITED EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW.
THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND APPROACHING
THE MEI-YU FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE SYSTEM IS OVER LAND AND IS EXPECTED
TO GRADUALLY DISSIPATE OVER LAND AND DEFLECT EASTWARD ALONG THE MEI-
YU BOUNDARY. MOST MEMBERS INDICATE THAT THE REMNANTS OF THE
CIRCULATION WILL MOVE BACK OVER WATER AFTER TAU 48, LIKELY EMBEDDED
WITHIN THE MEI-YU FRONT. BASED ON THE UNCERTAINTY IN MODEL GUIDANCE
ON THE PRECISE TIMING OF THE DEFLECTION TO THE EAST, THERE IS LOW
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON
THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM
WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 11 FEET.//
NNNN
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Re: WPAC: EWINIAR - Tropical Storm

#84 Postby Twisted-core » Thu Jun 07, 2018 9:03 pm

Image
Junk
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Re: WPAC: EWINIAR - Tropical Storm

#85 Postby doomhaMwx » Fri Jun 08, 2018 4:09 am

Image
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Re: WPAC: EWINIAR - Tropical Storm

#86 Postby Twisted-core » Fri Jun 08, 2018 6:35 am

Imran_doomhaMwx wrote:Image


:uarrow:
Hongkong was all over this.

WTSS20 VHHH 081045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 080900 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION EWINIAR (1804) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (23.3
N) ONE ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (112.5 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST SLOWLY FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL BE
ISSUED BY THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS
RE-INTENSIFICATION TAKES PLACE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

0000012000
87565
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Re: WPAC: EWINIAR - Tropical Storm

#87 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 08, 2018 2:25 pm

JMA still has it as a Tropical Storm:

TS 1804 (Ewiniar)
Issued at 19:05 UTC, 8 June 2018

<Analysis at 18 UTC, 8 June>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N23°00' (23.0°)
E113°20' (113.3°)
Direction and speed of movement E Slow
Central pressure 998 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
≥ 30 kt wind area ALL 170 km (90 NM)

<Forecast for 18 UTC, 9 June>
Intensity -
TD
Center position of probability circle N23°00' (23.0°)
E113°35' (113.6°)
Direction and speed of movement Almost stationary
Central pressure 1002 hPa
Radius of probability circle 110 km (60 NM)
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