ATL: HUMBERTO - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1021 Postby sikkar » Wed Sep 18, 2019 3:52 pm

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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1022 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Sep 18, 2019 4:07 pm

Here's data from an earlier ASCAT pass, which is good for visualizing the size of Humberto's wind field.

Image
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1023 Postby wx98 » Wed Sep 18, 2019 5:30 pm

According to Bermuda radar, Humberto and Bermuda are doing their best Dorian/Cape Hatteras near-miss landfall imitation...
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1024 Postby wx98 » Wed Sep 18, 2019 5:34 pm

The southern eyewall is starting to go over Bermuda right now. This won't be an official landfall, but just about as close as you can get without getting one.
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1025 Postby Kazmit » Wed Sep 18, 2019 6:18 pm

Winds have been hurricane-force for an hour or two now, I’ve seen videos of a roof coming off and a palm tree snapping in half. :eek:
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1026 Postby sikkar » Wed Sep 18, 2019 6:21 pm

Looks like Bermuda will have to eat a big part of the eye wall.
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1027 Postby sikkar » Wed Sep 18, 2019 6:28 pm

Wow looks like radar is down... they just purchased it few months ago... must be intense.
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1028 Postby wx98 » Wed Sep 18, 2019 6:35 pm

sikkar wrote:Wow looks like radar is down... they just purchased it few months ago... must be intense.

Yeah I just noticed the same thing. Went to check it and it now says it’s unavailable, so it must be some pretty strong winds :eek:
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1029 Postby Kazmit » Wed Sep 18, 2019 6:53 pm

It is more intense than I expected. Latest wind report from the Bermuda Weather Service showed SUSTAINED 81mph winds gusting to 114mph. At least 80% of homes are without power at this point.
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1030 Postby Ubuntwo » Wed Sep 18, 2019 7:01 pm

Station on the northern tip of Bermuda recorded 88G107 kt. Not sure of the elevation but still notable.
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1031 Postby sikkar » Wed Sep 18, 2019 7:08 pm

An automated station at Pearl Island recently reported sustained winds of 100 mph (161 km/h) and a wind gust of 123 mph (198 km/h). LF Wade International Airport recently reported a wind gust of 115 mph (185 km/h).

http://bernews.com/2019/09/live-updates ... -humberto/
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1032 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Wed Sep 18, 2019 7:09 pm

Livestream from Nonsuch Island, located on the northern end of Bermuda.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TRzHuWtCULU
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1033 Postby wx98 » Wed Sep 18, 2019 7:13 pm

...HURRICANE CONDITIONS CONTINUING ON BERMUDA... ...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS BERMUDA INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

8:00 PM AST Wed Sep 18
Location: 33.4°N 65.0°W
Moving: ENE at 20 mph
Min pressure: 952 mb
Max sustained: 120 mph
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1034 Postby EquusStorm » Wed Sep 18, 2019 7:23 pm

Amazing it's still strong as it is given the degraded structure; no doubt highly baroclinically driven at this point. Looks to be a much harder hit than I thought on Bermuda.
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1035 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Wed Sep 18, 2019 7:47 pm

For radar loops that were last available from Bermuda radar:

Image
100km SRI - 13:31Z to 22:49Z
https://imgur.com/Hydqicw

Image
250km SRI - 13:31Z to 22:49Z
https://imgur.com/1hGOwHX

Image
500km PPI - 13:36Z to 22:48Z
https://imgur.com/L1IUDlV
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1036 Postby SconnieCane » Wed Sep 18, 2019 8:04 pm

Probably Bermuda's most intense TC impacts since Gonzalo. Could also end up with a 1-2 punch like that and Fay depending on what happens with Jerry.
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1037 Postby Nawtamet » Wed Sep 18, 2019 8:25 pm

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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1038 Postby JahJa » Wed Sep 18, 2019 8:25 pm

SconnieCane wrote:Probably Bermuda's most intense TC impacts since Gonzalo. Could also end up with a 1-2 punch like that and Fay depending on what happens with Jerry.


Most definitely the most intense TC since Gonzalo. I was here for both Fay and Gonzalo and they had nothing on the winds that Humberto bought along. My windows literally shaking at one point and I thought my doors were going to blow in. Thankfully winds have died down within the past hour and a half but all in all so far it’s ok.
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1039 Postby wx98 » Wed Sep 18, 2019 8:33 pm

Recon easily still supports a Cat 3 :eek:
Extrapolated pressure is down below 951 and SFMR is still around 100 kt on the first eyewall pass
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Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1040 Postby Kazmit » Wed Sep 18, 2019 8:38 pm

Winds have calmed down since an hour ago. Definitely a greater impact than anyone expected. It’s dark so I don’t know what the damage is like but I’ll give an update in the morning.
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