ATL: OMAR - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Nancy Smar]

90L INVEST 200830 1800 36.0N 73.0W ATL 15 NA

Thread at Talking Tropics forum that was for this system.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=31&t=121266

[Do_For_Love]

Seems like they come in pairs this year, lol.

[USTropics]

90L INVEST 200830 1800 36.0N 73.0W ATL 15 NA

Thread at Talking Tropics forum that was for this system.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=31&t=121266

36N seems a bit suspect (that's off the coast of North Carolina). 30N is closer to where I was observing the center before daylight went down:

[cycloneye]

Satellite and radar images indicate that an area of low pressure is
developing a couple of hundred miles east of Jacksonville, Florida.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for some additional
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the
middle of the week while the system moves northeastward or
east-northeastward, initially parallel to the southeastern coast
of the U.S. and then away from land.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

[HurricaneEnzo]

Exact same area Kyle spawned from. Feeling the deja vu

Sent from my SM-N986U1 using Tapatalk

[cycloneye]

90L INVEST 200831 0000 30.4N 79.0W ATL 25

[tiger_deF]

The Atlantic sure knows how to pump out invests this year, I can count on both hands the disturbances that have failed to show at least some tropical potential

[Hammy]

This is spinning up quicker than I was expecting.

[CrazyC83]

At this rate, we may have a TD before Recon even gets there.

[xironman]

A bit old, but there is spin

[Ryxn]

Now at a high chance for 48 hours per the NHC.

2. An area of low pressure is located about 150 miles south-southeast
of Wilmington, North Carolina. This system has become better
organized overnight, and a tropical depression is likely to form
within a day or so while the system moves northeastward, near but
offshore of the southeastern coast of the United States, and then
away from land. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

[plasticup]

First visible showing good rotation:

https://i.imgur.com/qtd3TAP.mp4

[TallyTracker]

The morning visibles show this being close to developed. Looking forward to recon getting in there. Will likely find a depression or even a weak TS.

[northjaxpro]

90L is looking good this morning. This will be a Tropical Storm very soon.

[TheStormExpert]

 https://twitter.com/tarcweather/status/1300431284435660800

[wxman57]

Looks like it's attached to a cold front, to me.

[plasticup]

Looks like it's attached to a cold front, to me.

Not rotating around a center at 76.5W 31.5N?

[aspen]

90/90 in the 2pm TWO. They say it’ll likely be designated a TD later today or tonight.

[BadLarry95]

https://twitter.com/tarcweather/status/1300431284435660800

I think 2005 only had 1 MDR Hurricane (Emily). Irene didn’t become a hurricane until north of Bermuda and Maria didn’t ramp up until she hit the subtropics.

Philippe is questionable since he was so close to the islands... but if you count him, that’s only 2

[Sciencerocks]

An area of low pressure is located about 135 miles southeast of
Wilmington, North Carolina. This system continues to become better
organized, and a tropical depression is expected to form later today
or tonight while the system moves northeastward, near but
offshore of the southeastern coast of the United States and then
away from land. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is
en route to investigate the system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.