BOB: TITLI - Post-Tropical

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Imran_doomhaMwx
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BOB: TITLI - Post-Tropical

#1 Postby Imran_doomhaMwx » Fri Oct 05, 2018 11:47 pm

90B INVEST
As of 00:00 UTC Oct 06, 2018:


Location: 8.8°N 96.6°E
Maximum Winds: 15 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1010 mb

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Last edited by Imran_doomhaMwx on Sat Oct 13, 2018 8:38 pm, edited 8 times in total.
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Re: BOB: Invest 90B

#2 Postby Grifforzer » Sun Oct 07, 2018 2:27 am

the cyclonic circulation over north Andaman Sea and adjoining southeast Bay of Bengal and extends upto 5.8 km above mean sea level.

Under its influence a low pressure area is likely to form over the same region during next 24 hours. It is very likely to concentrate into a depression during subsequent 24 hours. It is very likely to move northwestwards towards Odisha coast during next 72 hours.
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Re: BOB: 90B - Depression

#3 Postby Imran_doomhaMwx » Mon Oct 08, 2018 7:40 am

90B INVEST 181008 1200 14.4N 87.7E IO 30 1000

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Re: BOB: 90B - Depression

#4 Postby Imran_doomhaMwx » Mon Oct 08, 2018 8:01 am

Depression by IMD. Expected to threaten India's Odisha and/or northern Andhra Pradesh state as a tropical/cyclonic storm on the next 2-3 days.

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Re: BOB: 90B - Depression

#5 Postby KWT » Mon Oct 08, 2018 8:59 am

The GFS has hated this storm, but even it is now doing something with it. Models generally coming in anywhere from 995mvs down to 980mbs.
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Re: BOB: 06B - Deep Depression

#6 Postby Imran_doomhaMwx » Tue Oct 09, 2018 4:16 am

TS 06B...

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Re: BOB: TITLI - Cyclonic Storm

#7 Postby mrbagyo » Tue Oct 09, 2018 8:29 pm

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Re: BOB: TITLI - Cyclonic Storm

#8 Postby galaxy401 » Wed Oct 10, 2018 2:27 am

Uhh...yeah this storm has a define eye forming on visible. I don't think this is just a tropical storm now...Even worse since it will hit India soon.
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I don't get hurricanes here but I do get their remnants.

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Re: BOB: TITLI - Severe Cyclonic Storm

#9 Postby Imran_doomhaMwx » Wed Oct 10, 2018 2:45 am

75kts(1-min) by JTWC.

06B TITLI 181010 0600 17.0N 85.7E IO 75 976

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Re: BOB: TITLI - Severe Cyclonic Storm

#10 Postby Imran_doomhaMwx » Wed Oct 10, 2018 3:42 am

Rainfall accumulation forecast until tomorrow night.
Note that strong convective bands north of the storm's center may also dump 100-200mm in some of parts of the West Bengal state and Bangladesh within the next 24hrs.

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Re: BOB: TITLI - Severe Cyclonic Storm

#11 Postby mrbagyo » Wed Oct 10, 2018 4:20 am

Image

Can't see any weakening til landfall
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Re: BOB: TITLI - Severe Cyclonic Storm

#12 Postby Imran_doomhaMwx » Wed Oct 10, 2018 4:42 am

Now within the range of Visakhapatnam radar.
http://www.imd.gov.in/pages/radar_main.php?adta=vsk

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Re: BOB: TITLI - Severe Cyclonic Storm

#13 Postby TorSkk » Wed Oct 10, 2018 5:03 am

Now upgraded to a very severe cyclonic storm
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Re: BOB: TITLI - Severe Cyclonic Storm

#14 Postby mrbagyo » Wed Oct 10, 2018 5:53 am

Imran_doomhaMwx wrote:Now within the range of Visakhapatnam radar.
http://www.imd.gov.in/pages/radar_main.php?adta=vsk

https://i.imgur.com/JR6H8A7.jpg



Do you have direct link to the archive of radar image,
I wanna loop it hehe
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Re: BOB: TITLI - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

#15 Postby mrbagyo » Wed Oct 10, 2018 6:53 am

Got it but with limited frames only.
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Re: BOB: TITLI - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

#16 Postby mrbagyo » Wed Oct 10, 2018 2:02 pm

06B TITLI 181010 1200 17.6N 85.4E IO 90 956
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Re: BOB: TITLI - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

#17 Postby Cunxi Huang » Wed Oct 10, 2018 6:28 pm

I guess we all have missed something.

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Re: BOB: TITLI - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

#18 Postby BYG Jacob » Wed Oct 10, 2018 6:51 pm

Cat 4 or 5 right there. Jesus
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Re: BOB: TITLI - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

#19 Postby Imran_doomhaMwx » Wed Oct 10, 2018 7:09 pm

Making landfall, or has made landfall, over northern Andhra Pradesh, very close to the border with Odisha.
The microwave and radar presentation dramatically improved as it neared the coast. The JTWC intensity estimate @ 18Z is 95kts, but this was likely stronger at landfall.

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Re: BOB: TITLI - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

#20 Postby Imran_doomhaMwx » Wed Oct 10, 2018 7:12 pm

Of note, the NOAA SAB / KNES analyzed T6.0 @ 20:30Z, corresponding to a category 4 cyclone!
https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/storms/TITLI.html

TXIO22 KNES 102120
TCSNIO

A. 06B (TITLI)

B. 10/2030Z

C. 18.7N

D. 84.9E

E. ONE/MET-8

F. T6.0/6.0/D1.5/6HRS

G. IR/EIR/SWIR

H. REMARKS...SYSTEM CHARACTERIZED BY A LG EYE SURROUNDED BY CMG
AND EMBEDDED IN W FOR A DT=6.0. MET AND PT AGREE. FT IS BASED ON
RAPID INTENSIFICATION AS THE 6HR AVERAGE WAS 5.75. GIVEN THE RECENT
INTENSIFICATION TREND A DT=6.0 WAS ESTABLISHED.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...FISHER
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