98L INVEST 200915 0000 8.6N 19.5W ATL 25 1010
ATL: WILFRED - Remnants - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139019
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
ATL: WILFRED - Remnants - Discussion
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 33393
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
This might be the one that escapes low? It seems so weird to imagine the W storm being a Cabo Verde long-tracker, forget some late season transitioning storm.
2 likes
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
So...maybe we will be going Greek before the weekend? 
New drinking game: Take a shot every time a cyclone forms off the coast of Africa!
New drinking game: Take a shot every time a cyclone forms off the coast of Africa!
10 likes
Storm History: Erin '95, Opal '95, Danny '97, Georges '98, Ivan '04, Dennis '05
-
Extratropical94
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 3535
- Age: 29
- Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2010 6:36 am
- Location: Hamburg, Germany
- Contact:
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
50/70
An area of low pressure has formed from a low-latitude tropical
wave located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde
Islands. Shower and thunderstorm activity has become more
concentrated during the past several hours, and a tropical
depression is likely to form during the next few days while the
system moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
wave located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde
Islands. Shower and thunderstorm activity has become more
concentrated during the past several hours, and a tropical
depression is likely to form during the next few days while the
system moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
0 likes
54° 11' 59'' N, 9° 9' 20'' E
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards! Go Niners!
- Daniel
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards! Go Niners!
- Daniel
-
EquusStorm
- Category 5
- Posts: 1649
- Age: 33
- Joined: Thu Nov 07, 2013 1:04 pm
- Location: Jasper, AL
- Contact:
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Wow, below 10 north. If this escapes Teddy's outflow, might have some interesting potential.
0 likes
Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
I’m intrigued by this and Teddy, and to see how they interact. I think 98 may have a bit more potential than it’s getting credit for. I think there’s potential to make it to the Caribbean and possibly have a high ceiling intensity wise. I’m just going to keep watching and see what happens. There’s not much else to do, the models haven’t exactly been doing well this year.
2 likes
Solar Aquarian
Lunar Cancerian
Sagittarian
Lunar Cancerian
Sagittarian
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
If this remains south and ends up becoming a Big One, let’s hope 99L doesn’t develop and steal the name Wilfred.
1 likes
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139019
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure,
located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde
Islands, gradually continue to become better organized.
Environmental conditions are conducive for further development of
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the
next few days while the system moves generally westward at 10 to 15
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde
Islands, gradually continue to become better organized.
Environmental conditions are conducive for further development of
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the
next few days while the system moves generally westward at 10 to 15
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
2 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
Emmett_Brown
- Category 5
- Posts: 1343
- Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:10 pm
- Location: Sarasota FL
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
As with most waves this season, if it manages to cross the ATL without developing, then it has a chance to be trouble for land later. Eye balling the morning visible, the circulation is taking shape. Could be a TD by late tomorrow. GFS wants to develop a large TUTT (and shearing outflow from Teddy) to the N of 98L which opens it back up into a wave before reaching the islands.
0 likes
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139019
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
98L INVEST 200915 1200 8.9N 20.4W ATL 25 1010
1 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
HurricaneAndre2008
- Category 1
- Posts: 250
- Age: 26
- Joined: Wed Jul 31, 2019 9:51 pm
- Contact:
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Looking at ASCAT scans, looks like we have a new TD
0 likes
Cindy(2005), Katrina(2005), Rita(2005), Erin(2007), Isaac(2012)
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 33393
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Wilfred is probably just around the corner. September is just pumping out storms like there's no tomorrow.
0 likes
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
I'm curious how advisories will be issued for this if it forms. Going by the regular pattern, the advisories for this storm would use the AT2 header - but that header is currently occupied by Paulette. AT3 is open (since Rene is gone) but that's not next in line.
0 likes
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Jonny wrote:So...maybe we will be going Greek before the weekend?
New drinking game: Take a shot every time a cyclone forms off the coast of Africa!
And to think people thought the MDR wouldn't have an active season...
3 likes
Andrew (1992), Irene (1999), Frances (2004), Katrina (2005), Wilma (2005), Fay (2008), Irma (2017), Eta (2020), Ian (2022)
-
weeniepatrol
- Category 3
- Posts: 855
- Joined: Sat Aug 22, 2020 5:30 pm
- Location: WA State
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Nuno wrote:Jonny wrote:So...maybe we will be going Greek before the weekend?
New drinking game: Take a shot every time a cyclone forms off the coast of Africa!
And to think people thought the MDR wouldn't have an active season...
It's be clear for months now that, based on almost every known indicator, anyone who thought that would crash and burn.
2 likes
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
HurricaneAndre2008 wrote:Looking at ASCAT scans, looks like we have a new TD
Circ is still elongated and still not that well-defined on the east side.
NHC will want to see it tighten up, especially on the east side, before initiating any advisories.
0 likes
-
HurricaneAndre2008
- Category 1
- Posts: 250
- Age: 26
- Joined: Wed Jul 31, 2019 9:51 pm
- Contact:
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
us89 wrote:HurricaneAndre2008 wrote:Looking at ASCAT scans, looks like we have a new TD
Circ is still elongated and still not that well-defined on the east side.
https://i.imgur.com/mitifbR.png
NHC will want to see it tighten up, especially on the east side, before initiating any advisories.
That ascat scan is old. The purple numbers represent the time that it scanned. That is from yesterday afternoon
0 likes
Cindy(2005), Katrina(2005), Rita(2005), Erin(2007), Isaac(2012)
-
HurricaneAndre2008
- Category 1
- Posts: 250
- Age: 26
- Joined: Wed Jul 31, 2019 9:51 pm
- Contact:
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Much better scan
https://cyclonicwx.com/data/ascat/ascat ... 151205.png
https://cyclonicwx.com/data/ascat/ascat ... 151205.png
1 likes
Cindy(2005), Katrina(2005), Rita(2005), Erin(2007), Isaac(2012)
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 32 guests