ATL: FLORENCE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4481 Postby artist » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:27 am

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4482 Postby meriland29 » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:27 am

This is incredible...

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4483 Postby MississippiWx » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:29 am

I'm not going to say the winds have gone up, but I believe recon will find at least the pressure has lowered some.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4484 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:30 am

I don't think it's moving.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4485 Postby HDGator » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:30 am


Dang, she's really fired up about her trip to Wilmington.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4486 Postby artist » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:31 am

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4487 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:31 am

:uarrow: That is impressive. Look at how cold those cloud tops that now have wrapped the eyewall. This is about as well developed an eyewall can look right now.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4488 Postby Zarniwoop » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:34 am

I apologize to everyone I doubted.

Even an idiot like me can see that it looks better.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4489 Postby eastcoastFL » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:34 am

northjaxpro wrote::uarrow: That is impressive. Look at how cold those cloud tops that now have wrapped the eyewall. This is about as well developed an eyewall can look right now.


Its pretty impressive and I don't think shes moving so who knows what can happen.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4490 Postby PavelGaborik10 » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:35 am

It's out of time. Will still be a bad storm but far from the cat 4 monster we expected a couple days ago.

This is definitely a better scenario than I imagined playing out 24-48 hours ago.
Last edited by PavelGaborik10 on Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:38 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4491 Postby HDGator » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:36 am

SouthFloridawx wrote:I don't think it's moving.

She's been moving in very deliberate wobbles tonight- sometimes west, sometimes northwest.
I'm guessing that she makes landfall at Wilmington or slightly north but Flo has her own mind.
We'll have to watch and wait.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4492 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:38 am

I hope I am wrong but as I stated a couple of pages back, but it is my fear that Recon will find an intensifying hurricane.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:39 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4493 Postby MrStormX » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:38 am

The reason that winds aren't working to the ground is likely due to the effects of land friction, but that same interaction makes strong gusts more probable.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4494 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:39 am

Regardless, this is a hurricane that appears to be stationary on our coast. I think that it's pretty crazy if you ask me.
PavelGaborik10 wrote:It's out of time. Will still be a bad storm but far from the cat 4 monster we expected a couple days ago.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4495 Postby hurricaneCW » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:40 am

Outer eyewall looks like it's taking over now, really tightening up on radar.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4496 Postby TheDreamTraveler » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:41 am

SouthFloridawx wrote:Regardless, this is a hurricane that appears to be stationary on our coast. I think that it's pretty crazy if you ask me.
PavelGaborik10 wrote:It's out of time. Will still be a bad storm but far from the cat 4 monster we expected a couple days ago.


northjaxpro wrote:I hope I am wrong but as I stated a couple of pages back, but it is my fear that Recon will find an intensifying hurricane.


That's the best thing about it stalling out on the coast. As it keeps upwelling water it'll continue to weaken. It's still a huge problem that it's barely moving but at least it won't get any stronger.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4497 Postby MississippiWx » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:42 am

hurricaneCW wrote:Outer eyewall looks like it's taking over now, really tightening up on radar.


This is why I believe it could be deepening some.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4498 Postby Orlando » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:42 am

Live news from WECT TV 6 Wilmington.

http://ftpcontent4.worldnow.com/raycom/ ... livestream
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4499 Postby eastcoastFL » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:44 am

BULLETIN
Hurricane Florence Intermediate Advisory Number 59A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
200 AM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS OCCURRING
ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST...
...CATASTROPHIC FRESHWATER FLOODING EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH
AND SOUTH CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.1N 77.2W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM E OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SW OF MOREHEAD CITY NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB...28.17 INCHES
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4500 Postby ncbird » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:44 am

I use this radar with the active tropical track overlay turned on in the Layers tab (lower right). It has been tracking her eye movement almost hourly and really shows how her track has been moving. http://www.witn.com/templates/2015_Fullscreen_Radar
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