WPAC: INVEST 95W

[Hayabusa]

95W.INVEST

Looks like a separate invest that formed near TD 94W (latest BT still tracks it)

[euro6208]

AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
13.5N 111.4E, APPROXIMATELY 239 NM SOUTHEAST OF DANANG VIETNAM.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY, SUPPORTED BY A 160605Z
AMSR2 GW1 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE, DEPICTS A BROAD LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION (LLC) LARGELY DEVOID OF OVERHEAD DEEP CONVECTION, WITH
FRAGMENTED DEEP CONVECTION ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY BEING SHEARED
TO THE SOUTH. A 160046Z METOP-A ASCAT PASS SHOWS A VERY WEAK, BROAD
LLC WITH SWATHS OF 20 TO 30 KNOT WINDS ON THE NORTH AND SOUTH
PERIPHERY. 95W IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE
UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, MODERATE (20 TO 25 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR,
AND WARM (28 TO 29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE BROAD LLC WILL GRADUALLY CONSOLIDATE,
POTENTIALLY REACHING WARNING THRESHOLD IN THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

[euro6208]

THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 13.5N 111.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 111.4E, APPROXIMATELY
237 NM SOUTHEAST OF DANANG, VIETNAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FLARING DEEP CONVECTION BEING SHEARED
SOUTHWESTWARD FROM A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). A 161043Z
MHS NOAA-19 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS THE AREA LARGELY DEVOID OF
DEEP CONVECTION WITH SOME FRAGMENTED DEEP CONVECTION OFFSET TO THE
SOUTHWEST. 95W IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE
(20 TO 25 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSETTING GOOD WESTWARD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WARM (28 TO 29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES.
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 95W WILL TRACK GENERALLY
NORTHWESTWARD WITH MINIMAL INTENSIFICATION BEFORE MOVING OVER
VIETNAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.

[euro6208]

THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 14.6N 109.8E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.