ATL: CRISTOBAL - Models

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SoupBone
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#141 Postby SoupBone » Mon Jun 01, 2020 2:35 pm

USTropics wrote:
SoupBone wrote:


So what would cause such a turn back due south into those mountains?


Currently there's a bit of a blocking pattern to the north, which is creating weak steering currents:


I appreciate the explanation!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#142 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Jun 01, 2020 2:37 pm

Long time and more model runs ahead
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#143 Postby Siker » Mon Jun 01, 2020 2:43 pm

 https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1267541804703866880


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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#144 Postby NDG » Mon Jun 01, 2020 2:47 pm

12z Euro ensembles, a lot more disagreement between them than on last night's run.

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#145 Postby stormlover2013 » Mon Jun 01, 2020 2:47 pm

https://weather.us/cyclone-tracks/euro/ ... 2-240.html
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Re: ATL: THREE - Models

#146 Postby Siker » Mon Jun 01, 2020 3:24 pm

Can anyone with a weathermodels.com subscription see what the 12z parallel Euro does? Not sure what time it comes out (and forgot it existed until Philippe Papin tweeted the 00z run).
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Re: ATL: THREE - Models

#147 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Jun 01, 2020 3:44 pm

Siker wrote:Can anyone with a weathermodels.com subscription see what the 12z parallel Euro does? Not sure what time it comes out (and forgot it existed until Philippe Papin tweeted the 00z run).

Still waiting for it. If someone doesn't share it before hand, I'll post.
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Re: ATL: THREE - Models

#148 Postby TheProfessor » Mon Jun 01, 2020 4:17 pm

18z ICON is keeping TD3 down in the BoC a lot longer this run, it could end up further west due to ridging expected to build in previous model runs and the storm so much further south.
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Re: ATL: THREE - Models

#149 Postby stormlover2013 » Mon Jun 01, 2020 4:20 pm

How do u add a image
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Re: ATL: THREE - Models

#150 Postby TheProfessor » Mon Jun 01, 2020 4:22 pm

stormlover2013 wrote:How do u add a image


You need to host the image somewhere and the grab a BBCode for forums. Imgur will give you a BBCode link if you upload to it.
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Re: ATL: THREE - Models

#151 Postby stormlover2013 » Mon Jun 01, 2020 4:23 pm

Oh k, I was going to post weatherbell icon, it’s done, pretty strong at 120 in central gom
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Re: ATL: THREE - Models

#152 Postby stormlover2013 » Mon Jun 01, 2020 4:39 pm

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 118&fh=114
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Re: ATL: THREE - Models

#153 Postby Cunxi Huang » Mon Jun 01, 2020 4:40 pm

Image
Image
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Re: ATL: THREE - Models

#154 Postby Blinhart » Mon Jun 01, 2020 5:30 pm

If some of these models turn out to be true, SW Louisiana will be getting a lot of rain from this system, yes we are in drought like conditions, but these models suggest a lot of severe flooding. So I will going do my crabbing Wednesday morning since it looks like we will have to wait a few weeks with all the fresh water intrusion hindering the fishing and crabbing after this system passes.
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Re: ATL: THREE - Models

#155 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Jun 01, 2020 5:40 pm

GFS has 03L off the coast of LA by D5.

NHC still has it in the SW GOMEX.
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Re: ATL: THREE - Models

#156 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Jun 01, 2020 5:47 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:GFS has 03L off the coast of LA by D5.

NHC still has it in the SW GOMEX.

That's probably 94L if it verifies.
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Re: ATL: THREE - Models

#157 Postby TheProfessor » Mon Jun 01, 2020 6:15 pm

18z HWRF is going with a dive into Mexico now.
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Re: ATL: THREE - Models

#158 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jun 01, 2020 6:17 pm

TheProfessor wrote:18z HWRF is going with a dive into Mexico now.


loopy loopy poopy..
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Re: ATL: THREE - Models

#159 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jun 01, 2020 6:31 pm

FUnny story....

HWRF and HMON flip flop..


that is all.

lol
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Re: ATL: THREE - Models

#160 Postby SoupBone » Mon Jun 01, 2020 6:32 pm

TheProfessor wrote:18z HWRF is going with a dive into Mexico now.


This is going to be one of the strangest systems I've ever seen in over 20 years of this stuff. It has it dancing around inside Mexico for a few days. I wonder if it'll emerge back out.
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