ATL: SALLY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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wx98
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3441 Postby wx98 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:34 am

Gulf Shores now appears to be inside the northern part of the eye. The center of the eye (landfall point) is about 12 miles out still. Moving toward landfall in the next hour and a half, like I’ve been saying all night.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3442 Postby ClarCari » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:35 am

Honestly an upgrade to Cat.3 wouldn’t hurt them. Technically the 111MPH translates to roughly 96.5 kt and there’s quite a bit of data supporting that I believe.
115MPH/100kt would be the max soooo it could go either way..
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3443 Postby PEA_RIDGE » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:36 am

eastcoastFL wrote:There's a decent patch of red on radar to the NE of the eye on shore now over the panhandle. Have there been any tornado warnings for that area? Its gonna be a long day today for the folks in this area.


yes panama city and a few points west have been lit up red all day/night with tor warnings
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3444 Postby wx98 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:37 am

In a few minutes we will get the eastern eyewall data. I believe 110 mph is good honestly in my opinion.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3445 Postby Blow_Hard » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:38 am

PEA_RIDGE wrote:
eastcoastFL wrote:There's a decent patch of red on radar to the NE of the eye on shore now over the panhandle. Have there been any tornado warnings for that area? Its gonna be a long day today for the folks in this area.


yes panama city and a few points west have been lit up red all day/night with tor warnings



And they just issued our 4th or 5th one in the last 7 hours....
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3446 Postby USTropics » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:39 am

Latest zoomed in view:

Image
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3447 Postby GCANE » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:39 am

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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3448 Postby cfisher » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:40 am

Needs to tighten up that eye with some convection and it's a Cat 3 imo. Otherwise winds won't make it to the surface.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3449 Postby GCANE » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:44 am

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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3450 Postby galaxy401 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:46 am

Pensacola going to get hit hard by that eyewall. Being stuck east of the eye means lots of flooding rains...
Last edited by galaxy401 on Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:46 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.

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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3451 Postby wx98 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:46 am

Around 110 kt FL in eastern eyewall.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3452 Postby Keldeo1997 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:46 am

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110Kts FL
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3453 Postby Dean4Storms » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:54 am

So I'm on my Lanai with a strong cup of coffee and a Padron 64th Anniversary Cigar saying hello Sally watching the pines doing Yoga.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3454 Postby GCANE » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:55 am

80 mm/hr rain rate.
Likely intensifying at landfall

Image
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3455 Postby drezee » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:56 am

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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3456 Postby cfisher » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:56 am

Yeah it won't landfall until the center gets ashore, not to mention that northern eyewall is about to be replaced by something well offshore.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3457 Postby GCANE » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:57 am

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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3458 Postby wx98 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:58 am

Center of circulation is now about 7 miles south of Gulf Shores per radar. Landfall is imminent.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3459 Postby GCANE » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:59 am

Eye drop

968mb

Image
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3460 Postby wx98 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 4:00 am

4:00 AM CDT Wed Sep 16
Location: 30.1°N 87.7°W
Moving: NNE at 3 mph
Min pressure: 965 mb
Max sustained: 105 mph
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