ATL: THREE - Remnants - Discussion

[xironman]

What's funny is that Three's convection looks more organized now than it ever did while it had a low-level CoC.

I suppose the circulation was so weak and fragile that last night's convective lull was enough to open it all up (perhaps in coordination with the approaching front). This is about as weak, short-lived, and borderline as you can get but still have a classified TC.

I'd find it hilarious, however, if ASCAT later finds a gale-force closed LLC under this ball of convection as it heads OTS overnight; another "TS" not officially recognized similarly to 98L last September.

Looks the best it ever has

[storminabox]

If TD #3 somehow gets upgraded to Chantal it’ll be our third storm in a row that looks pitiful.

Rare for a June or July storm to look anything special. Bertha in 2008 and Alex in 2010 are the most recent ones that come to mind.

What about Hurricane Chris from last year?

[HurricaneEnzo]

It's now looking better than it ever has imo. Making a comeback?

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... peed_ms=80

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[tolakram]

Just ignore the eye-like feature.

Visible

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&z=2&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=mesoscale_02&p%5B0%5D=band_02&x=1560&y=620.5

[tolakram]

Day Cloud Phase overlay
http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&z=2&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B1%5D=0.5&hidden%5B0%5D=0&hidden%5B1%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=mesoscale_02&p%5B0%5D=band_02&p%5B1%5D=jma_day_cloud_phase_distinction_rgb&x=1560&y=570.5

[HurricaneEnzo]

This might even be near TS strength now td3 is a fighter

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[HurricaneEnzo]

This will be named tonight if it doesn't poof by then

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[tolakram]

This will be named tonight if it doesn't poof by then

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Looks can be deceiving, no clue if there's really an LLC or not, all I see is an MLC.

[Sciencerocks]

What's funny is that Three's convection looks more organized now than it ever did while it had a low-level CoC.

I suppose the circulation was so weak and fragile that last night's convective lull was enough to open it all up (perhaps in coordination with the approaching front). This is about as weak, short-lived, and borderline as you can get but still have a classified TC.

I'd find it hilarious, however, if ASCAT later finds a gale-force closed LLC under this ball of convection as it heads OTS overnight; another "TS" not officially recognized similarly to 98L last September.

Looks the best it ever has

It really does and is most certainly heading in the direction of becoming exactly what monsoonjr said above. The question is can any real solid confirmation of such be confirmed from ascat or a passing ship to the south of the circulation catch the nhc's attention for an upgrade before it merges with front.

[TorSkk]

What's funny is that Three's convection looks more organized now than it ever did while it had a low-level CoC.

I suppose the circulation was so weak and fragile that last night's convective lull was enough to open it all up (perhaps in coordination with the approaching front). This is about as weak, short-lived, and borderline as you can get but still have a classified TC.

I'd find it hilarious, however, if ASCAT later finds a gale-force closed LLC under this ball of convection as it heads OTS overnight; another "TS" not officially recognized similarly to 98L last September.

Looks the best it ever has

It really does and is most certainly heading in the direction of becoming exactly what monsoonjr said above. The question is can any real solid confirmation of such be confirmed from ascat or a passing ship to the south of the circulation catch the nhc's attention for an upgrade before it merges with front.

https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/1312/bGF9cO.gif

[hipshot]

That last Ascat pass looks like it missed it.

[HurricaneEnzo]

Starting to poof again

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