Cat5James wrote:LarryWx wrote:northjaxpro wrote:
This continues several run cycles of EURO since last night with north and east shifts. This also continues with the models (UKMET and GFS in standing.pat as well) with IÇON with sticking to this solution..
I will say this. Should the ICON end up being right about this, you have to tip your hat to the model in this instance or having this solution from the start.
You’re not going to like (and same for me) the 18Z Euro ensemble. There’s been still another significant NE shift of tracks. Now the mean track is just inland of the FL E coast moving NNW. The mean strength is also significantly stronger than prior runs. Individual members are split between many that go NNW/N over the FL peninsula/GA and now a good number of others offshore in the Atlantic (some later hit Carolinas while others never make landfall. Mean rainfall is 3-4” over NE FL/far SE GA.
Can you share the ensembles?
I can’t because it is from a private, paid source. So, the best I can do is to describe what I saw.