Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria
Issued at 2:15 pm CST on Wednesday 26 December 2018
for the period until midnight CST Saturday 29 December 2018.
Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region:
Nil.
Potential Cyclones:
A weak tropical low is located over the Arafura Sea and is expected to track westwards into the Timor Sea over the next couple of days. The low is not expected to develop significantly, though the environment becomes more favourable for development from Friday.
Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:
Thursday:Very Low.
Friday:Low.
Saturday:Low.
In the longer term, the monsoon trough is expected to form and deepen in the region over the weekend. There is potential for development of another tropical low within the trough, though the location of formation of this low remains uncertain.
Issued at 2:15 pm CST on Wednesday 26 December 2018
for the period until midnight CST Saturday 29 December 2018.
Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region:
Nil.
Potential Cyclones:
A weak tropical low is located over the Arafura Sea and is expected to track westwards into the Timor Sea over the next couple of days. The low is not expected to develop significantly, though the environment becomes more favourable for development from Friday.
Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:
Thursday:Very Low.
Friday:Low.
Saturday:Low.
In the longer term, the monsoon trough is expected to form and deepen in the region over the weekend. There is potential for development of another tropical low within the trough, though the location of formation of this low remains uncertain.