ATL: CHRIS - Post-Tropical

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Re: ATL: CHRIS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#341 Postby EquusStorm » Tue Jul 10, 2018 2:11 pm

Very symmetrical CDO with rapidly clearing eye; once it fully recovers from the boundary layer issues and moves over less upwelled seas (and perhaps gets a bit of baroclinic enhancement) I wouldn't be too shocked to briefly see a major. I doubt the official forecast will be that explicit about the possibility, though.
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Re: ATL: CHRIS - Recon

#342 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 10, 2018 2:13 pm

361
URNT15 KNHC 101909
AF306 1103A CHRIS HDOB 30 20180710
185930 3328N 07113W 8428 01584 0119 +160 +102 188053 053 036 000 03
190000 3331N 07113W 8429 01583 0119 +162 +103 187052 053 036 000 00
190030 3333N 07113W 8428 01584 0116 +168 +104 185052 053 035 000 03
190100 3336N 07113W 8429 01584 0118 +164 +105 185050 051 034 000 00
190130 3338N 07113W 8428 01584 0117 +168 +107 185048 050 035 000 03
190200 3341N 07113W 8442 01568 0120 +158 +108 185046 048 036 000 00
190230 3343N 07113W 8434 01573 0118 +155 +111 190047 048 032 000 00
190300 3345N 07113W 8432 01574 0109 +167 +111 191050 053 033 000 00
190330 3347N 07112W 8420 01585 0116 +155 +112 190049 052 031 000 00
190400 3349N 07112W 8410 01599 0109 +170 +113 184052 053 030 000 00
190430 3351N 07112W 8417 01594 0115 +166 +115 183050 052 032 000 03
190500 3354N 07112W 8443 01568 0113 +173 +114 181051 052 031 000 03
190530 3357N 07112W 8428 01585 0114 +169 +116 182050 051 031 000 03
190600 3359N 07112W 8428 01584 0116 +167 +117 182049 050 032 000 03
190630 3401N 07112W 8428 01584 0115 +168 +117 181049 049 030 000 03
190700 3404N 07112W 8431 01583 0115 +170 +117 180047 049 030 000 03
190730 3406N 07112W 8429 01584 0118 +165 +117 180047 048 029 000 03
190800 3409N 07111W 8429 01585 0119 +166 +118 178048 049 029 000 03
190830 3411N 07111W 8428 01586 0118 +165 +117 176048 049 029 000 00
190900 3414N 07111W 8430 01584 0119 +167 +116 172047 048 030 000 00
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Re: ATL: CHRIS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#343 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Jul 10, 2018 2:18 pm

Has there ever been a major in July so far north? Getting majors from storms of non-tropical origin are rare enough as it is...
Last edited by CrazyC83 on Tue Jul 10, 2018 2:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: CHRIS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#344 Postby weathaguyry » Tue Jul 10, 2018 2:19 pm

Wow, Chris gained steam pretty quickly once it moved away from the upwelled waters, could the movement away from drier continental air also be playing a role in its intensification?
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Re: ATL: CHRIS - Recon

#345 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 10, 2018 2:26 pm

988
URNT15 KNHC 101919
AF306 1103A CHRIS HDOB 31 20180710
190930 3416N 07111W 8429 01586 0121 +164 +115 174047 047 030 000 03
191000 3418N 07111W 8427 01589 0120 +168 +115 171046 047 029 000 00
191030 3421N 07111W 8427 01590 0122 +165 +112 168046 046 028 000 03
191100 3423N 07111W 8428 01590 0125 +160 +111 167046 046 027 000 03
191130 3425N 07111W 8428 01590 0128 +160 +111 167046 047 028 000 03
191200 3428N 07111W 8428 01590 0127 +160 +109 167046 047 026 000 03
191230 3430N 07111W 8428 01591 0130 +159 +108 165044 045 023 000 00
191300 3433N 07110W 8430 01591 0135 +155 +107 163041 044 023 000 03
191330 3435N 07110W 8428 01594 0129 +164 +108 166043 045 026 000 03
191400 3437N 07110W 8426 01597 0125 +172 +104 164042 045 027 000 03
191430 3440N 07110W 8427 01596 0127 +171 +103 164040 042 026 000 03
191500 3441N 07112W 8431 01593 0127 +169 +103 162037 039 /// /// 03
191530 3441N 07114W 8442 01582 0128 +169 +106 162034 036 021 000 03
191600 3440N 07116W 8441 01578 0127 +162 +111 162033 034 021 000 00
191630 3439N 07117W 8426 01591 0125 +162 +110 163034 035 019 000 00
191700 3438N 07118W 8430 01585 0126 +158 +111 161035 035 022 000 00
191730 3437N 07119W 8432 01583 0118 +167 +111 163037 038 023 000 00
191800 3436N 07121W 8430 01583 0114 +171 +110 166039 040 023 000 03
191830 3435N 07122W 8433 01577 0115 +165 +111 165040 040 023 000 03
191900 3434N 07123W 8430 01579 0117 +157 +113 170039 040 022 000 00
$$
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Re: ATL: CHRIS - Recon

#346 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 10, 2018 2:28 pm

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Re: ATL: CHRIS - Recon

#347 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 10, 2018 2:35 pm

266
URNT15 KNHC 101929
AF306 1103A CHRIS HDOB 32 20180710
191930 3433N 07124W 8429 01579 0126 +143 +115 174039 040 023 000 00
192000 3432N 07125W 8423 01585 0126 +141 +115 174040 041 023 000 00
192030 3431N 07127W 8430 01574 0116 +154 +114 170038 041 023 000 03
192100 3430N 07128W 8434 01569 0110 +164 +112 166038 039 022 000 00
192130 3429N 07129W 8430 01573 0106 +165 +112 166037 038 022 000 00
192200 3428N 07130W 8432 01571 0105 +167 +112 167036 037 023 000 06
192230 3427N 07132W 8433 01569 0101 +171 +113 170041 043 023 000 00
192300 3426N 07133W 8430 01569 0104 +165 +115 170045 046 026 000 03
192330 3425N 07134W 8429 01569 0101 +168 +115 171045 046 031 000 00
192400 3424N 07135W 8430 01568 0101 +166 +115 167046 046 031 000 00
192430 3423N 07136W 8431 01568 0101 +167 +115 165046 046 031 000 00
192500 3422N 07137W 8429 01569 0097 +170 +114 164044 046 031 000 00
192530 3421N 07139W 8429 01567 0098 +168 +114 163044 044 031 000 00
192600 3420N 07140W 8429 01566 0098 +166 +115 160044 044 031 000 00
192630 3419N 07141W 8430 01565 0093 +170 +115 157044 044 029 000 00
192700 3418N 07142W 8432 01561 0092 +172 +114 154044 045 036 000 00
192730 3417N 07144W 8432 01560 0089 +173 +113 155045 045 037 000 00
192800 3416N 07145W 8430 01560 0089 +170 +113 154043 044 039 001 00
192830 3415N 07146W 8431 01557 0090 +165 +114 153044 045 041 000 00
192900 3414N 07147W 8432 01556 0087 +167 +116 152045 045 042 000 03
$$
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Re: ATL: CHRIS - Recon

#348 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 10, 2018 2:35 pm

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Re: ATL: CHRIS - Recon

#349 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 10, 2018 2:42 pm

436
URNT15 KNHC 101939
AF306 1103A CHRIS HDOB 33 20180710
192930 3413N 07149W 8429 01556 0086 +166 +115 153047 048 041 000 00
193000 3412N 07150W 8430 01554 0084 +166 +114 153047 047 041 000 00
193030 3411N 07151W 8431 01552 0085 +163 +114 153046 047 041 000 00
193100 3410N 07152W 8433 01549 0084 +162 +115 155045 046 040 001 00
193130 3409N 07153W 8428 01552 0084 +159 +114 154045 046 043 001 00
193200 3408N 07155W 8431 01549 0081 +163 +113 151043 044 043 000 00
193230 3407N 07156W 8431 01546 0078 +162 +112 153044 044 043 001 00
193300 3406N 07157W 8433 01543 0078 +158 +112 154043 043 042 002 00
193330 3405N 07158W 8429 01544 0076 +157 +111 152045 047 043 002 00
193400 3404N 07200W 8434 01535 0071 +162 +109 149045 046 043 003 00
193430 3403N 07201W 8429 01539 0072 +155 +108 146044 045 045 003 00
193500 3402N 07202W 8430 01535 0067 +160 +108 147045 045 045 002 00
193530 3401N 07204W 8431 01532 0065 +158 +107 149045 046 045 000 03
193600 3400N 07205W 8430 01530 0061 +161 +107 145046 047 045 000 03
193630 3359N 07206W 8432 01524 0059 +157 +107 145046 047 045 000 00
193700 3358N 07207W 8431 01521 0051 +160 +108 144043 045 045 002 00
193730 3357N 07209W 8431 01517 0051 +152 +108 147046 048 045 003 00
193800 3356N 07210W 8429 01516 0047 +152 +109 145050 051 044 004 00
193830 3354N 07211W 8426 01513 0042 +151 +108 143050 051 046 002 00
193900 3353N 07212W 8430 01502 0036 +147 +108 141054 056 046 004 00
$$
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Re: ATL: CHRIS - Recon

#350 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 10, 2018 2:44 pm

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Re: ATL: CHRIS - Recon

#351 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 10, 2018 2:52 pm

Pressure below the 984 of first pass.

921
URNT15 KNHC 101949
AF306 1103A CHRIS HDOB 34 20180710
193930 3352N 07214W 8433 01493 0030 +148 +106 142057 058 049 010 00
194000 3351N 07215W 8426 01495 0027 +143 +104 141053 054 049 008 00
194030 3350N 07216W 8433 01483 0014 +153 +103 142055 058 049 004 00
194100 3349N 07217W 8424 01484 0003 +158 +103 143058 061 050 003 00
194130 3348N 07219W 8436 01463 9993 +162 +103 144057 058 052 003 00
194200 3347N 07220W 8431 01462 9987 +157 +105 144058 060 054 004 00
194230 3346N 07221W 8432 01454 9982 +149 +106 139060 061 058 011 00
194300 3345N 07222W 8429 01446 9974 +143 +107 136061 062 056 013 03
194330 3344N 07224W 8436 01428 9958 +150 +106 134064 067 063 005 00
194400 3343N 07225W 8431 01418 9938 +152 +105 132068 069 064 003 00
194430 3342N 07226W 8429 01402 9916 +157 +104 128074 076 066 006 00
194500 3341N 07228W 8437 01372 9896 +153 +103 121071 074 067 036 00
194530 3340N 07230W 8439 01349 9872 +151 +105 123075 082 068 043 00
194600 3339N 07232W 8435 01334 9849 +154 +107 106058 080 069 013 03
194630 3338N 07233W 8464 01289 9827 +169 +107 107028 047 064 004 00
194700 3337N 07235W 8412 01340 9817 +177 +117 084015 025 042 003 03
194730 3335N 07235W 8431 01318 9808 +187 +125 068005 010 021 000 00
194800 3333N 07234W 8430 01316 9805 +185 +126 097003 003 020 000 03
194830 3332N 07234W 8434 01310 9805 +180 +119 253001 003 021 000 00
194900 3330N 07234W 8434 01307 9804 +177 +129 267003 004 021 000 03
$$
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Re: ATL: CHRIS - Recon

#352 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 10, 2018 2:53 pm

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Re: ATL: CHRIS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#353 Postby Yellow Evan » Tue Jul 10, 2018 2:55 pm

It's CDO is quite warm and its heading toward colder waters so not sure how much room this has to intensify.
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Re: ATL: CHRIS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#354 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Tue Jul 10, 2018 2:59 pm

~980mb now per recon.
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Re: ATL: CHRIS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#355 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 10, 2018 2:59 pm

Pressure from first pass was 984 mbs and second pass is 980 mbs.
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Re: ATL: CHRIS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#356 Postby NDG » Tue Jul 10, 2018 3:00 pm

I can't believe Chris was not upgraded to Hurricane right after the first pass!
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Re: ATL: CHRIS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#357 Postby Ubuntwo » Tue Jul 10, 2018 3:01 pm

Yellow Evan wrote:It's CDO is quite warm and its heading toward colder waters so not sure how much room this has to intensify.

Looks like there will be SST's conducive for development for the next day or so.
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Re: ATL: CHRIS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#358 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Jul 10, 2018 3:02 pm

Despite the pressure drop, there is nothing to support a higher intensity.
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Re: ATL: CHRIS - Recon

#359 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 10, 2018 3:02 pm

741
URNT15 KNHC 101959
AF306 1103A CHRIS HDOB 35 20180710
194930 3329N 07235W 8428 01315 9803 +177 +135 283009 011 020 000 00
195000 3328N 07237W 8432 01310 9801 +181 +139 277013 015 021 000 00
195030 3327N 07238W 8428 01312 9797 +189 +142 272020 023 030 000 00
195100 3326N 07239W 8433 01309 9797 +192 +146 283034 039 041 000 00
195130 3325N 07240W 8434 01315 9805 +191 +150 293050 056 058 001 00
195200 3324N 07242W 8440 01322 9825 +182 +152 300068 075 064 001 00
195230 3323N 07243W 8425 01357 9850 +172 +153 298079 080 068 001 00
195300 3322N 07244W 8430 01367 9863 +181 +147 300080 081 066 001 00
195330 3321N 07245W 8428 01388 9886 +174 +149 300081 081 066 002 00
195400 3320N 07246W 8428 01402 9910 +162 +147 301078 080 063 002 00
195430 3319N 07247W 8432 01411 9929 +153 +144 301077 078 062 007 00
195500 3318N 07248W 8427 01427 9944 +149 +139 303073 076 062 011 03
195530 3317N 07250W 8433 01433 9959 +145 +134 305068 071 062 012 03
195600 3316N 07251W 8431 01446 9971 +148 +129 301070 071 059 009 00
195630 3316N 07252W 8430 01454 9970 +166 +123 300069 072 058 002 00
195700 3315N 07253W 8428 01466 9980 +167 +121 299067 068 056 001 00
195730 3314N 07254W 8431 01469 9989 +165 +120 299064 066 054 003 03
195800 3313N 07255W 8428 01480 9997 +165 +121 300064 065 052 000 03
195830 3312N 07257W 8429 01484 0003 +165 +123 300065 066 050 000 00
195900 3311N 07258W 8428 01491 0009 +166 +123 300064 065 048 000 03
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Re: ATL: CHRIS - Recon

#360 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 10, 2018 3:04 pm

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