EPAC: ROSA - Post-Tropical
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Kingarabian
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Yellow Evan
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Re: EPAC: ROSA - Hurricane
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 27 SEP 2018 Time : 230000 UTC
Lat : 17:01:48 N Lon : 116:09:36 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.2 / 941.7mb/119.8kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.2 6.3 6.9
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 25 km
Center Temp : +14.4C Cloud Region Temp : -72.4C
Scene Type : EYE
Date : 27 SEP 2018 Time : 230000 UTC
Lat : 17:01:48 N Lon : 116:09:36 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.2 / 941.7mb/119.8kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.2 6.3 6.9
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 25 km
Center Temp : +14.4C Cloud Region Temp : -72.4C
Scene Type : EYE
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SootyTern
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Re: EPAC: ROSA - Hurricane
Arizona in the 5 day cone!
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Gulf Coast: Opal '95 Georges '98 / So Fla: Katrina '05 Wilma '05 Irma '17
Re: EPAC: ROSA - Hurricane
We don't get any recon today OR tomorrow!
They will definetely barring a POOF, schedule one for Saturday.
They will definetely barring a POOF, schedule one for Saturday.
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Kingarabian
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Re: EPAC: ROSA - Hurricane
SootyTern wrote:Arizona in the 5 day cone!
Rare track if it holds.
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Kingarabian
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Re: EPAC: ROSA - Hurricane
Abdullah wrote:We don't get any recon today OR tomorrow!
They will definetely barring a POOF, schedule one for Saturday.
Recon missions are costly, so it's hard to get recon for EPAC systems unless they affect land which means they have to affect Mexico or Hawaii. And some that effect Mexico don't even get recon.
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RIP Kobe Bryant
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supercane4867
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mrbagyo
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Re: EPAC: ROSA - Hurricane
Likely a Cat 4 now.
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Yellow Evan
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Re: EPAC: ROSA - Hurricane
Kingarabian wrote:Abdullah wrote:We don't get any recon today OR tomorrow!
They will definetely barring a POOF, schedule one for Saturday.
Recon missions are costly, so it's hard to get recon for EPAC systems unless they affect land which means they have to affect Mexico or Hawaii. And some that effect Mexico don't even get recon.
We get 12 hour fixes if a system is threatening Hawaii - 6 if this gets really close. We get 24 hour recon for a hurricane Mexico threat if there's expected to be a hurricane in advance.
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Yellow Evan
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Re: EPAC: ROSA - Hurricane
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 27 SEP 2018 Time : 233000 UTC
Lat : 17:01:48 N Lon : 116:15:00 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.2 / 941.7mb/119.8kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.2 6.4 7.0
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 25 km
Center Temp : +14.5C Cloud Region Temp : -72.6C
Scene Type : EYE
Date : 27 SEP 2018 Time : 233000 UTC
Lat : 17:01:48 N Lon : 116:15:00 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.2 / 941.7mb/119.8kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.2 6.4 7.0
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 25 km
Center Temp : +14.5C Cloud Region Temp : -72.6C
Scene Type : EYE
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EquusStorm
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Re: EPAC: ROSA - Hurricane
Looks to me that it might not have even leveled out yet. Very, very impressed with this storm.
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Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
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Yellow Evan
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Yellow Evan
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Re: EPAC: ROSA - Hurricane
GFS and ECMWF still in disagreement regarding track but much better than a few days ago. GFS faster and further south while the ECMWF has this hitting just south of the US border along with slower and weaker. GFS (and this usually happens with systems over the California Current) is weakening this too slowly given SST's will be 22Cish. This should take 48-72 hours to spin down - typical for strong EPAC hurricanes in this rough area.
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Astromanía
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1900hurricane
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Re: EPAC: ROSA - Hurricane
Not bad.
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Re: EPAC: ROSA - Hurricane
Yet another rapidly intensifying major hurricane in the EPAC... What a crazy season
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Kendall -> SLO -> PBC
Memorable Storms: Katrina (for its Florida landfall...) Wilma Matthew Irma
Memorable Storms: Katrina (for its Florida landfall...) Wilma Matthew Irma
Re: EPAC: ROSA - Hurricane
Gorgeous..up there with Norman at its peak in terms of looks. 125kts looks like it will be.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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galaxy401
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Re: EPAC: ROSA - Hurricane
125 knots per the Best Track.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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CaliforniaResident
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Re: EPAC: ROSA - Hurricane
Notice how the Southern CA/Mexico border is in that very, very northwestern edge of the cone now as a TS landfall.
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CrazyC83
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Re: EPAC: ROSA - Hurricane
If this were to threaten the California coast as a TC, I am sure they would do 6-hourly Recon missions.
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