ATL: HUMBERTO - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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DioBrando
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#961 Postby DioBrando » Tue Sep 17, 2019 1:24 pm

plasticup wrote:They say this is a Category 2? Looks a lot better than most.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/images/goes16_vis_09L_201909171752.jpg?3062861

He's beautiful!
Quite the looker.
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#962 Postby Cunxi Huang » Tue Sep 17, 2019 2:04 pm

EC 12z+42h 923 mb.
AL, 09, 2019091712, 98, EMDT, 42, 344N, 635W, 106, 923, , 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 19
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#963 Postby DioBrando » Tue Sep 17, 2019 2:17 pm

Cunxi Huang wrote:EC 12z+42h 923 mb.
AL, 09, 2019091712, 98, EMDT, 42, 344N, 635W, 106, 923, , 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 19

Windspeed is?
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#964 Postby TallyTracker » Tue Sep 17, 2019 2:40 pm

Humberto is enormous! Look at the hurricane in relation to the Southeastern US! Very impressive and beautiful storm.
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#965 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Tue Sep 17, 2019 2:41 pm

DioBrando wrote:
Cunxi Huang wrote:EC 12z+42h 923 mb.
AL, 09, 2019091712, 98, EMDT, 42, 344N, 635W, 106, 923, , 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 19

Windspeed is?


105mph
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#966 Postby TallyTracker » Tue Sep 17, 2019 3:06 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:
DioBrando wrote:
Cunxi Huang wrote:EC 12z+42h 923 mb.

Windspeed is?


105mph


That maybe wind speed in knots which would make it 120 mph. That seems probable with those kind of pressures.
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#967 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Tue Sep 17, 2019 3:11 pm

TallyTracker wrote:
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:
DioBrando wrote:Windspeed is?


105mph


That maybe wind speed in knots which would make it 120 mph. That seems probable with those kind of pressures.


Bleh, thought that was the 18z ATCF being posted, sorry
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#968 Postby Kazmit » Tue Sep 17, 2019 3:17 pm

It has actually been sunny most of the day but it's now overcast and we're getting some heavy but short-lived showers. The wind and surf are both still calm though.
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#969 Postby DioBrando » Tue Sep 17, 2019 3:49 pm

An improvement from yesterday
Image
Image
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#970 Postby sikkar » Tue Sep 17, 2019 5:27 pm

Image

Most recent MW. The lower half is being affected by shear/dry air?
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#971 Postby sikkar » Tue Sep 17, 2019 6:09 pm

Center may pass over this buoy in few hours.
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... m=M&tz=STN
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#972 Postby Kazmit » Tue Sep 17, 2019 6:25 pm

Recon finding winds that support a high end cat 2... and that's just in the NW side of the storm. I easily see this reaching cat 3 tonight.
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#973 Postby NDG » Tue Sep 17, 2019 6:33 pm

Definitely recon finding Humberto stronger very close to Cat 3.
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#974 Postby 1900hurricane » Tue Sep 17, 2019 6:47 pm

111 kt 700 mb winds and 98 kt SFMR should be good enough for 100 kt at 00Z I think.
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#975 Postby Hammy » Tue Sep 17, 2019 6:56 pm

1900hurricane wrote:111 kt 700 mb winds and 98 kt SFMR should be good enough for 100 kt at 00Z I think.


Yep, officially 100kt on intermediate advisory.
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#976 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Tue Sep 17, 2019 6:57 pm

And we're 9-3-2 for the year.
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#977 Postby NDG » Tue Sep 17, 2019 7:01 pm

Yep, second MH of the season.
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#978 Postby NotoSans » Tue Sep 17, 2019 7:13 pm

100KT looks alright to me based on SFMR reports of 98KT, but I’d neglect the flight-level winds of 111KT recorded in the southeast quadrant, as SFMR shows surface mixing is rather poor at that side.
 https://twitter.com/philipslau681/status/1174113673326915585


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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#979 Postby JahJa » Tue Sep 17, 2019 7:47 pm

Given that it is still over warmer SST for a while yet what do you think the chances of it strengthening to a Cat 4 are?
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#980 Postby psyclone » Tue Sep 17, 2019 7:52 pm

Humberto is a big and very impressive hurricane. Best wishes to everyone in Bermuda for this one.
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