#3 Postby hurricanes1234 » Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:34 pm
Down to 70%. Oh this season ...
Recent satellite data indicate that the wind field of a broad area
of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remains elongated, and
the system does not have a well-defined center. In addition, the
associated shower and thunderstorm activity has not increased in
organization. Although the window of opportunity for development is
decreasing, a tropical depression is still likely to form by tonight
or on Sunday while the system moves northward at 5 to 10 mph. By
Sunday night or Monday, however, additional development is not
expected due to cooler waters and stronger upper-level winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
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