ATL: HUMBERTO - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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ATL: HUMBERTO - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#1 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 10, 2019 4:01 pm

Post away for North of Hispañola area.

AL, 95, 2019090918, , BEST, 0, 213N, 700W, 20, 1015, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS019, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 019,
AL, 95, 2019091000, , BEST, 0, 214N, 705W, 15, 1015, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS019, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 019,
AL, 95, 2019091006, , BEST, 0, 215N, 710W, 20, 1015, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS019, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 019,
AL, 95, 2019091012, , BEST, 0, 216N, 715W, 20, 1015, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS019, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 019,
AL, 95, 2019091018, , BEST, 0, 217N, 720W, 25, 1014, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1017, 150, 90, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 019, SPAWNINVEST, al722019 to al952019,


INVEST AL952019

LAT (DEG N) 22.0 22.0 22.1 22.2 22.4 22.5 23.1 23.5 24.2 24.8 25.9 27.5 29.6
LONG(DEG W) 72.0 72.6 73.4 74.1 74.7 75.8 76.8 77.8 79.1 80.8 82.7 84.3 85.6
STM SPEED (KT) 5 6 7 6 5 6 4 6 7 10 10 11 12
HEAT CONTENT 64 62 62 67 71 61 67 83 76 55 62 36 30

FORECAST TRACK FROM TABM INITIAL HEADING/SPEED (DEG/KT):275/ 5


Thread at Talking Tropics forum that was the topic for this area.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=120534
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#2 Postby DioBrando » Tue Sep 10, 2019 4:04 pm

Can you like, not form?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#3 Postby Hammy » Tue Sep 10, 2019 4:27 pm

Would be nice if this could get into the Gulf and consolidate into something weak enough to avoid damage, but wet enough to track north through Georgia because it's been absurdly hot and dry here.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#4 Postby SoupBone » Tue Sep 10, 2019 4:31 pm

cycloneye wrote:Post away for North of Hispañola area.

INVEST AL952019

LAT (DEG N) 22.0 22.0 22.1 22.2 22.4 22.5 23.1 23.5 24.2 24.8 25.9 27.5 29.6
LONG(DEG W) 72.0 72.6 73.4 74.1 74.7 75.8 76.8 77.8 79.1 80.8 82.7 84.3 85.6
STM SPEED (KT) 5 6 7 6 5 6 4 6 7 10 10 11 12
HEAT CONTENT 64 62 62 67 71 61 67 83 76 55 62 36 30

FORECAST TRACK FROM TABM INITIAL HEADING/SPEED (DEG/KT):275/ 5


Thread at Talking Tropics forum that was the topic for this area.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=120534


Just a quick sidebar, when you lock a thread, could you post as the last post directing us to the new thread? I've been refreshing the other one for 30 minutes, wondering why there were no updates. :lol: EDIT: Weird, I see it now but it wasn't up there when I was refreshing.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#5 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 10, 2019 4:33 pm

SoupBone wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Post away for North of Hispañola area.

INVEST AL952019

LAT (DEG N) 22.0 22.0 22.1 22.2 22.4 22.5 23.1 23.5 24.2 24.8 25.9 27.5 29.6
LONG(DEG W) 72.0 72.6 73.4 74.1 74.7 75.8 76.8 77.8 79.1 80.8 82.7 84.3 85.6
STM SPEED (KT) 5 6 7 6 5 6 4 6 7 10 10 11 12
HEAT CONTENT 64 62 62 67 71 61 67 83 76 55 62 36 30

FORECAST TRACK FROM TABM INITIAL HEADING/SPEED (DEG/KT):275/ 5


Thread at Talking Tropics forum that was the topic for this area.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=120534


Just a quick sidebar, when you lock a thread, could you post as the last post directing us to the new thread? I've been refreshing the other one for 30 minutes, wondering why there were no updates. :lol: EDIT: Weird, I see it now but it wasn't up there when I was refreshing.


I always post the hyperlink to the invest threads when the Talking Tropics forum threads are locked.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#6 Postby DioBrando » Tue Sep 10, 2019 4:35 pm

Hammy wrote:Would be nice if this could get into the Gulf and consolidate into something weak enough to avoid damage, but wet enough to track north through Georgia because it's been absurdly hot and dry here.

I don't want it to form.
GOD FORBID this gets named.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#7 Postby xironman » Tue Sep 10, 2019 4:41 pm

Looks like the ULL forming northwest around SC and heading across FL may keep a lid on it with inducing shear. But then a high will push in later.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#8 Postby Hurricaneman » Tue Sep 10, 2019 4:41 pm

This could be one of those systems that could over perform, definitely bears watching
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#9 Postby CFLHurricane » Tue Sep 10, 2019 4:41 pm

DioBrando wrote:
Hammy wrote:Would be nice if this could get into the Gulf and consolidate into something weak enough to avoid damage, but wet enough to track north through Georgia because it's been absurdly hot and dry here.

I don't want it to form.
GOD FORBID this gets named.


95L just heard you, and now we’re all doomed. :lol:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#10 Postby CFLHurricane » Tue Sep 10, 2019 4:42 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:This could be one of those systems that could over perform, definitely bears watching


It has that look today, let’s see if it takes off tomorrow.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#11 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 10, 2019 4:44 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#12 Postby DioBrando » Tue Sep 10, 2019 4:45 pm

xironman wrote:Looks like the ULL forming northwest around SC and heading across FL may keep a lid on it with inducing shear. But then a high will push in later.

GOOD.
do you have a map
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#13 Postby DioBrando » Tue Sep 10, 2019 4:46 pm

CFLHurricane wrote:
Hurricaneman wrote:This could be one of those systems that could over perform, definitely bears watching


It has that look today, let’s see if it takes off tomorrow.

God forbid this becomes Alicia
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#14 Postby SFLcane » Tue Sep 10, 2019 4:46 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:This could be one of those systems that could over perform, definitely bears watching


Na...to much shear. Rainy weekend across SFL
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#15 Postby DioBrando » Tue Sep 10, 2019 4:46 pm

SFLcane wrote:
Hurricaneman wrote:This could be one of those systems that could over perform, definitely bears watching


Na...to much shear. Rainy weekend across SFL

And too much dry air

Predicted peak: 30 knot TD
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#16 Postby xironman » Tue Sep 10, 2019 4:49 pm

Well, there does not appear to be the "sinking air" problem

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#17 Postby xironman » Tue Sep 10, 2019 4:52 pm

DioBrando wrote:
xironman wrote:Looks like the ULL forming northwest around SC and heading across FL may keep a lid on it with inducing shear. But then a high will push in later.

GOOD.
do you have a map


Well kind of, this shows the pattern a 250MB, you can see the ULL go over FL, but there will probably be a high pressure to follow it.

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#18 Postby DioBrando » Tue Sep 10, 2019 4:57 pm

xironman wrote:
DioBrando wrote:
xironman wrote:Looks like the ULL forming northwest around SC and heading across FL may keep a lid on it with inducing shear. But then a high will push in later.

GOOD.
do you have a map


Well kind of, this shows the pattern a 250MB, you can see the ULL go over FL, but there will probably be a high pressure to follow it.

https://i.imgur.com/l1IqwKU.gif

And what will the high pressure do
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#19 Postby jasons2k » Tue Sep 10, 2019 4:58 pm

Probably won’t do much until it gets to the gulf
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#20 Postby DioBrando » Tue Sep 10, 2019 5:01 pm

Chances of this not being named?
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