ATL: GAMMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: GAMMA - Tropical Storm
Sorry for the late reply on the sift east relative to forecast track.
Had to run out this afternoon.
Anyway, red X is the last recon fix on the forecast track.
Had to run out this afternoon.
Anyway, red X is the last recon fix on the forecast track.
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Re: ATL: GAMMA - Tropical Storm
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- wxman57
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Re: ATL: GAMMA - Tropical Storm
Recon indicates Gamma may have been decapitated. All convection is up around 24N, but the center appears to be well to the south. Maybe 125 miles south of the heavier convection. Haven't closed it off yet, though.
Yep, center well south of the mid-level vortex. Southerly shear and dry air have taken quite a toll.
Yep, center well south of the mid-level vortex. Southerly shear and dry air have taken quite a toll.
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Re: ATL: GAMMA - Tropical Storm
The convection being generated right now is quite impressive with cloud tops well below -80C.
However, it is sheared well north of the LLC, which is located at 22.8N/87.2W.
However, it is sheared well north of the LLC, which is located at 22.8N/87.2W.
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- ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: GAMMA - Tropical Storm
Pressure up to 1000mb on latest recon pass. Seems like the end is near for Gamma. That would open the door for Delta to become stronger in the gulf right?
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Re: ATL: GAMMA - Tropical Storm
crimi481 wrote:Gamma moving n.e and seems to be growing. No?
Like Wxman57 said she is decoupling. See loop below you clearly see llc now moving away from mlc.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=gom&product=vis-swir
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Re: ATL: GAMMA - Tropical Storm
Infrared looks like the Zapruder film.
So now a weaker Gamma will most likely be pulled back WSW as Delta approaches Cuba.
And a regenerating Gamma in the BOC might keep the Delta track from shifting NNE later in the forecast.
So now a weaker Gamma will most likely be pulled back WSW as Delta approaches Cuba.
And a regenerating Gamma in the BOC might keep the Delta track from shifting NNE later in the forecast.
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Re: ATL: GAMMA - Tropical Storm
Very high rain rate for a "decoupled" TC.
I would expect this is where the cold pool is.
Could fire for quite a long time and would likely condition the upper levels in the GoM ahead of Delta.
Would enhance the Anticyclone Rossby Wave Break and increase chances of intensification of Delta once it gets in the GoM.
I would expect this is where the cold pool is.
Could fire for quite a long time and would likely condition the upper levels in the GoM ahead of Delta.
Would enhance the Anticyclone Rossby Wave Break and increase chances of intensification of Delta once it gets in the GoM.
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Re: ATL: GAMMA - Tropical Storm
While the LLC of Gamma meanders north of the Yucatán, the MLC and most of the rain is getting sheared NE towards the West Coast of Florida. Tropical Systems are fascinating.
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Re: ATL: GAMMA - Tropical Storm
If deep convection doesn’t return to Gamma soon, I would expect it to be declared a remnant low. Looks terrible this morning.
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Re: ATL: GAMMA - Tropical Depression
wx98 wrote:Gamma is to Delta as Marco is to Laura
That's been an interesting theme this season coming in twos. A weaker storm paving the way for a much more powerful one
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Re: ATL: GAMMA - Tropical Depression
St0rmTh0r wrote:wx98 wrote:Gamma is to Delta as Marco is to Laura
That's been an interesting theme this season coming in twos. A weaker storm paving the way for a much more powerful one
They did seem to come in pairs alot - Teddy and Vicky, Paulette (who's remnants are still with us) and Rene, the forerunner of Beta and Sally as well.
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Re: ATL: GAMMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Sights can be be deceiving but to be honest, ex-Gamma doesn't look to bad right now. Weak spin but a lot of convection.
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Re: ATL: GAMMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Should start feeling the effects of Delta in the near future and just make Delta even bigger
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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