ATL: GORDON - Post-Tropical

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Blinhart
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1741 Postby Blinhart » Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:07 pm

MississippiWx wrote:
Blinhart wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:
Petit Bois Island is ! :)


I understand barrier islands are considered land, but no one lives on those islands. I think it should only count if people live on the islands. Main landfall hasn't happened yet.


Eh, a lot of people live on Dauphin Island. It's a nice place.


Wasn't talking about Dauphin Island, the eye didn't touch it. I was talking about Petit Bois Island.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1742 Postby MississippiWx » Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:08 pm

Extrap. pressure at 994mb with winds 40-45kts at flight level...pressure is still dropping pretty quickly.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1743 Postby Blinhart » Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:10 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:It's called landfall.. not "people fall" or "population fall" or "city fall" :P


Yes that is why there are so many landfalls, like Harvey had what 4 of them. Going over islands cause it to have multiple land falls, but most people think of landfall as the final landfall when it isn't over water anymore. I know it shouldn't be considered that way but common people don't think of having more than one landfall, they think it makes landfall and then it isn't over water anymore unless it goes over much land (like the peninsula of Florida) and then reenters water and heads to another place.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1744 Postby Jag95 » Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:11 pm

Wow...it's howling out there now. Can't believe I've still got power. I'm usually the first to lose it.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Recon

#1745 Postby artist » Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:15 pm

URNT15 KWBC 050311
NOAA2 0607A GORDON HDOB 30 20180905
030200 3000N 08831W 6960 03197 0048 +126 +053 269032 033 035 002 00
030230 3000N 08829W 6960 03195 0040 +131 +048 264036 039 037 002 00
030300 3000N 08826W 6956 03199 0032 +136 +048 259039 040 038 002 00
030330 3000N 08823W 6957 03197 0036 +133 +047 258037 039 041 000 03
030400 3002N 08822W 6961 03188 0037 +130 +043 249038 039 /// /// 03
030430 3004N 08822W 6956 03190 0033 +128 +045 252041 044 /// /// 03
030500 3006N 08822W 6958 03177 0009 +139 +039 252047 049 /// /// 03
030530 3008N 08822W 6956 03168 9980 +151 +063 257041 045 /// /// 03
030600 3009N 08824W 6960 03159 9974 +152 +060 274035 036 /// /// 03
030630 3009N 08826W 6960 03164 9986 +144 +078 284033 034 /// /// 03
030700 3009N 08828W 6961 03168 9995 +141 +073 295034 036 /// /// 03
030730 3009N 08831W 6962 03171 0005 +137 +061 298035 036 /// /// 03
030800 3008N 08833W 6961 03175 0023 +126 +067 307032 033 /// /// 03
030830 3006N 08833W 6953 03198 0030 +131 +062 298029 031 /// /// 03
030900 3004N 08833W 6960 03192 0051 +119 +046 287033 034 /// /// 03
030930 3002N 08832W 6963 03189 0057 +115 +046 282034 034 /// /// 03
031000 3003N 08829W 6961 03189 0053 +117 +046 274036 037 /// /// 03
031030 3005N 08829W 6956 03193 0041 +124 +043 270035 037 /// /// 03
031100 3007N 08829W 6956 03184 0025 +129 +067 274033 033 /// /// 03
031130 3009N 08828W 6958 03174 9998 +144 +055 281035 035 /// /// 03
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1746 Postby Rocketman » Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:19 pm

I'm about 12 miles north of the beach, more like east-central Harrison County. Looks like what's left of Gordon will be passing directly over. Really wish my annemometer wasn't inop. I have two barometers though, freshly calibrated about an hour ago :D
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1747 Postby Steve » Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:20 pm

Yeah blin, I always heard of it as final landfall. I know what you’re getting at - something going inland for good. Nws radar has it dead on/south of the al/ms border.
https://www.weather.gov/lix/
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1748 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:21 pm

MississippiWx wrote:Extrap. pressure at 994mb with winds 40-45kts at flight level...pressure is still dropping pretty quickly.


Makes me wonder...with the satellite presentation change, could they decide to upgrade it anyway?
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1749 Postby MississippiWx » Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:24 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
MississippiWx wrote:Extrap. pressure at 994mb with winds 40-45kts at flight level...pressure is still dropping pretty quickly.


Makes me wonder...with the satellite presentation change, could they decide to upgrade it anyway?


The satellite is crazy. Very cold cloud-tops. It is so close to being a hurricane, if not one already.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Recon

#1750 Postby artist » Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:24 pm

URNT15 KWBC 050321
NOAA2 0607A GORDON HDOB 31 20180905
031200 3011N 08828W 6958 03164 9993 +138 +074 287030 033 /// /// 03
031230 3013N 08828W 6958 03157 9975 +149 +060 288028 029 /// /// 03
031300 3015N 08827W 6966 03145 9965 +151 +072 275021 025 /// /// 03
031330 3017N 08827W 6918 03202 9957 +150 +086 208004 009 /// /// 03
031400 3020N 08826W 6918 03202 9960 +147 +088 133011 016 /// /// 03
031430 3021N 08825W 6958 03146 9977 +131 +083 118021 025 /// /// 03
031500 3021N 08823W 6926 03180 9966 +138 +068 128027 028 /// /// 03
031530 3020N 08821W 6954 03147 9962 +141 +084 136030 031 /// /// 03
031600 3019N 08819W 6953 03149 9977 +128 +096 164028 029 /// /// 03
031630 3018N 08817W 6951 03158 9994 +118 +110 177034 036 /// /// 03
031700 3017N 08815W 6956 03161 0013 +111 +104 194043 048 /// /// 03
031730 3016N 08813W 6950 03179 0029 +109 +092 202056 058 /// /// 03
031800 3015N 08811W 6958 03178 0037 +112 +085 207053 055 /// /// 03
031830 3014N 08809W 6951 03197 0046 +116 +071 207049 052 /// /// 03
031900 3013N 08807W 6953 03201 0053 +115 +069 211045 047 /// /// 03
031930 3012N 08805W 6950 03213 0056 +121 +056 204042 043 /// /// 03
032000 3012N 08802W 6956 03207 0055 +125 +056 204045 046 /// /// 03
032030 3012N 08800W 6954 03214 0065 +121 +055 202044 045 /// /// 03
032100 3011N 08757W 6955 03214 0069 +121 +037 195042 043 /// /// 03
032130 3011N 08755W 6952 03219 0083 +108 +058 191042 042 /// /// 03
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1751 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:28 pm

MississippiWx wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:
MississippiWx wrote:Extrap. pressure at 994mb with winds 40-45kts at flight level...pressure is still dropping pretty quickly.


Makes me wonder...with the satellite presentation change, could they decide to upgrade it anyway?


The satellite is crazy. Very cold cloud-tops. It is so close to being a hurricane, if not one already.


Without the data, we might never know. There is still no conclusive data to suggest it is a hurricane - unless radar velocities zoom up another 10 knots or so, or we get a solid ground report. With no additional data, I would put the landfall intensity at 60 kt.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1752 Postby chaser1 » Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:37 pm

My God, I can't imagine what it must be like to be immediately under these last few satellite frames which for the first time actually appear to nearly translate Gordon's reported winds that up to now, only high flying birds might have remotely experienced.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Recon

#1753 Postby artist » Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:39 pm

421
URNT15 KWBC 050331
NOAA2 0607A GORDON HDOB 32 20180905
032200 3011N 08753W 6955 03220 0087 +111 +038 188043 043 /// /// 03
032230 3011N 08750W 6954 03224 0086 +114 +039 191043 044 /// /// 03
032300 3011N 08748W 6950 03233 0095 +110 +043 188041 042 /// /// 03
032330 3010N 08745W 6953 03231 0102 +107 +035 185040 041 /// /// 03
032400 3010N 08743W 6954 03232 0108 +105 +033 185039 039 /// /// 03
032430 3010N 08741W 6953 03236 0117 +101 +035 186038 039 /// /// 03
032500 3010N 08738W 6951 03240 0121 +098 +044 186039 039 /// /// 03
032530 3009N 08736W 6954 03240 0125 +095 +053 184039 039 /// /// 03
032600 3008N 08734W 6950 03244 0128 +092 +064 183038 039 /// /// 03
032630 3007N 08733W 6956 03238 0128 +092 +076 183038 038 /// /// 03
032700 3005N 08732W 6953 03242 0129 +093 +067 182036 037 /// /// 03
032730 3004N 08731W 6953 03243 0125 +098 +060 187034 035 /// /// 03
032800 3002N 08730W 6952 03245 0124 +097 +076 189040 042 /// /// 03
032830 3001N 08728W 6955 03241 0126 +093 +088 182045 046 038 007 03
032900 3000N 08726W 6958 03236 0128 +095 +066 182046 048 042 004 03
032930 3000N 08724W 6937 03261 0116 +099 +093 189051 053 042 013 00
033000 3000N 08721W 6962 03230 0117 +102 +079 196045 046 042 006 03
033030 3000N 08719W 6953 03241 0117 +100 +084 200045 047 039 005 00
033100 3000N 08716W 6956 03236 0120 +098 +078 203042 043 040 004 00
033130 3000N 08714W 6959 03235 0119 +100 +073 202040 041 040 002 00
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Recon

#1754 Postby artist » Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:43 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1755 Postby chaser1 » Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:43 pm

There's just something intensely unique about being in a storm undergoing significant intensification verses those that have reached a similar intensity yet during an entirely stable state.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1756 Postby Rocketman » Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:44 pm

Updated track looks to miss Harrison and stay to the east, in Jackson County, according to my local weather. I'll take it. Hope everyone over there stays safe.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1757 Postby artist » Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:46 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1758 Postby sikkar » Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:47 pm

Man that Mobile radar site is about to get slapped really hard.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1759 Postby PTPatrick » Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:49 pm

With all the convection firing around the center will be interesting to see if it can wrap any moisture back in from the south. Pascagoula looks to stay dry much of the night at the current trend...just goes to show sometimes the center is th best place to be(if you can’t be west)
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1760 Postby MississippiWx » Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:55 pm

This thing continues to have a very northerly component. What was originally more of a SE Louisiana/Southeast and West Mississippi problem is quickly becoming an East Mississippi/West Alabama/Florida problem. Amazing how it refuses to take a more westerly track.
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