ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
- meriland29
- Category 2
- Posts: 770
- Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2017 11:05 am
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Wow, the tropics on the ATL side are suddenly so quiet now! Is it likely end of season?
0 likes
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 13
- Joined: Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:08 am
- Location: Southwest Houston & Willacy county Tx
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion
I know absolutely nothing, except from what I’ve read on here and then searched online, but whatever is left doesn’t look that disorganized to me, nor does it look like it’s making a direct landfall over Jamaica. Does that matter?
I’ve been waiting for someone to post something, which makes me think there is nothing new to post.
I’ve been waiting for someone to post something, which makes me think there is nothing new to post.
0 likes
- meriland29
- Category 2
- Posts: 770
- Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2017 11:05 am
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Audreyadele wrote:I know absolutely nothing, except from what I’ve read on here and then searched online, but whatever is left doesn’t look that disorganized to me, nor does it look like it’s making a direct landfall over Jamaica. Does that matter?
I’ve been waiting for someone to post something, which makes me think there is nothing new to post.
It does matter because it is a semi-organized wave, like a person hanging on a cliff. Past Jamaica is extremely favorable waters.. if the perpetual LLC area were to skirt by or miss Jamaica, it would elevate its potential to re-develop into a tropical storm exponentially.
2 likes
- Tampa Bay Hurricane
- Category 5
- Posts: 5594
- Age: 36
- Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
- Location: St. Petersburg, FL
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Looks like I might have some crow soon. Dry air preventing development according to NHC, so my forecast of development is in jeopardy. Still think some rain gets thrown up Texas’s way so that might be a concern there, but if steering keeps it south of Texas then that won’t materialize- which would be good news for that area.
Last edited by Tampa Bay Hurricane on Mon Sep 17, 2018 12:22 am, edited 1 time in total.
2 likes
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Looks like I might have some crow soon. Dry air preventing development according to NHC, so my forecast of development is in jeopardy. Still think some rain gets thrown up Texas’s way so that might be a concern there.
His convection is waning quickly tonight.
1 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Convection all but gone but the actual center never hit the island and is just south of the island currently..
0 likes
- wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
- Posts: 22482
- Age: 66
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion
There isn't much to make "landfall" anywhere, just a tropical wave axis. Conditions in its path aren't extremely favorable for development, as we saw with 95L last week. Development chances 5% or less. Remnants may cause an increase in showers along the Texas coast by Thursday, but that's about it.
3 likes
- EquusStorm
- Category 5
- Posts: 1649
- Age: 33
- Joined: Thu Nov 07, 2013 1:04 pm
- Location: Jasper, AL
- Contact:
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion
At this point I really don't think Isaac's coming back, just not much left but a weak axis and inconsistent convection.
0 likes
Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion
EquusStorm wrote:At this point I really don't think Isaac's coming back, just not much left but a weak axis and inconsistent convection.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion
17N 80W
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... roduct=vis
Nice spinning convergence followed by a blowup.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... roduct=vis
Nice spinning convergence followed by a blowup.
0 likes
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 6617
- Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
- Location: Houston, TX
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion
That area is shooting some stronger convection now.
Resurrection may be forth coming.
Resurrection may be forth coming.
0 likes
- EquusStorm
- Category 5
- Posts: 1649
- Age: 33
- Joined: Thu Nov 07, 2013 1:04 pm
- Location: Jasper, AL
- Contact:
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion
It's blown up convection over a lower level spin multiple times now only to die off later; if it could persist longer term something might happen but like 95L it hasn't persisted thus far... still very much worth watching
0 likes
Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
- Portastorm
- Storm2k Moderator
- Posts: 9787
- Age: 61
- Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
- Location: South Austin, TX
- Contact:
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion
As a casual observer of this thread, I have to share that I am finding it quite entertaining. I usually check on it every few hours and I swear it seems like the last few days, the posts go from "It's dead, Jim" to "It is A-L-I-V-E!"
As a Texan with great interest in how potential tropical weather may impact us ... I will continue to count on y'all to keep me updated. Every few hours.
As a Texan with great interest in how potential tropical weather may impact us ... I will continue to count on y'all to keep me updated. Every few hours.
5 likes
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
- MississippiWx
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1535
- Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2010 1:44 pm
- Location: Hattiesburg, Mississippi
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Hard to believe this area can't regenerate in the middle of September in the Western Caribbean. Shear isn't terrible, but there is some dry air around. Still, it should be able to redevelop into at least a depression or weak storm this time of year. Just goes to show that the actual MDR is not very conducive for tropical development this year. It has been a struggle for any system south of 20N this year. If this were somewhere around Bermuda, I think it would have no problem regenerating.
2 likes
This post is not an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of MississippiWx and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion
It's definitely not dead, but it's also played this trick several times over the last few days. Convection fires, then dies quickly.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- galaxy401
- Category 5
- Posts: 2299
- Age: 28
- Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:04 pm
- Location: Casa Grande, Arizona
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Isaac pulsates then poofs just like our mood regarding hurricanes.
0 likes
Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
- meriland29
- Category 2
- Posts: 770
- Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2017 11:05 am
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Not sure if this sudden surge of deep convection is telling, but it sure looks telling. Jamaica is the only problem in his way, if he persists to thrive as a active wave beyond Jamaica, then I would be flat out surprised if he isn't upgraded 1-2 days past that island...
0 likes
- meriland29
- Category 2
- Posts: 770
- Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2017 11:05 am
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion
I am curious, if Isaac becomes something in the future, would he still be Isaac or would he be Kirk?
0 likes
-
- Category 1
- Posts: 349
- Joined: Sat Aug 24, 2013 2:34 pm
- Location: Alvin, TX (south of Houston)
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion
meriland29 wrote:I am curious, if Isaac becomes something in the future, would he still be Isaac or would he be Kirk?
On the basis of past experience (hopefully remembered correctly!) Isaac would still be Isaac. My guess at the reasoning would go like this: a named storm hits a small but intense "unfavorable environment," loses its closed circulation, and its winds drop to 30 kt for just a short time, say 8 hours. Then it reorganizes. No need to change its name just because of a hiccup.
Granted, Isaac lost its status and name quite a while ago, but with all of the resources available these days, its remnants can't hide, even if it doesn't want to go on the cart...
1 likes
Nothing that I post here should ever be treated as a forecast or anything resembling one. Please check with your local NWS office or the NHC for forecasts, watches, and warnings.
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 112 guests