ATL: ANA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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aspen
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Re: ATL: ANA - Subtropical Storm - Discussion

#81 Postby aspen » Sat May 22, 2021 9:39 pm

Poor little Ana is gonna get ripped to shreds within 12-24 hours. Maybe that new expanding and wrapping convection could cause a bit of last-minute strengthening.
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Re: ATL: ANA - Subtropical Storm - Discussion

#82 Postby Sciencerocks » Sun May 23, 2021 1:06 am

Image

Tropical in my opinion and probably deserving of 5-10 knots of increase 1 minute winds.
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Re: ATL: ANA - Subtropical Storm - Discussion

#83 Postby MarioProtVI » Sun May 23, 2021 1:36 am

Sciencerocks wrote:https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/9951/pjn7jp.gif

Tropical in my opinion and probably deserving of 5-10 knots of increase 1 minute winds.

ATCF seems to agree as it now shows it as tropical.
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Re: ATL: ANA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#84 Postby Subtrop » Sun May 23, 2021 1:38 am

AL, 01, 2021052306, , BEST, 0, 354N, 611W, 40, 1006, TS, 34, NEQ, 0, 50, 40, 0, 1015, 200, 15, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ANA, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 001,


TXNT25 KNES 230605
TCSNTL
A. 01L (ANA)
B. 23/0530Z
C. 35.3N
D. 61.2W
E. THREE/GOES-E
F. T1.0/1.0
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...GREATER THAN 2/10 BANDING YIELDS A DT=1.0. FT IS BASED
ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL

...SANDUSKY
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Re: ATL: ANA - Subtropical Storm - Discussion

#85 Postby EquusStorm » Sun May 23, 2021 2:47 am

Not bad at all. One final impressive dMax show before going.

Image
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Re: ATL: ANA - Subtropical Storm - Discussion

#86 Postby NXStumpy_Robothing » Sun May 23, 2021 3:05 am

I'm gonna miss the little thing, but I suppose I can't do anything but let it go. :wink:

Been fun to watch it continue the early starts that the previous 6 seasons had as well, though.
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Re: ATL: ANA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#87 Postby Subtrop » Sun May 23, 2021 3:45 am

Satellite images indicate that Ana has contracted significantly
since yesterday and now has a compact area of moderate convection
around the center. Given the tight low-level circulation, small
radius of maximum wind, and compact central convection, Ana is
now estimated to have transitioned from a subtropical storm to a
tropical storm.
The initial intensity remains 40 kt for this
advisory based on the earlier ASCAT data, which indicated that the
tropical-storm-force winds were confined to the south side of the
circulation.
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Re: ATL: ANA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#88 Postby JW-_- » Sun May 23, 2021 6:48 am

Subtrop wrote:
Satellite images indicate that Ana has contracted significantly
since yesterday and now has a compact area of moderate convection
around the center. Given the tight low-level circulation, small
radius of maximum wind, and compact central convection, Ana is
now estimated to have transitioned from a subtropical storm to a
tropical storm.
The initial intensity remains 40 kt for this
advisory based on the earlier ASCAT data, which indicated that the
tropical-storm-force winds were confined to the south side of the
circulation.

Image
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Re: ATL: ANA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#89 Postby TallyTracker » Sun May 23, 2021 7:42 am

Maintaining 40 kts seems reasonable to me. ASCAT has trouble getting accurate wind information with small systems like Ana. There are 30 kt wind barbs and assuming under sampling 40 kts is where I would place the intensity as well.
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Re: ATL: ANA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#90 Postby Sciencerocks » Sun May 23, 2021 10:12 am

Image
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Re: ATL: ANA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#91 Postby DorkyMcDorkface » Sun May 23, 2021 10:23 am

This was a fun lil' storm to continue the preseason streak. Made an unexpected tropical transition and looked pretty good at times in the process. Props to the GFS for sniffing this one out before the others - hopefully that's a harbinger for better genesis detection this year after its dismal performance in 2020.
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Re: ATL: ANA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#92 Postby Sciencerocks » Sun May 23, 2021 2:44 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: ANA - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#93 Postby Sciencerocks » Sun May 23, 2021 8:49 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: ANA - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#94 Postby galaxy401 » Sun May 23, 2021 8:59 pm

I understand it probably fulfilled the requirements for an upgrade but this still just feels like a waste of a name to me. Least it became Tropical I guess.
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Re: ATL: ANA - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#95 Postby wwizard » Sun May 23, 2021 9:43 pm

galaxy401 wrote:I understand it probably fulfilled the requirements for an upgrade but this still just feels like a waste of a name to me. Least it became Tropical I guess.


Just curious, but why does it matter?
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Re: ATL: ANA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#96 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 23, 2021 9:43 pm

Post-Tropical Cyclone Ana Advisory Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012021
1100 PM AST Sun May 23 2021

...ANA BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
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Re: ATL: ANA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#97 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun May 23, 2021 9:54 pm

Her sister is lurking too...probably between mid-July and mid-August.
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Re: ATL: ANA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#98 Postby ElectricStorm » Sun May 23, 2021 10:03 pm

Bye Ana. Fun little storm in May
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Re: ATL: ANA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#99 Postby AnnularCane » Sun May 23, 2021 10:06 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Her sister is lurking too...probably between mid-July and mid-August.



Elsa?

I wonder if she'll be as sweet as her sister. :cry:
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Re: ATL: ANA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#100 Postby NDG » Sun May 23, 2021 11:00 pm

Well, Ana proved that near 70 SSTs and enough instability in the atmosphere is good enough for a system to become tropical in nature.
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