ATL: SALLY - Models
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Re: ATL: NINETEEN - Models
Some good bands if this verifies.
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eastcoastFL
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Re: ATL: NINETEEN - Models
Hwrf 24 hours from now. Goes north then dips SW
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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eastcoastFL
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Re: ATL: NINETEEN - Models
Gets interesting as soon as it hits the gulf
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Re: ATL: NINETEEN - Models
Hmon a little weaker but still good banding coming onshore.
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CrazyC83
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Re: ATL: NINETEEN - Models
The trough tries to push it up to the coast, but the ridge builds in at the last second...literally this is going to come down to a few hours or a few millibars.
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jasons2k
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Re: ATL: NINETEEN - Models
CrazyC83 wrote:The trough tries to push it up to the coast, but the ridge builds in at the last second...literally this is going to come down to a few hours or a few millibars.
Or a few miles. This center consolidation to the SW a bit could have some big track implications later on IMO. It will be interesting to see what the 00z ensemble models show overnight.
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Re: ATL: NINETEEN - Models
HWRF right at the Florida/Alabama border
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Re: ATL: NINETEEN - Models
Wow this isn’t good. HWRF was the first to sniff out Laura’s intensity and now it has a 970MB headed towards the Alabama coast
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CrazyC83
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Re: ATL: NINETEEN - Models
jasons2k wrote:CrazyC83 wrote:The trough tries to push it up to the coast, but the ridge builds in at the last second...literally this is going to come down to a few hours or a few millibars.
Or a few miles. This center consolidation to the SW a bit could have some big track implications later on IMO. It will be interesting to see what the 00z ensemble models show overnight.
Elena may be an analog here if it tries to make that move but gets blocked and forced back west.
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CrazyC83
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Re: ATL: NINETEEN - Models
It's moving west there. This would be headed right for Lake Pontchartrain.
UPDATE: It would then stall out for a while off Mobile Bay. Talk about a rainmaker!!!
Last edited by CrazyC83 on Fri Sep 11, 2020 6:33 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: NINETEEN - Models
18z HWRF shows a high-end Cat 2.
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Re: ATL: NINETEEN - Models
bella_may wrote:Wow this isn’t good. HWRF was the first to sniff out Laura’s intensity and now it has a 970MB headed towards the Alabama coast
I'm absolutely NOT a model hugger, but the HWRF did pretty good with Laura.
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Ivanhater
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Re: ATL: NINETEEN - Models
CrazyC83 wrote:
It's moving west there. This would be headed right for Lake Pontchartrain.
But is stil a scrap. That would be very damaging for places like Pensacola beach
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Michael
Re: ATL: NINETEEN - Models
Crawling the coast at 78 hours
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Dean4Storms
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DestinHurricane
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Re: ATL: NINETEEN - Models
Ivanhater wrote:CrazyC83 wrote:
It's moving west there. This would be headed right for Lake Pontchartrain.
But is stil a scrap. That would be very damaging for places like Pensacola beach
I am concerned that with the trends for a stronger storm we may see more east trends. This HWRF is a slight shift east from last run as well as the HMON.
Last edited by DestinHurricane on Fri Sep 11, 2020 6:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: NINETEEN - Models
Dean4Storms wrote:HMON into Ft. Walton Beach 982mb.
See and the HMON and HWRF pretty much tag teamed for Laura. That's another reason why I pay attention to both of these.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: NINETEEN - Models
DestinHurricane wrote:Ivanhater wrote:CrazyC83 wrote:
It's moving west there. This would be headed right for Lake Pontchartrain.
But is stil a scrap. That would be very damaging for places like Pensacola beach
I am concerned that with the trends for a stronger storm we may see more east trends. This HWRF is a slight shift east from last run as well as the HMON.
HWRF is the almost the same as the last run just a tad north and stronger
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