WPAC: OMAIS - Post-Tropical

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Hayabusa
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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 16W

#61 Postby Hayabusa » Fri Aug 13, 2021 1:39 am

HWRF now intensifies
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ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
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GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 16W

#62 Postby Hayabusa » Fri Aug 13, 2021 2:46 am

Latest model tracks seem familiar (but not the intensity of course!)
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ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 16W

#63 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Aug 13, 2021 3:30 am

Interesting presentation. Buzzsaw weak TS anyone?
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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 16W

#64 Postby mrbagyo » Fri Aug 13, 2021 8:25 am

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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 16W

#65 Postby Sciencerocks » Fri Aug 13, 2021 12:00 pm

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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 16W

#66 Postby Hayabusa » Fri Aug 13, 2021 8:49 pm

It's really similar to the initial forecast tracks of Mankghut.
12Z
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18Z
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 16W

#67 Postby Sciencerocks » Sat Aug 14, 2021 1:56 am

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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 16W

#68 Postby mrbagyo » Sat Aug 14, 2021 2:00 am

Convection has started to flare up on all sector.

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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 16W

#69 Postby Hayabusa » Sat Aug 14, 2021 3:13 am

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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 16W

#70 Postby Kingarabian » Sat Aug 14, 2021 5:09 am

TT doesn't have Himawari for some reason but this is some nice convection popping off. Think it will be the second strongest Typhoon of the season so far as it moves west. It just needs to find a decent ridge.
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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 16W

#71 Postby mrbagyo » Sat Aug 14, 2021 8:47 am

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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 16W

#72 Postby mrbagyo » Sat Aug 14, 2021 10:42 am

Marshall Island loop
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Marianas Island loop with cameo of ash plume from Fukutoku-Okanoba Volcanic eruption (upper left)
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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 16W

#73 Postby Hayabusa » Sat Aug 14, 2021 8:10 pm

After being stuck in warning criteria for several days already, JMA finally issues TC warning
WTPQ50 RJTD 150000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 150000UTC 12.8N 156.8E POOR
MOVE W 18KT
PRES 1010HPA
MXWD 030KT
GUST 045KT
FORECAST
24HF 160000UTC 13.2N 151.4E 80NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 170000UTC 13.3N 145.8E 130NM 70%
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 180000UTC 14.4N 141.2E 200NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
96HF 190000UTC 16.6N 136.7E 280NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
120HF 200000UTC 18.8N 131.9E 390NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 16W

#74 Postby Sciencerocks » Sat Aug 14, 2021 9:43 pm

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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 16W

#75 Postby mrbagyo » Sun Aug 15, 2021 8:13 am

what happened to you bruh? the vorticity is still alive but the convection has waned.
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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 16W

#76 Postby 1900hurricane » Sun Aug 15, 2021 3:01 pm

A bit skeptical this is a closed entity right now.
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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 16W

#77 Postby aspen » Sun Aug 15, 2021 6:03 pm

I see Thanos has snapped yet another storm out of existence.
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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 16W

#78 Postby Hayabusa » Sun Aug 15, 2021 7:30 pm

aspen wrote:I see Thanos has snapped yet another storm out of existence.

It may come back later just like Fred :lol:
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 16W

#79 Postby Hayabusa » Sun Aug 15, 2021 8:30 pm

JMA 00Z stopped issuing TC warning
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 16W

#80 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Aug 15, 2021 8:49 pm

WPAC only basin reacting to this oncoming La Nina.
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