EPAC: SEVEN-E - Unnamed Tropical Storm - Remnants

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Kingarabian
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Re: EPAC: SEVEN-E - Tropical Depression

#41 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Jul 20, 2020 3:46 pm

Yellow Evan wrote:Given ASCAT’s winds, possible but not definitive that this was a tropical storm earlier.

I think the NHC will have a busy off season correcting a bunch of EPAC stuff.
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Re: EPAC: SEVEN-E - Tropical Depression

#42 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Jul 20, 2020 4:53 pm

Kingarabian wrote:
Yellow Evan wrote:Given ASCAT’s winds, possible but not definitive that this was a tropical storm earlier.

I think the NHC will have a busy off season correcting a bunch of EPAC stuff.


You say this every year.

I do think 6E has a strong chance at being upgraded to a TS. This I’d be surprised.
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Re: EPAC: SEVEN-E - Tropical Depression

#43 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Jul 20, 2020 5:10 pm

Yellow Evan wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:
Yellow Evan wrote:Given ASCAT’s winds, possible but not definitive that this was a tropical storm earlier.

I think the NHC will have a busy off season correcting a bunch of EPAC stuff.


You say this every year.

I do think 6E has a strong chance at being upgraded to a TS. This I’d be surprised.

Not really. Last time I said it was in 2018, but it didn't happen and was actually justifiable by the NHC.

Cristina should be upgraded to a hurricane. TD4 that should've been a tropical storm as well since ASCAT clearly supported it. Now this system due to ASCAT.
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Re: EPAC: SEVEN-E - Remnants

#44 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 21, 2020 9:40 am

Post-Tropical Cyclone Seven-E Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072020
800 AM PDT Tue Jul 21 2020

The cyclone has decayed to a remnant low, and is now comprised of
a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds with organized convection
unlikely to re-develop. The remnant low is forecast to degenerate
to a trough between 24-36 h, and the global models suggest this
could happen earlier than forecast.

The initial motion is 270/11. The remnant low is expected to turn
west-southwestward in the low-level trade winds before it
dissipates.

This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center
on this system. For additional information on the remnant low
please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and
on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php



FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 21/1500Z 19.3N 134.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 22/0000Z 18.9N 135.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 22/1200Z 18.1N 138.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven
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Re: EPAC: SEVEN-E - Unnamed Tropical Storm

#45 Postby galaxy401 » Sat Dec 12, 2020 12:30 pm

Kingarabian wrote:
Yellow Evan wrote:Given ASCAT’s winds, possible but not definitive that this was a tropical storm earlier.

I think the NHC will have a busy off season correcting a bunch of EPAC stuff.


Quoting this since the NHC has now upgraded 7E to a Tropical Storm. Those ASCAT winds were indeed the evidence needed. There were also speculation about 6E being upgraded too but I suppose we'll find out when that report comes out.
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