ATL: MICHAEL - Recon Discussion

[cycloneye]

This thread is to discuss about the upcomming missions data and not congest the main recon thread.

[cycloneye]

Does anyone know why there are no dropsondes in the first mission?

[cycloneye]

A lot of missions upcomming.

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0115 PM EDT SUN 07 OCTOBER 2018
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z OCTOBER 2018
TCPOD NUMBER.....18-136

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 79 FLIGHT TWO -- NOAA 49
A. 08/1800Z A. 09/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0414A MICHAEL B. NOAA9 0514A MICHAEL
C. 08/1700Z C. 08/1730Z
D. NA D. NA
E. 08/1800Z TO 08/2100Z E. NA
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
G. BUOY DROPS

FLIGHT THREE -- NOAA 42 FLIGHT FOUR -- TEAL 71
A. 08/2230Z A. 08/2330Z,09/0530Z
B. NOAA2 0614A MICHAEL B. AFXXX 0714A MICHAEL
C. 08/2000Z C. 08/2130Z
D. 22.9N 86.8W D. 23.2N 86.8W
E. 08/2200Z TO 09/0300Z E. 08/2300Z TO 09/0530Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

FLIGHT FIVE -- NOAA 49 FLIGHT SIX -- NOAA 42
A. 09/1200Z A. 09/1030Z
B. NOAA9 0814A MICHAEL B. NOAA2 0914A MICHAEL
C. 09/0530Z C. 09/0800Z
D. NA D. 24.6N 87.1W
E. NA E. 09/1000Z TO 09/1500Z
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

FLIGHT SEVEN -- TEAL 72
A. 09/1130Z,1730Z
B. AFXXX 1014A MICHAEL
C. 09/1000Z
D. 24.9N 87.2W
E. 09/1100Z TO 09/1730Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. BEGIN 3-HRLY FIXES ON MICHAEL AT 09/2030Z.
B. TWO MORE NOAA 42 P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSIONS DEPARTING
FROM KLAL AT 09/2000Z AND 10/0800Z.

[cycloneye]

The next mission will depart around 10:45 PM EDT.

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 72
A. 08/0530Z
B. AFXXX 0214A CYCLONE
C. 08/0245Z
D. 20.9N 86.7W
E. 08/0500Z TO 08/0830Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

[cycloneye]

I am going to sleep so who wants to post the data?

[cycloneye]

This second mission has been with problems transmiting the data.

[cycloneye]

Next mission will depart around 1:00 PM EDT.Around 1:30 PM EDT Gonzo takes off to sample the upper enviroment and what it gathers as data feeds into the 00z model runs.

FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 79
A. 08/1800Z
B. AFXXX 0414A MICHAEL
C. 08/1700Z
D. NA
E. 08/1800Z TO 08/2100Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
G. BUOY DROPS

[artist]

I have other obligations, and won’t be able to post recon, or much to the Michael obs thread for at least today and tomorrow.
If someone else could help, that would be great.

[cycloneye]

Anyone wants to volunteer to post the next missions of this afternoon and evening? I have things to do this afternoon so I will not be all the time.

[craptacular]

FYI, I don't think mission #4 (leaving at 1700z, 1pm EDT) is actually going to get center fixes. The notes say "buoy drops", they're only on station for three hours, and the forecast position (note D.) is NA. The next missions for center fixes are #6 (NOAA) departing at 2000z (4:00pm EDT) and #7 (Air Force) departing at 2130z (5:30pm EDT). First center fixes from those should be around 2230z (6:30pm EDT).

[cycloneye]

FYI, I don't think mission #4 (leaving at 1700z, 1pm EDT) is actually going to get center fixes. The notes say "buoy drops", they're only on station for three hours, and the forecast position (note D.) is NA. The next missions for center fixes are #6 (NOAA) departing at 2000z (4:00pm EDT) and #7 (Air Force) departing at 2130z (5:30pm EDT). First center fixes from those should be around 2230z (6:30pm EDT).

Thank you for the clarification.

[cycloneye]

Mondays TCPOD for Tuesday and Wednesdays missions.

NOUS42 KNHC 081653
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1255 PM EDT MON 08 OCTOBER 2018
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 09/1100Z TO 10/1100Z OCTOBER 2018
TCPOD NUMBER.....18-137

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE MICHAEL
FLIGHT ONE -- NOAA 49 FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 73
A. 10/0000Z A. 09/2030Z,2330Z
B. NOAA9 1114A MICHAEL B. AFXXX 1214A MICHAEL
C. 09/1730Z C. 09/1915Z
D. NA D. 25.9N 86.4W
E. NA E. 09/2000Z TO 10/0030Z
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

FLIGHT THREE -- NOAA 42 FLIGHT FOUR -- TEAL 71
A. 09/2130Z,10/0230Z A. 10/0530Z,0830Z,1130Z
B. NOAA2 1314A MICHAEL B. AFXXX 1414A MICHAEL
C. 09/2000Z C. 10/0430Z
D. 26.0N 86.4W D. 27.6N 86.4W
E. 09/2100Z TO 10/0330Z E. 10/0500Z TO 10/1130Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

FLIGHT FIVE -- NOAA 42
A. 10/0930Z
B. NOAA2 1514A MICHAEL
C. 10/0800Z
D. 28.0N 86.3W
E. 10/0900Z TO 10/1500Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 3-HRLY FIXES WHILE
SYSTEM REMAINS A THREAT.

[cycloneye]

She will be part of the crew in the next mission this evening.

 https://twitter.com/GigEm12_Steph/status/1049383948147666944

[cycloneye]

These are the next two missions from Air Force and NOAA's P-3 this evening.

FLIGHT THREE -- NOAA 42 FLIGHT FOUR -- TEAL 71
A. 08/2230Z A. 08/2330Z,09/0530Z
B. NOAA2 0614A MICHAEL B. AFXXX 0714A MICHAEL
C. 08/2000Z C. 08/2130Z
D. 22.9N 86.8W D. 23.2N 86.8W
E. 08/2200Z TO 09/0300Z E. 08/2300Z TO 09/0530Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1049660645208195073

[cycloneye]

The next two missions will depart at 3:15 PM EDT (Air Force) and at 4:00 PM EDT. (NOAA)

[craptacular]

The first of those two recon flights (AF) just took off from Biloxi. If anyone is following the flights, note these will be missions 11 and 12, not 12 and 13 as originally posted in the plan of the day. The original 11 was canceled and replaced with the research flight currently circling Michael. The first center fix should be around 4:30 EDT (3:30 CDT).

[cycloneye]

Hopefully there are no communication problems.

[craptacular]

AF301 (mission #11) is heading home. The NOAA plane (mission 12) should be out there for a couple more hours, then there will be a three hour gap until the first of the next two planes gets back in there.