bella_may wrote:NHC still showing over ten inches of rain for SE Mississippi. Even with the center going east (currently)
Believe it, I was in Key West on Saturday and @12+” fell in one day and we were 100+ miles from LLC...
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bella_may wrote:NHC still showing over ten inches of rain for SE Mississippi. Even with the center going east (currently)
NDG wrote:12z Euro sticking to a slower timing for landfall, strengthens it before making landfall.
https://i.imgur.com/Yrei9IZ.gif
Blown Away wrote:NDG wrote:12z Euro sticking to a slower timing for landfall, strengthens it before making landfall.
https://i.imgur.com/Yrei9IZ.gif
After all is said and done, it may be an official FL landfall... Fortunately the 18z intensity guidance is barely hanging on to a Cat 1, maybe be a TS... Crazy storm...
Dean4Storms wrote:Yea, 12z ECM showing wind gusts approaching 100mph over P'Cola and eastward 60mph Destin to 80mph near Navarre. Not good.
DestinHurricane wrote:Blown Away wrote:NDG wrote:12z Euro sticking to a slower timing for landfall, strengthens it before making landfall.
https://i.imgur.com/Yrei9IZ.gif
After all is said and done, it may be an official FL landfall... Fortunately the 18z intensity guidance is barely hanging on to a Cat 1, maybe be a TS... Crazy storm...
All of the latest models have cat 2.
Blown Away wrote:Dean4Storms wrote:Yea, 12z ECM showing wind gusts approaching 100mph over P'Cola and eastward 60mph Destin to 80mph near Navarre. Not good.
Panhandle will bounce back quick with that wind... Hopefully the “Historic Rainfall” continues to stay offshore and doesn’t live up to the prediction...
Blown Away wrote:DestinHurricane wrote:Blown Away wrote:
After all is said and done, it may be an official FL landfall... Fortunately the 18z intensity guidance is barely hanging on to a Cat 1, maybe be a TS... Crazy storm...
All of the latest models have cat 2.
18z Intensity Guidance
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/stormin ... latest.png
Notice the farther E Ukmet’s intensity drops the fastest.
DestinHurricane wrote:Blown Away wrote:DestinHurricane wrote:
All of the latest models have cat 2.
18z Intensity Guidance
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/stormin ... latest.png
Notice the farther E Ukmet’s intensity drops the fastest.
That's just the statistical guidance. We'll see what the actual models show. The statistical had similar for 12Z but the real models all show cat 2.
Blown Away wrote:DestinHurricane wrote:Blown Away wrote:
18z Intensity Guidance
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/stormin ... latest.png
Notice the farther E Ukmet’s intensity drops the fastest.
That's just the statistical guidance. We'll see what the actual models show. The statistical had similar for 12Z but the real models all show cat 2.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/stormin ... ty_12z.png
18z intensity, decent drop off from 12z, so this run the models are trending down. Euro/GFS intensity predictions have not been stellar this season IMO.
Blown Away wrote:NDG wrote:12z Euro sticking to a slower timing for landfall, strengthens it before making landfall.
https://i.imgur.com/Yrei9IZ.gif
After all is said and done, it may be an official FL landfall... Fortunately the 18z intensity guidance is barely hanging on to a Cat 1, maybe be a TS... Crazy storm...
La Breeze wrote:SETXstorms wrote:cmc has something churning in the GOM last frame
?? Are you referring to the blob off of Mexico in the BOC or something else?
TheStormExpert wrote:https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1306008864018530305
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