ATL: OMAR - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: FIFTEEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#41 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 31, 2020 9:17 pm

Nothing to suggest it has strengthened in the last ASCAT pass.

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Re: ATL: FIFTEEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#42 Postby wx98 » Mon Aug 31, 2020 9:42 pm

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN MUCH WHILE IT MOVES FARTHER OFFSHORE OF THE CAROLINAS ON TUESDAY...

11:00 PM EDT Mon Aug 31
Location: 33.2°N 75.7°W
Moving: NE at 14 mph
Min pressure: 1008 mb
Max sustained: 35 mph
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Re: ATL: FIFTEEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#43 Postby TheStormExpert » Mon Aug 31, 2020 10:19 pm

May not get a name at this point. I actually hate systems like this that don’t strengthen beyond Tropical Depression status, as they don’t really count in the end and go unnoticed and forgotten.
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Re: ATL: FIFTEEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#44 Postby ClarCari » Mon Aug 31, 2020 10:25 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:May not get a name at this point. I actually hate systems like this that don’t strengthen beyond Tropical Depression status, as they don’t really count in the end and go unnoticed and forgotten.


I think it’ll get a name,..just barely. Everything’s gotten a name at this point lol and the NHC even thinks TD10 might’ve been at TS at some point haha

Buutt I think this could very well get Omar if Recon finds 99L to be very organized tomorrow.
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Re: ATL: FIFTEEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#45 Postby EquusStorm » Tue Sep 01, 2020 1:44 am

To be honest if we DO start seeing a big uptick in activity we need every name we can get to avoid Hurricane Gamma or something wreaking havoc so I won't be too upset if it stays crappy looking and doesn't join Edouard and Kyle in the name waster club :cheesy:
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Re: ATL: FIFTEEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#46 Postby xironman » Tue Sep 01, 2020 7:04 am

I may have a chance for a name in the next 12 hours if it can fight the shear enough to be covered. After that it is a goner.

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Re: ATL: FIFTEEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#47 Postby HurricaneEnzo » Tue Sep 01, 2020 7:09 am

Nice convective burst and for the most part the center is tucking in under it (for the time being). I think it will hit TS level before all is said and done.
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Re: ATL: FIFTEEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#48 Postby plasticup » Tue Sep 01, 2020 7:11 am

This crap washing over Bermuda today looks frontal rather than tropical, but we may see some of its band this time tomorrow.
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Re: ATL: FIFTEEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#49 Postby xironman » Tue Sep 01, 2020 9:53 am

A 32 kt ground station which would not have the best winds and they are waiting for ascat...

An earlier buoy report recorded adjusted maximum winds
of 32 kt, and roughly half of the estimates show that the depression
is a tropical storm. Conservatively, the winds will be held at 30
kt until we will see what the scatterometer shows this afternoon.
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Re: ATL: FIFTEEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#50 Postby Extratropical94 » Tue Sep 01, 2020 10:39 am

Not a TS

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Re: ATL: FIFTEEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#51 Postby plasticup » Tue Sep 01, 2020 12:43 pm

Extratropical94 wrote:Not a TS

https://i.imgur.com/64C4zA3.jpg


Do you think recon could find it in the South Eastern quadrant? ASCAT resolution isn't optimal.
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Re: ATL: FIFTEEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#52 Postby Extratropical94 » Tue Sep 01, 2020 12:53 pm

plasticup wrote:
Extratropical94 wrote:Not a TS

https://i.imgur.com/64C4zA3.jpg


Do you think recon could find it in the South Eastern quadrant? ASCAT resolution isn't optimal.


Probably yes, at least at flight level
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Re: ATL: FIFTEEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#53 Postby EquusStorm » Tue Sep 01, 2020 12:59 pm

Lotta deep convection, but if you look closely it seems as though the naked LLC is still to the NW of it. Much shear.
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Re: ATL: FIFTEEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#54 Postby ClarCari » Tue Sep 01, 2020 3:00 pm

Is there a recon scheduled today?
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Re: ATL: FIFTEEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#55 Postby abajan » Tue Sep 01, 2020 3:44 pm

ClarCari wrote:Is there a recon scheduled today?

I could be wrong but I doubt recon would be scheduled for a weak system not expected to affect land.
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Re: ATL: OMAR - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#56 Postby us89 » Tue Sep 01, 2020 3:51 pm

Upgraded to TS Omar
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Re: ATL: FIFTEEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#57 Postby ClarCari » Tue Sep 01, 2020 3:51 pm

abajan wrote:
ClarCari wrote:Is there a recon scheduled today?

I could be wrong but I doubt recon would be scheduled for a weak system not expected to affect land.


Thought so bc I didn’t see it on their schedule today which was why I got confused others where mentioning it.

Doesn’t matter anyways since they just upgraded it to Omar :lol:
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Re: ATL: OMAR - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#58 Postby Do_For_Love » Tue Sep 01, 2020 3:59 pm

Oh wow, we have Omar now too? September gets two on the board and it's only the first of the month!
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Re: ATL: OMAR - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#59 Postby TallahasseeMan » Tue Sep 01, 2020 3:59 pm

Omar takes the record for earliest “O” storm by 6 days from Ophelia ‘05


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Re: ATL: OMAR - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#60 Postby EquusStorm » Tue Sep 01, 2020 4:10 pm

But whyyyyy

Atlantic seems desperate to get to the Greeks and just keeps throwing out things to eat names so we're out of names when the October big ones come apparently
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