ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[TheStormExpert]

Well the trends have been definitely encouraging for SE Florida as most models keep this just offshore about 50 miles or so and weakening.

Just walked by a surf shop here in Jupiter in the plaza where I work and they’re boarding up with plywood as if a major hurricane is barreling towards us. I guess they rather be safe than sorry but that just seems a little extreme for what Isaias May bring.

Nobody knows if it will strengthen further. So if putting a few pieces of wood up could protect your livelihood it’s well worth the effort. It can only hurt you if you don’t put them up.

Like I said rather be safe than sorry, but at least as I see it the trends have been encouraging.

Of course the grocery store I work at we’re getting swamped with costumers, it’s been NON-STOP since we’ve opened at 7am!

[artist]

Well the trends have been definitely encouraging for SE Florida as most models keep this just offshore about 50 miles or so and weakening.

Just walked by a surf shop here in Jupiter in the plaza where I work and they’re boarding up with plywood as if a major hurricane is barreling towards us. I guess they rather be safe than sorry but that just seems a little extreme for what Isaias May bring.

Nobody knows if it will strengthen further. So if putting a few pieces of wood up could protect your livelihood it’s well worth the effort. It can only hurt you if you don’t put them up.

And if you don’t and it hits, insurance will not pay, if there was a warning issued, I believe. Correction, they will reduce the payout.

[Weatherboy1]

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=09L&product=vis
CDO really expanding to the W & SW again.

I was noticing that as well. Obviously shear and dry air intrusion have hurt the system. Anything that shows that quadrant expanding and/or dry air mixing out would point toward potential strengthening most likely

[NDG]

12z sounding still showing that narrow 592-593dm narrow ridge to the north of Isaias, not giving up that easy but eventual breakdown later today as the trough gets closer allowing Isaias to start heading on a more NNW heading later this evening into tomorrow morning.

[TheStormExpert]

 https://twitter.com/craigsetzer/status/1289511733585801216

[eastcoastFL]

If I had a 50 bucks for each one of these select people writing this cyclone off or trying to kill it, I would be set to not work for awhile.

Let's hold off on the eulogies folks please. This cyclone is still a significantt threat to not only the Florida East Coast but up the entire Eastern seaboard.

Oh.yeah, as long as you have a tropical cyclone over above normal sea surface temps, NEVER , EVER turn your back on its potential to thrive on that high octave source for it it to potentially intensify.

I really don’t understand why folks want to call time of death every time it has a hiccup. I’d want to see hours of consistent degrading before saying it’s done. There always seems to be peaks and valleys in these storms life cycle.

[tarheelprogrammer]

This thing sure does look like it is on life support currently. Dry air and shear are kicking its butt and as some pointed out it only gets worse from here. Hopefully, this continues and the storm dies out. Lord knows this country doesn't need any more disasters with COVID still wreaking havoc.

[TheStormExpert]

Well the trends have been definitely encouraging for SE Florida as most models keep this just offshore about 50 miles or so and weakening.

Just walked by a surf shop here in Jupiter in the plaza where I work and they’re boarding up with plywood as if a major hurricane is barreling towards us. I guess they rather be safe than sorry but that just seems a little extreme for what Isaias May bring.

Nobody knows if it will strengthen further. So if putting a few pieces of wood up could protect your livelihood it’s well worth the effort. It can only hurt you if you don’t put them up.

And if you don’t and it hits, insurance will not pay, if there was a warning issued, I believe.

I’m definitely closing up my shutters later this afternoon or evening regardless of what it does!

[Visioen]

My take is it's going to keep fluctuating and I think NHC's track is pretty accurate by now.

[DestinHurricane]

Still moving WNW?

[toad strangler]

I have to agree with northjax pro here. It's a situation where many are writing this off, and putting it offshore. The TC is beginning to improve appearance wise and I believe will intensify more today. It is not dead.

Well there is a difference between writing it off and making a statement on its current presentation. I for one made a couple comments about Isaias looking like crap. Because it does. I didn’t write it off though. That would be amateurism.

[HurricaneEnzo]

I'm thinking the cone will be moved back a tick west next track update. Heading still looks WNW. Has there been a center fix recently?

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[GCANE]

If you are a believer in GFS, check this out

[toad strangler]

My take is it's going to keep fluctuating and I think NHC's track is pretty accurate by now.

Sure, but 15 to 20 miles could mean everything. That’s not much. NHC isn’t going to nail down a track to the mile downstream a bit.

[eastcoastFL]

I have to agree with northjax pro here. It's a situation where many are writing this off, and putting it offshore. The TC is beginning to improve appearance wise and I believe will intensify more today. It is not dead.

Well there is a difference between writing it off and making a statement on its current presentation. I for one made a couple comments about Isaias looking like crap. Because it does. I didn’t write it off though. That would be amateurism.

That’s normal. That’s what we’re here to do, discuss the storm. “Stick a fork in it” is extremely amateurish though. So I agree with you,

[HurricaneEnzo]

If you are a believer in GFS, check this out

Gonna have to pull out some gymnastics or ninja moves to make that

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[tarheelprogrammer]

Some terrible news just delivered on Twitter. This is heart breaking for sure for some of us southerners:

 https://twitter.com/LoganGilesWx/status/1289339292209184768

[northjaxpro]

If I had a 50 bucks for each one of these select people writing this cyclone off or trying to kill it, I would be set to not work for awhile.

Let's hold off on the eulogies folks please. This cyclone is still a significantt threat to not only the Florida East Coast but up the entire Eastern seaboard.

Oh.yeah, as long as you have a tropical cyclone over above normal sea surface temps, NEVER , EVER turn your back on its potential to thrive on that high octave source for it it to potentially intensify.

There is only one person on this forum allowed to kill off a storm and that is wxman57

Lol.. Yeah, ole' 57 has not been able to bring his buddy.out to make his famed proclamation this season huh? There have been times with all the SAL around that 57 was probably was tempted to bringhim out, but Mother Nature said no lol..

[northjaxpro]

If I had a 50 bucks for each one of these select people writing this cyclone off or trying to kill it, I would be set to not work for awhile.

Let's hold off on the eulogies folks please. This cyclone is still a significantt threat to not only the Florida East Coast but up the entire Eastern seaboard.

Oh.yeah, as long as you have a tropical cyclone over above normal sea surface temps, NEVER , EVER turn your back on its potential to thrive on that high octave source for it it to potentially intensify.

There is only one person on this forum allowed to kill off a storm and that is wxman57

Lol.. Yeah, ole' 57 has not been able to bring his buddy.out to make his famed proclamation this season huh? There have been times with all the SAL around that 57 was probably was tempted to bring him out, but Mother Nature said no lol..

[artist]

Not to sound like those writing it off but the worst of the weather should remain well offshore with the current NHC track assuming the westerly shear keeps up. Personally this is reminding me more of Matthew where we got spared about 60-70 miles here in NE Palm Beach County. TS conditions should be expected but nothing worth getting too concerned about in my opinion, unless something drastically changes.

Do you own your own home? If you do and you live on Jupiter island, you better board up for insurance purposes, if anything happens. Otherwise they can reduce your claim, unless your have hurricane windows.