ATL: TEDDY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
TheStormExpert
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8487
Age: 30
Joined: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:38 pm
Location: Palm Beach Gardens, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#81 Postby TheStormExpert » Sat Sep 12, 2020 2:03 pm

I’m 99.9% sure this will be a fish now! :lol:

The other 0.01% is if it goes west enough to threaten Bermuda or SE Canada.

Of course this is just going by model trends over the past 24-48hrs. and solely my opinion.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.
Top
User avatar
HurricaneAndre2008
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 250
Age: 26
Joined: Wed Jul 31, 2019 9:51 pm
Contact:
Contact HurricaneAndre2008

Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#82 Postby HurricaneAndre2008 » Sat Sep 12, 2020 2:13 pm

AL, 20, 2020091218, , BEST, 0, 112N, 332W, 30, 1005, LO
0 likes   
Cindy(2005), Katrina(2005), Rita(2005), Erin(2007), Isaac(2012)
Top
zhukm29
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 219
Joined: Tue Aug 28, 2018 2:37 pm

Re: ATL: TWENTY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#83 Postby zhukm29 » Sat Sep 12, 2020 2:23 pm

Welcome, AL202020! Hopefully it's a nice fish to ramp up ACE.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
AnnularCane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2634
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:18 am
Location: Wytheville, VA

Re: ATL: TWENTY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#84 Postby AnnularCane » Sat Sep 12, 2020 2:26 pm

With these Best Tracks it almost seems as if these things are getting upgraded early lately. :lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
TheStormExpert
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8487
Age: 30
Joined: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:38 pm
Location: Palm Beach Gardens, FL

Re: ATL: TWENTY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#85 Postby TheStormExpert » Sat Sep 12, 2020 2:28 pm

Welcome TD #20, be nice to the fishies!! :cheesy:
1 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.
Top
sma10
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1709
Joined: Tue Aug 02, 2005 1:13 pm

Re: ATL: TWENTY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#86 Postby sma10 » Sat Sep 12, 2020 2:31 pm

TD 20 will likely be forecast to become Teddy by tomorrow. If so, will break the record for earliest "T" storm.

By 23 DAYS
2 likes   
Top
User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8057
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: TWENTY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#87 Postby aspen » Sat Sep 12, 2020 2:35 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:Welcome TD #20, be nice to the fishies!! :cheesy:

The phish will have to be sacrificed for ACE. At least if Teddy follows a model like the ICON or HWRF, it’ll be an excellent ACE maker over the next week or so.
0 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Top
User avatar
Emmett_Brown
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1343
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:10 pm
Location: Sarasota FL

Re: ATL: TWENTY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#88 Postby Emmett_Brown » Sat Sep 12, 2020 2:36 pm

4 simultaneous active systems in the Atlantic. I've seen it before, but it's still pretty rare.
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
AnnularCane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2634
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:18 am
Location: Wytheville, VA

Re: ATL: TWENTY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#89 Postby AnnularCane » Sat Sep 12, 2020 2:36 pm

The way things are going, I may have to live on this forum 24/7 for a while if I'm going to stay caught up. :double:

But I wanna sleep too!
9 likes   
Top
User avatar
ouragans
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 465
Age: 52
Joined: Sun Jun 12, 2011 12:09 pm
Location: Abymes, Guadeloupe F.W.I
Contact:
Contact ouragans

Re: ATL: TWENTY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#90 Postby ouragans » Sat Sep 12, 2020 3:20 pm

It's 2020z in AL202020 :lol:
8 likes   
Personal forecast disclaimer
This post is a personal point of view, not an information. Please refer to official statements for life-threatening decisions.
David '79, Frederic '79, Hugo '89, Iris, Luis & Marilyn '95, Georges '98, Lenny '99, Dean '07, Irma '17, Maria '17, Fiona '22, Philippe '23, Tammy '23
16°13'33.3,"6N -61°36'39.5"W
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 33393
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: ATL: TWENTY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#91 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Sep 12, 2020 3:31 pm

At least Teddy won't be able to "bear" down on anywhere, we hope!
2 likes   
Top
HuracanMaster
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 45
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2020 11:20 am

Re: ATL: TWENTY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#92 Postby HuracanMaster » Sat Sep 12, 2020 3:35 pm

Im not gonna let my guard down until I see that WNW motion.

Sent from my SM-N986U using Tapatalk
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
weeniepatrol
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 857
Joined: Sat Aug 22, 2020 5:30 pm
Location: WA State

Re: ATL: TWENTY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#93 Postby weeniepatrol » Sat Sep 12, 2020 3:46 pm

Significant strengthening expected.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 17.7N 47.3W

MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
2 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hammy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5594
Age: 40
Joined: Fri May 25, 2012 5:25 pm
Contact:
Contact Hammy

Re: ATL: TWENTY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#94 Postby Hammy » Sat Sep 12, 2020 4:07 pm

Seems the peak season is finally awake even if it overslept the alarm a bit.
3 likes   
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5529
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

Re: ATL: TWENTY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#95 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Sep 12, 2020 4:07 pm

Glad there’s been enough consistency lately to say this won’t be going too far west. Last thing we need is 2 systems with potential to become majors threatening land. Let the ACE flow
0 likes   
Top
zhukm29
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 219
Joined: Tue Aug 28, 2018 2:37 pm

Re: ATL: TWENTY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#96 Postby zhukm29 » Sat Sep 12, 2020 4:13 pm

ouragans wrote:It's 2020z in AL202020 :lol:


Also, I realized that because TD10 didn't get named, and since there is no Q name, AL202020 is the T storm, and T is the 20th letter of the alphabet. If only AL202020 had formed a bit later so that its 20th advisory would fall on the 20th... :lol:
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8057
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: TWENTY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#97 Postby aspen » Sat Sep 12, 2020 4:14 pm

In the 5pm discussion, the NHC notes that moderate shear and the system’s broad circulation will be the primary barriers to intensification for 36 hours. By that point, TD20/Teddy should have consolidated enough, and shear will drop to 10 kt or less for the next 2-3 days while the system moves over warm waters. While these aren’t warm enough to support a truly bonkers storm like at 50-55W, MPIs in the region are high enough for a Cat 4 hurricane.
0 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Top
User avatar
Abdullah
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 285
Joined: Sat Sep 08, 2018 4:28 pm
Location: Miramar, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#98 Postby Abdullah » Sat Sep 12, 2020 4:23 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:And we thought THIS would be the storm that would get the attention...instead it continues to lurk.


The invest's thread had about 10x the activity as this thread in the same time period! Perhaps now that it's been named it'll get some attention.
1 likes   
Top
Hurricane Mike
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 562
Joined: Tue Apr 10, 2018 7:44 am

Re: ATL: TWENTY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#99 Postby Hurricane Mike » Sat Sep 12, 2020 4:40 pm

Seems likely to become a powerful hurricane, but move more poleward.
0 likes   
Top
us89
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 399
Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2019 11:12 pm
Location: Tallahassee, FL

Re: ATL: TWENTY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#100 Postby us89 » Sat Sep 12, 2020 4:47 pm

Abdullah wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:And we thought THIS would be the storm that would get the attention...instead it continues to lurk.


The invest's thread had about 10x the activity as this thread in the same time period! Perhaps now that it's been named it'll get some attention.


I doubt this thread will get a whole lot of activity as long as Sally and Paulette are still out there
2 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2020”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 88 guests