WPAC: VAMCO - Post-Tropical

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
Hayabusa
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3735
Joined: Sun Sep 16, 2018 1:05 pm

Re: WPAC: VAMCO - Typhoon

#161 Postby Hayabusa » Fri Nov 13, 2020 1:45 pm

Finally
TY 2022 (Vamco)
Issued at 18:45 UTC, 13 November 2020

<Analysis at 18 UTC, 13 November>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N15°35' (15.6°)
E112°25' (112.4°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20 km/h (10 kt)
Central pressure 955 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 40 m/s (80 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60 m/s (115 kt)
≥ 50 kt wind area ALL 110 km (60 NM)
≥ 30 kt wind area NE 390 km (210 NM)
SW 280 km (150 NM)
0 likes   
ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

User avatar
Hayabusa
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3735
Joined: Sun Sep 16, 2018 1:05 pm

Re: WPAC: VAMCO - Typhoon

#162 Postby Hayabusa » Fri Nov 13, 2020 2:05 pm

Cat 4 prelim
25W VAMCO 201113 1800 15.6N 112.4E WPAC 115 945
0 likes   
ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

User avatar
ElectricStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4493
Age: 23
Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK

Re: WPAC: VAMCO - Typhoon

#163 Postby ElectricStorm » Fri Nov 13, 2020 2:17 pm

Hayabusa wrote:Cat 4 prelim
25W VAMCO 201113 1800 15.6N 112.4E WPAC 115 945

Wow that's one of the stronger ones I've seen in the SCS after traversing the Philippines
1 likes   
I am in no way a professional. Take what I say with a grain of salt as I could be totally wrong. Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.

Boomer Sooner!

User avatar
Hayabusa
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3735
Joined: Sun Sep 16, 2018 1:05 pm

Re: WPAC: VAMCO - Typhoon

#164 Postby Hayabusa » Fri Nov 13, 2020 5:16 pm

TY 2022 (Vamco)
Issued at 21:45 UTC, 13 November 2020

<Analysis at 21 UTC, 13 November>
Scale -
Intensity Very strong
Center position N15°40' (15.7°)
E111°55' (111.9°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20 km/h (10 kt)
Central pressure 950 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 45 m/s (85 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60 m/s (120 kt)
≥ 50 kt wind area ALL 110 km (60 NM)
≥ 30 kt wind area NE 390 km (210 NM)
SW 280 km (150 NM)
0 likes   
ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

User avatar
Hayabusa
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3735
Joined: Sun Sep 16, 2018 1:05 pm

Re: WPAC: VAMCO - Typhoon

#165 Postby Hayabusa » Fri Nov 13, 2020 5:44 pm

Yesterday 13/00Z run with latest intensity imposed, really underestimated.
Image
0 likes   
ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3613
Age: 31
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:

Re: WPAC: VAMCO - Typhoon

#166 Postby mrbagyo » Fri Nov 13, 2020 6:53 pm

0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3613
Age: 31
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:

Re: WPAC: VAMCO - Typhoon

#167 Postby mrbagyo » Fri Nov 13, 2020 7:00 pm

Image
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3613
Age: 31
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:

Re: WPAC: VAMCO - Typhoon

#168 Postby mrbagyo » Fri Nov 13, 2020 7:25 pm

0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
doomhaMwx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2396
Age: 25
Joined: Tue Apr 18, 2017 4:01 am
Location: Baguio/Benguet, Philippines
Contact:

Re: WPAC: VAMCO - Typhoon

#169 Postby doomhaMwx » Fri Nov 13, 2020 9:18 pm

The eye directly passed over Triton Island, the western/southernmost island of the Paracel Islands. One island to the NE is reporting force 9 (41-47kts) 10-min sustained winds this morning.

Image
Image
0 likes   
Like my content? Consider giving a tip.

User avatar
ElectricStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4493
Age: 23
Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK

Re: WPAC: VAMCO - Typhoon

#170 Postby ElectricStorm » Fri Nov 13, 2020 9:31 pm

25W VAMCO 201114 0000 15.8N 111.3E WPAC 105 957
0 likes   
I am in no way a professional. Take what I say with a grain of salt as I could be totally wrong. Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.

Boomer Sooner!

User avatar
1900hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6044
Age: 32
Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 12:04 pm
Location: Houston, TX
Contact:

Re: WPAC: VAMCO - Typhoon

#171 Postby 1900hurricane » Fri Nov 13, 2020 10:40 pm

That edited 00Z intensity looks a little better. Think JTWC bit on the intensification a little too hard. Almost all the recent MW estimates are still above 960 mb, though Vamco may still be on the intensification trend. Don't think it has actually made it to C4 yet though.
2 likes   
Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.

Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/

User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3613
Age: 31
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:

Re: WPAC: VAMCO - Typhoon

#172 Postby mrbagyo » Sat Nov 14, 2020 5:26 am

Image
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3613
Age: 31
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:

Re: WPAC: VAMCO - Typhoon

#173 Postby mrbagyo » Sat Nov 14, 2020 5:35 am

Image
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.

bob rulz
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1667
Age: 34
Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 7:30 pm
Location: Salt Lake City, Utah

Re: WPAC: VAMCO - Typhoon

#174 Postby bob rulz » Sat Nov 14, 2020 8:24 pm

It's pretty strong for a typhoon in this location, no?
0 likes   

User avatar
doomhaMwx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2396
Age: 25
Joined: Tue Apr 18, 2017 4:01 am
Location: Baguio/Benguet, Philippines
Contact:

Re: WPAC: VAMCO - Typhoon

#175 Postby doomhaMwx » Sun Nov 15, 2020 3:43 am

Image
Image
Image
STS 2022 (Vamco)
Issued at 06:45 UTC, 15 November 2020

<Analysis at 06 UTC, 15 November>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N17°55' (17.9°)
E106°35' (106.6°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20 km/h (12 kt)
Central pressure 996 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
≥ 30 kt wind area N 240 km (130 NM)
S 110 km (60 NM)


70kts? JTWC is too generous lol.

Image
1 likes   
Like my content? Consider giving a tip.


Return to “2020”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 8 guests