ATL: HANNA - Remnants - Discussion

[Cpv17]

I have a 35kt TS making landfall between Corpus Christi & Victoria Friday late afternoon. No significant wind. HOPEFULLY some rain. Only 0.25" with the "rain" from 90L yesterday and today. Not enough to water the grass.

91L will definitely not lack for moisture. Hope it will not be too much too fast...

What makes you say that it won’t lack in moisture? Just curious to hear your opinion. 90L was a dud for most of us here in southeast TX.

[TheProfessor]

I have a 35kt TS making landfall between Corpus Christi & Victoria Friday late afternoon. No significant wind. HOPEFULLY some rain. Only 0.25" with the "rain" from 90L yesterday and today. Not enough to water the grass.

91L will definitely not lack for moisture. Hope it will not be too much too fast...

What makes you say that it won’t lack in moisture? Just curious to hear your opinion. 90L was a dud for most of us here in southeast TX.

It's likely going to be more organized than 90L. Combine that with pretty high PWATs with this wave and it's likely that someone will get good rains with this. Obviously the track of the storm will be crucial and if it's lopsided then there will be areas that might miss out.

[cycloneye]

00z Best Track:

Location: 25.3°N 86.5°W
Maximum Winds: 25 kt Gusts: nan kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1012 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1014 mb
Radius of Circulation: 120 NM
Radius of Maximum Wind: 100 NM

[NXStumpy_Robothing]

00z Best Track:

Location: 25.3°N 86.5°W
Maximum Winds: 25 kt Gusts: nan kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1012 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1014 mb
Radius of Circulation: 120 NM
Radius of Maximum Wind: 100 NM

https://i.imgur.com/pUIgMli.png

I wonder if consistent convection will be able to tug the vorticity a bit more east overnight. It's probably not close enough for now, but with dmax approaching, there might be enough activity to begin twisting it.

Overall, not surprising for location or strength.

[SoupBone]

I have a 35kt TS making landfall between Corpus Christi & Victoria Friday late afternoon. No significant wind. HOPEFULLY some rain. Only 0.25" with the "rain" from 90L yesterday and today. Not enough to water the grass.

91L will definitely not lack for moisture. Hope it will not be too much too fast...

What makes you say that it won’t lack in moisture? Just curious to hear your opinion. 90L was a dud for most of us here in southeast TX.

Boy was it. I think I recorded around a quarter inch at most.

[Michele B]

Hopefully another fun, porch sitting, break the heat, early season appetizer. We've certainly had some nice gusty squally showers setting sail from the west coast of florida pushing into the gulf today. very nice...

Well, we just spent the last week moving, so I wish the showers coming off the gulf, or popping up over the heat of the middle of the state would have held off just a few days more!

Took us twice as long as it should have to move b/c of the storms!

Now we're settled in, so let the "rainy season" begin, and as far as hurricanes? Hope NOT to have one go over our new place this year!

[catskillfire51]

91L will definitely not lack for moisture. Hope it will not be too much too fast...

What makes you say that it won’t lack in moisture? Just curious to hear your opinion. 90L was a dud for most of us here in southeast TX.

Boy was it. I think I recorded around a quarter inch at most.

We had 1.38” in Southern Brazoria County. Severe storms from yesterday till about 10am this morning

[Jr0d]

This system has brought some extremely heavy rain and strong winds to Key West over the past 24+ hours. We just experienced the most intense squall yet...easily tropical storm force winds. It will be interesting to see what the official wind speed was up to.

While the system is disorganized, I can say from experiencing its squalls that it is a tenacious little sytstem...because of this, I will not be surprised if it eventually gets classified, dispite how ragged it looks right now.

[Jr0d]

Around noon Sand Key reported sustained winds of 34 knots, and gusts to 42kt. Not sure if this last squall went over that weather station.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=sanf1

[catskillfire51]

This system has brought some extremely heavy rain and strong winds to Key West over the past 24+ hours. We just experienced the most intense squall yet...easily tropical storm force winds. It will be interesting to see what the official wind speed was up to.

While the system is disorganized, I can say from experiencing its squalls that it is a tenacious little sytstem...because of this, I will not be surprised if it eventually gets classified, dispite how ragged it looks right now.

Winds at Key West Intl are 38mph sustained with gusts to 45

[Craters]

What makes you say that it won’t lack in moisture? Just curious to hear your opinion. 90L was a dud for most of us here in southeast TX.

Boy was it. I think I recorded around a quarter inch at most.

We had 1.38” in Southern Brazoria County. Severe storms from yesterday till about 10am this morning

We got around 2.8" here in Alvin (far NE Brazoria County).

[catskillfire51]

Boy was it. I think I recorded around a quarter inch at most.

We had 1.38” in Southern Brazoria County. Severe storms from yesterday till about 10am this morning

We got around 2.8" here in Alvin (far NE Brazoria County).

Im in Lake Jackson, Angleton north always seems to get the brunt

[JGrin87]

In memorial villages in Houston. At my house, we have had 2.12" of rain since Friday. Been a decent soaking for the yard.

[Cpv17]

What makes you say that it won’t lack in moisture? Just curious to hear your opinion. 90L was a dud for most of us here in southeast TX.

Boy was it. I think I recorded around a quarter inch at most.

We had 1.38” in Southern Brazoria County. Severe storms from yesterday till about 10am this morning

Nothing here in central Wharton County.

[captainbarbossa19]

Boy was it. I think I recorded around a quarter inch at most.

We had 1.38” in Southern Brazoria County. Severe storms from yesterday till about 10am this morning

Nothing here in central Wharton County.

I have had over 3.5 inches in the past 48 hours. Over 3 fell today. If you are at the right spot, you can get a ton of rain from these systems. I was getting ready to finish mowing grass this morning. Hahaha.

[Jr0d]

Winds at Key West Intl are 38mph sustained with gusts to 45

It felt like more at our house. Not sure if I over estimated the wind or we had a good microburst in our neighborhood. Im about a mile west of the airport. This makes me want to invest in an anemometer I can mount on the roof.

The wind has dropped, still light to moderate rain and we are under a flood advisory. We are on (relatively) high ground, but will likely have to take an alternate route to work tomorrow.

[tailgater]

s of 2:00 am EDT Wed Jul 22 2020 ...
A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf of Mexico, southern
Florida, and western Cuba. Gradual development of this system is
possible while it moves west-northwestward during the
next few days. This disturbance is expected to move over the
central Gulf today, and reach the northwestern Gulf on Thursday and
Friday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled
to investigate the system later today, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

[NXStumpy_Robothing]

Nice bit of convection firing off northwest of Cuba this morning. Right around where the unfocused vorticity at the lower levels (925-700mb) are centered.

I don't expect much with it, and it's likely to evaporate following sunrise due to the approaching diurnal minimum, but it's notable nonetheless.

[GCANE]

Convection south of Cuba looks interesting.
Right under anti-cyclonic flow.
Wonder if this is what CMC is focusing on for tomorrow.
Can't rule out that one north of the Yucatan as well.

[Aric Dunn]

This recent burst of convection to SW looks to be doing to the trick. SW and westerly inflow appear to be increasing.