WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Post-Tropical

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Hayabusa
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Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Tropical Depression

#61 Postby Hayabusa » Sat Nov 23, 2019 3:13 am

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WTPN31 PGTW 222100 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W (FUNG-WONG) WARNING NR 014A CORRECTED//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W (FUNG-WONG) WARNING NR 014A CORRECTED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221800Z --- NEAR 25.0N 125.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N 125.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 26.7N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 28.9N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
222100Z POSITION NEAR 25.4N 125.6E.
22NOV19. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 28W (FUNG-WONG), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 153 NM SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN HAS
TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION BASED ON
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH REVEALS A FULLY
EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION
SHEARED WELL TO THE NORTH. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON A
221318Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS SHOWING 20-25 KT WINDS AROUND THE LLCC
AND A LARGE SWATH OF 30-35 KT ENVIRONMENTAL WINDS AROUND 100 NM
NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION. DESPITE GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, THE
ENVIRONMENT IS EXTREMELY HOSTILE DUE TO VERY HIGH (45-50 KT)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND UNFAVORABLE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE OF
24-25 CELSIUS. TD 28W WILL CONTINUE TRACKING POLEWARD AND DISSIPATE
BELOW WARNING THRESHOLD BY TAU 12. THERE IS FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THE
JTWC TRACK FORECAST DUE TO HIGH UNCERTAINTY IN ALONG TRACK SPEED.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN
PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 14 FEET.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED DISCUSSION IN REMARKS.//
NNNN
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Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Tropical Depression

#62 Postby Hayabusa » Sat Nov 23, 2019 3:40 am

WWJP27 RJTD 230600
WARNING AND SUMMARY 230600.
WARNING VALID 240600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1012 HPA AT 25N 126E NE SLOWLY.
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Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Tropical Depression

#63 Postby Hayabusa » Sat Nov 23, 2019 2:52 pm

WWJP27 RJTD 231200
WARNING AND SUMMARY 231200.
WARNING VALID 241200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1014 HPA AT 26N 126E NNE SLOWLY.
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Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Post-Tropical

#64 Postby Hayabusa » Sat Nov 23, 2019 3:53 pm

Image

WTPN31 PGTW 230900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W (FUNG-WONG) WARNING NR 014B RELOCATED//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W (FUNG-WONG) WARNING NR 014B RELOCATED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230600Z --- NEAR 25.2N 125.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 01 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N 125.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 25.4N 125.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 01 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 25.6N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
230900Z POSITION NEAR 25.2N 125.6E.
23NOV19. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W (FUNG-WONG), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 142 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED
NORTHEASTWARD AT 01 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION BASED ON ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH REVEALS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED WELL TO THE NORTH. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 230143Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS SHOWING 15-20 KNOT WINDS AROUND THE LLCC AND A LARGE SWATH OF 20-25 KT SYNOPTIC WINDS AROUND 200 NM NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION. THE ENVIRONMENT IS EXTREMELY HOSTILE DUE TO VERY HIGH (50-60 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND UNFAVORABLE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE OF 24-25 CELSIUS. HOWEVER, THE LOW LEVEL STEERING HAS BEEN LIMITED, WHICH HAS CAUSED THE LLCC TO BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY AND SEPARATE FROM THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER-LEVEL TO THE NORTH. DUE TO POOR MODEL REPRESENTATION OF TD 28W, THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST AS IT CONTINUES TO DRIFT POLEWARD. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS 10 FEET.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR RELOCATION: RELOCATED POSITION OF TD 28W BASED ON ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH SHOWS THE LLCC OVER 80 NM FROM THE FORECASTED TAU 12 POSITION.//
NNNN
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Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Post-Tropical

#65 Postby Hayabusa » Sat Nov 23, 2019 6:09 pm

WWJP27 RJTD 231800
WARNING AND SUMMARY 231800.
WARNING VALID 241800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
LOW 1014 HPA AT 29N 125E ENE 20 KT.
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