ATL: LAURA - Advisories

[cycloneye]

Hurricane Laura Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020
500 AM CDT Thu Aug 27 2020

...HURRICANE CONDITIONS SPREADING FARTHER INLAND ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN
LOUISIANA...
...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE, HURRICANE FORCE WINDS, AND FLASH
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING...

Beauregard Regional Airport in De Ridder, Louisiana recently
reported a wind gust of 82 mph (132 km/h).

An NWS RAWS site at Lacassine, Louisiana recently reported a wind
gust of 85 mph (137 km/h).

Acadiana Regional Airport reported a wind gust of 76 mph within the
past 30 minutes.

SUMMARY OF 500 AM CDT...1000 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.7N 93.4W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM NNW OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB...28.17 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky/Cangialosi

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Hurricane Laura Intermediate Advisory Number 30A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020
700 AM CDT Thu Aug 27 2020

...DAMAGING WINDS AND FLOODING RAINFALL SPREADING INLAND OVER
WESTERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE CONTINUES ALONG MUCH OF THE
LOUISIANA COASTLINE...

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.2N 93.3W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM N OF FORT POLK LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Hurricane Warning from High Island to Intracoastal City has
been replaced with a Tropical Storm Warning.


SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* High Island Texas to the Mouth of the Mississippi River

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* High Island Texas to the Mouth of the Mississippi River

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline in
the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary
actions to protect life and property from rising water and the
potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow
evacuation and other instructions from local officials.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Laura was located
near latitude 31.2 North, longitude 93.3 West. Laura is moving
toward the north near 15 mph (24 km/h) and this motion should
continue through the day. A northeastward to east-northeastward
motion is expected tonight and Friday. On the forecast track, Laura
will move northward across western and northern Louisiana
through this afternoon. The center of Laura is forecast to move
over Arkansas tonight, the mid-Mississippi Valley on Friday, and
the mid-Atlantic states on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (160 km/h) with higher
gusts. Rapid weakening is forecast, and Laura is expected to
become a tropical storm later today.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175
miles (280 km). An observing site in Alexandria, Louisiana,
recently reported a wind gust to 74 mph (119 km/h)

The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.64 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Laura can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Johnson Bayou to Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge including Calcasieu
Lake...15-20 ft
Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge to Intracoastal City...10-15 ft
Intracoastal City to Morgan City including Vermilion Bay...8-12 ft
Sea Rim State Park to Johnson Bayou including Sabine Lake...4-8 ft
Morgan City to Mouth of the Mississippi River...4-7 ft
High Island to Sea Rim State Park...2-4 ft
Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs including Lake
Borgne...1-3 ft
Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the right of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.

Life-threatening storm surge with large and destructive waves will
continue within the Storm Surge Warning area this morning. This
surge could penetrate up to 40 miles inland from the immediate
coastline, and flood waters will not fully recede for several days
after the storm.

Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

WIND: Hurricane-force winds and damaging wind gusts are also
expected to spread well inland into portions of eastern Texas and
western Louisiana this morning. Tropical storm conditions will
spread northward within the warning areas through the day.

RAINFALL: Through Friday, Laura is expected to produce the following
rainfall totals:

Across portions of Louisiana, Mississippi, across Arkansas: 6 to 12
inches with isolated totals of 18 inches.

This rainfall will cause widespread flash and urban flooding, small
streams and creeks to overflow their banks, and minor to moderate
freshwater river flooding.

Through Saturday, Laura is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches with
isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches across the mid-Mississippi
Valley and portions of the Tennessee and Lower Ohio Valley, the
central Appalachians and the Mid-Atlantic States.

This rainfall may lead to flash and urban flooding and rapid rises
on small streams.

TORNADOES: Tornadoes are possible today and tonight over parts of
Louisiana, Arkansas, and western Mississippi.

SURF: Swells produced by Laura are affecting the U.S. Gulf coast
from the west coast of Florida to Texas and northeastern Mexico.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

[cycloneye]

Hurricane Laura Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020
800 AM CDT Thu Aug 27 2020

...DAMAGING WINDS AND FLOODING RAINFALL SPREADING INLAND OVER
WESTERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE CONTINUES ALONG MUCH OF THE
LOUISIANA COASTLINE...

Alexandria International Airport, Louisiana, recently reported a
sustained wind of 58 mph (93 km/h) and a wind gust of 86 mph (138
km/h).

SUMMARY OF 800 AM CDT...1300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.4N 93.2W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SSE OF SHREVEPORT, LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Roberts/Brown

[cycloneye]

Hurricane Laura Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020
900 AM CDT Thu Aug 27 2020

...DAMAGING WINDS AND FLOODING RAINFALL SPREADING INLAND OVER
WESTERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE CONTINUES ALONG MUCH OF THE
LOUISIANA COASTLINE...

Alexandria International Airport, Louisiana, recently reported a
sustained wind of 48 mph (78 km/h) and a wind gust of 79 mph (128
km/h).

SUMMARY OF 900 AM CDT...1400 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.7N 93.1W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SSE OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Roberts/Brown

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Hurricane Laura Advisory Number 31
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020
1000 AM CDT Thu Aug 27 2020

...DAMAGING WINDS AND FLOODING RAINFALL SPREADING INLAND OVER
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...
...HIGH WATER LEVELS PERSIST ALONG PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.9N 93.1W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM NW OF ALEXANDRIA LOUISIANA
ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM SE OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued west of Sabine Pass,
Texas and east of Port Fourchon, Louisiana.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Sabine Pass Texas to Port Fourchon Louisiana

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* High Island Texas to the Mouth of the Mississippi River

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline in
the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Laura was located
inland over northwestern Louisiana near latitude 31.9 North,
longitude 93.1 West. Laura is moving toward the north near 16 mph
(26 km/h) and this motion should continue through today. A
northeastward to east-northeastward motion is expected tonight and
Friday. On the forecast track, Laura will move northward across
northern Louisiana this afternoon. The center of Laura is forecast
to move over Arkansas tonight, the mid-Mississippi Valley on Friday,
and the mid-Atlantic states on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. Rapid weakening is forecast, and Laura is expected to
become a tropical storm withing the next few hours, and weaken
to a tropical depression tonight.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles
(165 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface
observations is 982 mb (29.00 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Laura can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

STORM SURGE: Water levels remain elevated along the Gulf Coast
and will continue to subside over the next few hours.

WIND: Damaging wind gusts and tropical storm conditions are
expected to spread into portions of northern Louisiana and Arkansas
through this evening.

RAINFALL: Through Friday Laura is expected to produce additional
rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches across portions of Louisiana,
Mississippi and Arkansas, with isolated storm totals of 18 inches
over Louisiana.

This rainfall will continue to cause widespread flash and urban
flooding, small streams and creeks to overflow their banks, and
minor to moderate freshwater river flooding.

Through Saturday, Laura is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches with
isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches across the mid-Mississippi
Valley, portions of the Tennessee and Lower Ohio Valleys, the
central Appalachians, and the Mid-Atlantic States.

This rainfall may lead to flash and urban flooding and rapid rises
on small streams.

TORNADOES: Tornadoes are possible through tonight over parts of
Louisiana, Arkansas, and western Mississippi. The risk for tornadoes
will shift into the Mid-South and Tennessee Valley regions on Friday
into Friday night.

SURF: Swells produced by Laura continue to affect the U.S. Gulf
coast from the Florida Panhandle to Texas and northeastern Mexico.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown



Hurricane Laura Discussion Number 31
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020
1000 AM CDT Thu Aug 27 2020

Laura has continued to move inland over west-central Louisiana this
morning. Satellite and radar imagery has shown a gradual filling of
the eye, and a reduction in Doppler velocities in the northeastern
eyewall. The initial intensity is set at 65 kt, based on a reduction
of the Doppler velocities and the typical filling rate of inland
hurricanes. The highest wind gusts at official observing sites
within the past few hours has been at Alexandria, Louisiana, where a
gust to 75 kt has been reported.

The hurricane is moving slightly east of due north or 005/14 kt. A
general northward motion should continue through this evening as the
hurricane moves around the western portion of a mid-level ridge over
the southeastern United States. Laura should turn northeastward
overnight while it moves across Arkansas and becomes embedded within
the mid-latitude westerlies. A faster east-northeastward motion is
forecast by late Friday, which will bring Laura or its remnants
across the central Appalachians and to the Mid-Atlantic states on
Saturday. After that time, the system is expected to accelerate
east-northeastward to northeastward over the western Atlantic.

Laura will continue to rapidly weaken today while it moves farther
inland. The cyclone will become a tropical storm this afternoon and
is expected to weaken to a tropical depression tonight or early
Friday. Although Laura is weakening, strong wind gusts are likely
to spread over northern Louisiana and Arkansas into this evening.
The UKMET and ECMWF models continue show the extratropical remnants
of Laura strengthening somewhat over the western Atlantic, and the
NHC forecast continues to depict the system as a gale-force low at
days 3-5. An alternate scenario is for the system to be absorbed
by a frontal boundary over the western Atlantic before the end of
the forecast period. The extratropical portion of the forecast is
based on guidance from the NOAA Ocean Prediction Center.

Key Messages:

1. Dangerous storm surge will result in elevated water levels for
the next few hours along the Gulf Coast from Sabine Pass, Texas, to
Port Fourchon, Louisiana. In some areas where surge penetrated far
inland, flood waters will not fully recede for several days.

2. Damaging winds will continue near the center of Laura over
portions of northern Louisiana and Arkansas today and this evening.

3. Widespread flash flooding along small streams, urban areas, and
roadways will continue across portions of Louisiana, Mississippi,
and Arkansas. Additional rainfall will also lead to minor to
moderate freshwater river flooding. The heavy rainfall threat and
flash and urban flooding potential will spread northeastward into
the middle-Mississippi, lower Ohio and Tennessee Valleys, and
Mid-Atlantic States Friday and Saturday.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/1500Z 31.9N 93.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 28/0000Z 33.9N 92.7W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
24H 28/1200Z 35.8N 91.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
36H 29/0000Z 37.0N 87.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
48H 29/1200Z 38.0N 82.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
60H 30/0000Z 38.7N 74.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
72H 30/1200Z 41.8N 66.7W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 31/1200Z 50.0N 53.5W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 01/1200Z 53.5N 43.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
Forecaster Brown

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Laura Intermediate Advisory Number 31A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020
100 PM CDT Thu Aug 27 2020

...FLOODING RAINFALL AND STRONG WINDS SPREADING INLAND OVER
NORTHERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS...
...HIGH WATER LEVELS PERSIST ALONG PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.9N 92.8W
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM ENE OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning along the Gulf coast has been
discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Sabine Pass Texas to Port Fourchon Louisiana

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline in
the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Laura was
located inland over northern Louisiana near latitude 32.9 North,
longitude 92.8 West. Laura is moving toward the north near 15 mph
(24 km/h) and this motion should continue through this afternoon.
A northeastward to east-northeastward motion is expected tonight
and Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Laura is forecast
to move over Arkansas tonight, the mid-Mississippi Valley on Friday,
and the mid-Atlantic states on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast, and Laura is
expected to weaken to a tropical depression this evening or
overnight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center. A sustained wind of 44 mph (70 km/h) and a gust
to 62 mph (100 km/h) was recently reported at Monroe Regional
Airport in Louisiana. A wind gust to 52 mph (83 km/h) was
recently reported at South Arkansas Regional Airport.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface
observations is 988 mb (29.18 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Laura can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

STORM SURGE: Water levels remain elevated along the Gulf Coast
and will continue to subside over the next few hours.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue to spread into
northern Louisiana and portions of Arkansas through this evening.

RAINFALL: Through Friday Laura is expected to produce additional
rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches across portions of Louisiana,
Mississippi and Arkansas, with isolated storm totals of 18 inches
over Louisiana.

This rainfall will continue to cause widespread flash and urban
flooding, small streams and creeks to overflow their banks, and
minor to moderate freshwater river flooding.

Through Saturday, Laura is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches with
isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches across the mid-Mississippi
Valley, portions of the Tennessee and Lower Ohio Valleys, the
central Appalachians, and the Mid-Atlantic States.

This rainfall may lead to flash and urban flooding and rapid rises
on small streams.

TORNADOES: Tornadoes are possible through tonight over parts of
Louisiana, Arkansas, and western Mississippi. The risk for tornadoes
will shift into the Mid-South and Tennessee Valley regions on Friday
into Friday night.

SURF: Swells produced by Laura continue to affect the U.S. Gulf
coast from the Florida Panhandle to Texas and northeastern Mexico.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Laura Advisory Number 32
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020
400 PM CDT Thu Aug 27 2020

...FLOODING RAINFALL AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SPREADING
INLAND OVER PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.4N 92.8W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM NE OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SSW OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Storm Surge Warning along the Gulf coast has been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Tropical storm warnings remain in effect inland over portions of
northern Louisiana, southern Arkansas, and extreme western
Mississippi.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Laura was
located near latitude 33.4 North, longitude 92.8 West. Laura is
moving toward the north-northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this
motion should continue through tonight. A northeastward to
east-northeastward motion is expected to begin on Friday and
continue into Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of
Laura is forecast to move over Arkansas tonight, the
mid-Mississippi Valley on Friday, the mid-Atlantic states on
Saturday, and over the western Atlantic on Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast, and Laura is
expected to weaken to a tropical depression this evening or
overnight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface
observations is 991 mb (29.27 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Laura can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Through Friday Laura is expected to produce the
following additional rainfall totals:

Over central and eastern Arkansas: 3 to 7 inches.

Over southern Louisiana and southern Mississippi: 1 to 3 inches,
with isolated additional totals of 5 inches. Isolated storm totals
of 15 to 18 inches across southwest Louisiana.

Over northern Mississippi, western Tennessee, and southeast
Missouri: 1 to 3 inches, with isolated totals of 5 inches.

This rainfall will continue to cause widespread flash and urban
flooding, small streams and creeks to overflow their banks, and
minor to moderate freshwater river flooding.

Through Saturday, Laura is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches with
isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches across portions of the
Tennessee and Lower Ohio Valleys, the central and southern
Appalachians, and the Mid-Atlantic States. This rainfall may lead to
flash and urban flooding and rapid rises on small streams.

WIND: Tropical storm force winds, especially in gusts, will spread
into portions of southeastern and eastern Arkansas through this
evening.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes remain possible this evening, mainly
across central and eastern Arkansas into Mississippi. The risk for a
few tornadoes should redevelop Friday afternoon into the evening
across parts of the Mid-South and Tennessee Valley regions.

SURF: Swells produced by Laura continue to affect the U.S. Gulf
coast from the Florida Panhandle to Texas. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown



Tropical Storm Laura Discussion Number 32
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020
400 PM CDT Thu Aug 27 2020

Laura has continued to weaken this afternoon. The satellite and
radar presentation of the tropical cyclone has continued to degrade,
and the center has now moved into southern Arkansas. The initial
intensity has been reduced to 45 kt, and is based on a blend of
surface observations, Doppler radar data, and typical over land
tropical cyclone filling rates. Sustained tropical storm force
winds have been observed in northern Louisiana, and wind gusts to
nearly 50 kt were reported in southern Arkansas earlier this
afternoon.

Laura will continue to rapidly weaken during the next 6-12 hours,
and it is expected to become a tropical depression either this
evening or overnight. The extratropical remnants could strengthen
over the western Atlantic early next week, and the track and
intensity forecast for that time is based on guidance from
the NOAA Ocean Prediction Center.

The tropical storm has turned north-northeastward or 015/13 kt.
The cyclone is forecast to turn northeastward, and then east-
northeastward as it becomes embedded within the mid-latitude
westerlies on Friday. This motion will take Laura or its remnants
across the central Appalachians and to the Mid-Atlantic states on
Saturday. After that time, the system should accelerate
east-northeastward to northeastward over the western Atlantic. The
updated NHC track forecast remains similar to the previous advisory
and is close to the various consensus models.

Key Messages:

1. Tropical storm force winds, especially in gusts, will continue
near the center of Laura over portions of extreme northern Louisiana
and Arkansas this evening.

2. Flash flooding along small streams, urban areas, and roadways
will continue across portions of Louisiana, Mississippi and
Arkansas. Additional rainfall will also lead to minor to moderate
freshwater river flooding. The heavy rainfall threat and flash and
urban flooding potential will spread northeastward into the
middle-Mississippi, lower Ohio and Tennessee Valleys, and
Mid-Atlantic States Friday and Saturday.

3. A few tornadoes are possible this evening across central and
eastern Arkansas into Mississippi. The risk for a few tornadoes
should redevelop Friday afternoon and evening across parts of the
Mid-South and Tennessee Valley regions.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/2100Z 33.4N 92.8W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
12H 28/0600Z 35.3N 91.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
24H 28/1800Z 36.7N 89.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
36H 29/0600Z 37.4N 85.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
48H 29/1800Z 38.2N 78.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
60H 30/0600Z 39.6N 70.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 30/1800Z 43.1N 63.4W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 31/1800Z 48.8N 50.7W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Laura Advisory Number 33
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020
1000 PM CDT Thu Aug 27 2020

...LAURA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION OVER ARKANSAS...
...FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.1N 92.0W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM NNE OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Laura
was located near latitude 35.1 North, longitude 92.0 West. The
depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 15 mph (24
km/h), and this general motion should continue overnight.
A northeastward to east-northeastward motion is expected to begin on
Friday and continue into Saturday. On the forecast track, the
center of Laura is forecast to move over Arkansas tonight, the
mid-Mississippi Valley on Friday, the mid-Atlantic states on
Saturday, and over the western Atlantic on Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h)
with higher gusts. Laura is expected to become a remnant low
pressure system on Saturday, and an extratropical low later this
weekend.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Laura can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Through Friday, Laura is expected to produce the
following additional rainfall totals:

Over central and northern Arkansas: Additional 3 to 6 inches.

Over southern Louisiana and southern Mississippi: 1 to 3 inches,
with isolated additional totals of 5 inches.

Over northern Mississippi, western Tennessee, and south-central to
southeast Missouri: 1 to 3 inches, with isolated totals of 5
inches.

This rainfall will continue to cause widespread flash and urban
flooding, small streams and creeks to overflow their banks, and
minor to moderate freshwater river flooding.

Through Saturday, Laura is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches with
isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches across portions of the
Tennessee and Lower Ohio Valleys, the central and southern
Appalachians, and the Mid-Atlantic States. This rainfall may lead to
flash and urban flooding and rapid rises on small streams.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes remain possible this evening across
eastern Arkansas, western Tennessee, northern Mississippi, and the
Missouri Bootheel. The risk for a few tornadoes is expected to
redevelop Friday afternoon into the evening across parts of the
Mid-South and Tennessee Valley regions.

SURF: Swells produced by Laura continue to affect the U.S. Gulf
coast from the Florida Panhandle to Texas. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Future information on this system can be
found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center
beginning at 4 AM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT3, WMO header
WTNT33 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov.


$$
Forecaster Pasch

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Laura Advisory Number 34
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL132020
400 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2020

...LAURA LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...
...FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.8N 91.5W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM WNW OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM WSW OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Laura
was located near latitude 35.8 North, longitude 91.5 West. The
depression is moving toward the northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h) and
this motion is expected to become east-northeasterly during the day
on Friday, with some acceleration expected Saturday and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected on Friday, with
strengthening expected late Saturday into Sunday as Laura moves
into the northwest Atlantic.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through tonight, Laura is expected to produce the
following additional rainfall totals:

Northeastern Arkansas, northern Mississippi, northern Alabama,
western and Middle Tennessee, southeastern Missouri, western and
central Kentucky: 1 to 3 inches, with isolated totals of 5 inches.

Southern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, and southern Alabama: 1
to 2 inches, with isolated totals of 4 inches.

This rainfall will continue to cause isolated flash and urban
flooding, small streams and creeks to overflow their banks, and
minor to moderate river flooding.

On Saturday, Laura is expected to produce 1 to 2 inches with
isolated maximum amounts of 3 inches across portions of the
central and southern Appalachians, and the Mid-Atlantic States.
This rainfall may lead to flash and urban flooding and rapid rises
on small streams.

TORNADOES: The threat for a few tornadoes is expected to
redevelop this afternoon into the evening across parts of the
Mid-South and Tennessee Valley regions.

SURF: Swells produced by Laura continue to affect the
north-central and northeast Gulf Coast. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Roth

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/0900Z 35.8N 91.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
12H 28/1800Z 36.8N 89.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
24H 29/0600Z 37.6N 85.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 29/1800Z 38.1N 79.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 30/0600Z 39.0N 72.6W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 30/1800Z 40.6N 65.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 31/0600Z 44.0N 56.6W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Laura Advisory Number 35
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL132020
1000 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2020

...LAURA LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...
...FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES...
...A FEW TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.6N 90.5W
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM NW OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM WSW OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 61 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Flash Flood Watches are posted for portions of northeast Arkansas,
southeast Missouri, western Kentucky and Tennessee, northern
of Mississippi, and northwest Alabama.

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Laura
was located near latitude 36.6 North, longitude 90.5 West. The
depression is moving toward the east-northeast near 20 mph (31 km/h)
and this motion is expected to continue as Laura tracks along
and south of the Ohio Valley through tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher
gusts. Eventually, the remains of Laura will cross the central
Appalachians Saturday, before becoming absorbed by an approaching
cold front that is forecast to move off the mid-Atlantic coastline
by late Saturday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Expect 1 to 3 inches, with isolated 5 inch totals from
western and central Kentucky and Tennessee into northern Alabama
and Mississippi. One to 2 inches, with isolated 4 inch totals
are possible over southern parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and
Alabama. By Saturday, 1 to 3 inches of rain is forecast from the
central and southern Appalachians to the mid-Atlantic states.

This rainfall will continue to contribute to isolated flash and
urban flooding, and overflow of small streams and creeks across the
aforementioned regions. Minor to moderate river flooding is
occurring or forecast in Louisiana and Arkansas.

WIND: Gusty winds of 25-30 mph will accompany Lauras circulation
as it moves toward the Lower Ohio Valley through the afternoon.
Stronger gusts are possible within thunderstorms.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes remain possible, mainly over parts of
Mississippi, Tennessee and southern Kentucky. The risk for a couple
of tornadoes should redevelop Saturday afternoon and evening over
parts of the mid-Atlantic from Virginia to North Carolina.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Carbin

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/1500Z 36.6N 90.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
12H 29/0000Z 37.4N 87.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP
24H 29/1200Z 37.9N 82.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 30/0000Z 38.4N 76.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 30/1200Z 39.6N 69.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
60H 31/0000Z 42.1N 61.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 31/1200Z 49.5N 54.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Laura Advisory Number 36
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL132020
500 PM EDT Fri Aug 28 2020

...LAURA SLOWLY LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...
...FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES...
...A FEW TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.2N 88.9W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM NW OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 77 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Flash Flood Watches are posted for portions of Kentucky, Tennessee,
and central Alabama.

Tornado Watches are in effect for parts of Kentucky, Middle
Tennessee, as well as northern Mississippi and Alabama.

No coastal watches or warnings in effect.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Laura
was located near latitude 37.2 North, longitude 88.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the east-northeast near 21 mph (33 km/h)
and this motion is expected to continue through the evening.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Eventually, the remains of Laura will cross the central
Appalachians Saturday, before becoming absorbed by an approaching
cold front that is forecast to move off the mid-Atlantic coastline
by late Saturday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Additional rainfall of 1 to 3 inches, with maximum
amounts to 5 inches forecast across western and central Kentucky
and Tennessee, and south into northern Alabama and Mississippi.

One to 2 inches, with isolated totals to 4 inches will be
possible over southern Louisiana, Mississippi, and
Alabama.

One to 3 inches possible over the central and southern Appalachians
and the mid-Atlantic states through Saturday.

This rainfall will continue to cause isolated flash and urban
flooding, and small streams and creeks to overflow their banks
across the aforementioned regions. Minor to moderate river flooding
is occurring or forecast in Louisiana, Arkansas, and northern
Mississippi.

WIND: Gusty winds will accompany the tropical depression as it
moves along the Lower Ohio Valley through tonight.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes remain possible, mainly over parts of
Mississippi, Alabama, and Tennessee. The risk for a couple
of tornadoes should redevelop Saturday afternoon and evening over
parts of the mid-Atlantic from Virginia to North Carolina.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Carbin/Hurley

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/2100Z 37.2N 88.9W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 29/0600Z 37.8N 85.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
24H 29/1800Z 38.7N 79.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
36H 30/0600Z 39.4N 73.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 30/1800Z 42.6N 63.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
60H 31/0600Z 45.0N 55.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 31/1800Z 51.0N 51.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Laura Advisory Number 37
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL132020
1000 PM CDT Fri Aug 28 2020

...LAURA CONTINUING TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...
...FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES INTO SATURDAY...
...A FEW TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.7N 86.9W
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM NE OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM ENE OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Flash Flood Watches are posted for portions of the Tennessee
Valley and Mid Atlantic.

No coastal watches or warnings in effect.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Laura
was located near latitude 37.7 North, longitude 86.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the east near 24 mph (39 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue through the overnight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Eventually, the remains of Laura will cross the central
Appalachians Saturday, before becoming absorbed by an approaching
cold front that is forecast to move off the mid-Atlantic coastline
by late Saturday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Additional rainfall of 1 to 3 inches, with maximum
amounts to 5 inches forecast across western and central Kentucky
and Tennessee, and south into northern Alabama and Mississippi.

One to 2 inches, with isolated totals to 4 inches will be
possible over southern Louisiana, Mississippi, and
Alabama.

One to 3 inches possible over the central and southern Appalachians
and the mid-Atlantic states through Saturday.

This rainfall will continue to cause isolated flash and urban
flooding, and small streams and creeks to overflow their banks
across the aforementioned regions. Minor to moderate river flooding
is occurring or forecast in Louisiana, Arkansas, and northern
Mississippi.

WIND: Gusty winds will accompany the tropical depression as it
moves along the Lower Ohio Valley through tonight.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes remain possible overnight, mainly over
the Tennessee Valley. The risk for a couple of tornadoes should
redevelop Saturday afternoon and evening over parts of the
mid-Atlantic from Virginia to North Carolina.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Wpc Forecaster

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/0300Z 37.7N 86.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
12H 29/1200Z 38.2N 82.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND/REMNT LOW
24H 30/0000Z 38.3N 74.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND/REMNT LOW
36H 30/1200Z 38.5N 69.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
48H 31/0000Z 41.5N 62.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
60H 31/1200Z 43.5N 53.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 01/0000Z...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Laura Advisory Number 38
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL132020
500 AM EDT Sat Aug 29 2020

...LAURA BECOMES A REMNANT LOW...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOOD THREAT DIMINISHING...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.4N 83.3W
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM E OF LOUISVILLE KENTUCKY
ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM W OF CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 85 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
No coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Laura
was located near latitude 38.4 North, longitude 83.3 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east near 28 mph (44
km/h) and this motion is expected to accelerate further today
and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours as it
emerges into the northwest Atlantic. On Monday, the system should
be absorbed into a stronger low moving through Atlantic Canada.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Additional rainfall of 1 to 2 inches is forecast across
eastern portions of the Mid-Atlantic states today.

This rainfall may cause isolated flash and urban flooding, and
small streams and creeks to overflow their banks across the
aforementioned regions. Minor to moderate river flooding is
occurring or forecast in Louisiana, Arkansas, and
northern Mississippi.

WIND: Winds with Laura are expected to increase near and
offshore the Mid-Atlantic coast as the low pressure system moves
into the northwest Atlantic tonight and Sunday.

TORNADOES: The risk for a couple of tornadoes should redevelop
Saturday afternoon and evening from North Carolina through the
Delmarva region.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the Weather Prediction
Center on this system.

$$
Forecaster Roth

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/0900Z 38.4N 83.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 29/1800Z 38.4N 78.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 30/0600Z 38.3N 71.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 30/1800Z 41.6N 63.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 31/0600Z 45.0N 54.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
60H 31/1800Z...ABSORBED